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‚ª‚ñ—\–h‚Ì•K—v«‚ªŒê‚ç‚ê‚邿‚¤‚ɂȂÁ‚Ä‚©‚Ȃ肽‚¿‚Ü‚·‚ªAŒ»ó‚±‚ê‚͂Ƃ¢‚¤•û–@‚ª‚ ‚é‚킯‚łȂ­A‘Šú”­Œ©‚݂̂ª‚‚ç‚©‚ÉŒê‚ç‚êA‚»‚ꂪ—Bˆê‚Ì•û–@‚Å‚ ‚é‚©‚ª‚²‚Æ‚­Œ¾‚í‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA‘Šú”­Œ©‚ð–Ú“I‚Æ‚µ‚½ŒŸf‚Ì•K—v«‚ª‚₯‚É‹­’²‚³‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚µ‚©‚µA—lX‚ÈŒŸf‚à‘å‹K–̓Rƒz[ƒgŒ¤‹†‚ªoŽn‚߂邯•K‚¸‚µ‚àAŽ€–S—¦‚ð‰º‚°‚é‚킯‚ł͂Ȃ¢‚±‚Æ‚ª•ª‚©‚èŽn‚ßA‚»‚Ì—LŒø«‚É‹^–₪‚à‚½‚ê‚邿‚¤‚ɂȂÁ‚Ä‚«‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

ˆê•ûAŠ„‡‚Í’á‚¢‚Å‚·‚ª––Šú‚ª‚ñ‚ÌŠ³ŽÒ‚ª‰æŠú“I‚ɉñ•œ‚·‚é—Ⴊ‚ ‚邱‚Æ‚àŽ–ŽÀ‚Å‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B‚»‚ê‚ðl‚¦‚邯‚â‚͂輗mˆãŠw‚ł͌v‚è’m‚ê‚È‚¢•”•ª‚ɉ½‚ç‚©‚Ì—\–h‚̃qƒ“ƒg‚ª‰B‚³‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚é‚Ì‚©‚à‚µ‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñB

‚»‚±‚ÅA¼—mˆãŠwA“Œ—mˆãŠw‚»‚Ì‘¼‚ǂ̂悤‚È‚±‚Æ‚Å‚à‹«–Ú‚È‚­A‚ª‚ñ‚Ì—\–h‚ÉŒÀ‚Á‚ÄŒŸ“¢‚ð‰Á‚¦‚Ä‚Ý‚é‚ÆˆÓŠO‚ÈŽ–ŽÀA•ûŒü«‚ªŒ©‚¦‚Ä‚­‚é‚©‚à‚µ‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‘Ήž‚ðl‚¦‚é‚ɂ͂܂¸‚ª‚ñ‚ð‚æ‚­—‰ð‚·‚邱‚Æ‚ª•K—v‚Å‚·BŒ»Ý‚Å‚à‚»‚Ì”­‚ª‚ñ‹@\‚ɂ͗lX‚È—vˆö‚ª’ñˆÄ‚³‚êAŒŸØ‚³‚ê‚æ‚¤‚Æ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚ªA‚¢‚Ü‚¾‚É–¾Šm‚È‚à‚Ì‚ª—‰ð‚³‚ꂽ‚킯‚ł͂ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚±‚ÅA‚Ü‚¸A‚ª‚ñ‚Ì“Á’¥‚Ì®—‚©‚çŽn‚ß‚½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

‚悤‚±‚»A•ćˆã—ÓŒvî•ñƒNƒŠƒjƒbƒNƒz[ƒ€ƒy[ƒW‚ÖB ‚ ‚È‚½‚Í @”Ô–Ú‚Ì–K–âŽÒ‚Å‚·!

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‚¨–â‚¢‡‚킹 @komejun@enjoy.zaq.jp

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 PDFƒtƒ@ƒCƒ‹ƒ_ƒEƒ“ƒ[ƒh

‚ª‚ñ‚Ì“Á’¥

 

‚ª‚ñ—\–h‚ðl‚¦‚éã‚Å‚ª‚ñ‚Ì“Á’¥‚ð‚܂Ƃ߂Ă݂܂·B

‚ª‚ñ‚Ì“Á’¥‚Íh‚ª‚ñ‚Ì•ªŽq¶•¨Šw@‘æ2”Å@L. Pecorinoh@1)@‚É‚æ‚邯AŽŸ‚Ì8€–ڂƂȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

‘BƒVƒOƒiƒ‹‚ÌŽ©—§«

‘B—}§ƒVƒOƒiƒ‹‚̉ñ”ð

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ŒŒŠÇV¶

×–EŽ€‚̉ñ”ð

–ƉuŒn‚É‚æ‚é”j‰ó‚©‚ç‚̉ñ”ð

ƒGƒlƒ‹ƒM[‘ãŽÓ‚ÌÄ\¬

Žîᇑ£i«‚̉ŠÇ

ƒQƒmƒ€•sˆÀ’諂̕ψÙ

 

—Ç«Žîᇂƈ««Žîᇂ̕ª—Þ‚Æ“Á’¥

 

‚©‚È‚è“‚¢“Á’¥‚ª•À‚ñ‚Å‚¢‚Ü‚·‚ªA‚±‚̂悤‚È“Á’¥‚ðŽ‚¿‡‚킹‚éŽîá‡A‚‚܂舫«Žîᇂð“Á‚É‚ª‚ñ‚ÆŒ¾‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·BŽîᇂɂÍA—Ç«‚ƈ««‚ª‚ ‚è‚»‚Ì“Á’¥‚ÍŽŸ‚̂悤‚ɂ܂Ƃ߂ç‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

—Ç«@Benign

              Žü‚è‚Ì‘gD‚ðN‚³‚È‚¢A“]ˆÚ‚µ‚È‚¢Žîá‡

ˆ««@Malignant

              Žü‚è‚Ì‘gD‚ÉZ‚µA—£‚ꂽ•”ˆÊ‚É“]ˆÚ‚·‚éŽîá‡@@‚ª‚ñ

 

Žîá‡‚Ì‚à‚¤­‚µ×‚©‚È•ª—ނ͉º‚̂悤‚ɂȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

Žîá‡

—Ç«Žîá‡

ˆ««Žîᇂª‚ñˆ««V¶•¨

Šà(ã”ç«)@carcinoma

‘B‚ª‚ñ adenocarcinoma

“÷Žî(”ñã”ç«) sarcoma

             

—Ç«Žîᇂ̕ª—Þ‚Æ“Á’¥

 

‚Ü‚¸‚ÍA—Ç«Žîᇂ©‚ç‚܂Ƃ߂Ă݂܂·B—Ç«Žîᇂ̓Á’¥‚ÍŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂ܂Ƃ߂邱‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚·B

—Ç«Žîá‡Fbenign tumor

‘Sg (¶–½) ‚ւ̉e‹¿‚Ì­‚È‚¢C”­ˆç‚ª–c’£«‚Å‚ ‚Á‚ÄCZ«‚łȂ­C‚»‚Ì‘¬“x‚ª‚ä‚é‚¢‚©C’âŽ~‚·‚éŒXŒü‚ð‚à‚¿C“]ˆÚ‚âÄ”­‚ð‹N‚·‚±‚Ƃ̂܂ê‚ÈŽîá‡‚ð‚¢‚¤Bˆ««Žîᇂ̑ΌêBŽîᇎÀŽ¿‚ªã”ç«‚Ì“û“ªŽîC‘BŽîC”XŽî‚ȂǂÆC”ñã”ç«‚ÌüˆÛŽîC‹ØŽîCŒŒŠÇŽîCމ–bŽî‚ȂǂÌ2ŒQ‚É•ª‚¯‚éB(ƒuƒŠƒ^ƒjƒJ‘Û‘å•S‰ÈŽ–“T)

 

—Ç«Žîᇂ̎í—Þ

—Ç«Žîᇂɂ͎í—Þ‚ª‚ ‚èˆê”Ê“I‚ÉŽŸ‚Ì—l‚É•ª‚¯‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B
@ã”ç«—Ç«Žîá‡EEEG•½ã”ç“û“ªŽîC‘BŽî‚È‚ÇDG•½ã”ç“û“ªŽî‚ÍŒûo“à‚Ȃǂɔ­¶‚µC‘BŽî‚͈݂â‘å’°‚É”­¶‚µ‚Ü‚·D

@”ñã”ç«—Ç«Žîá‡EEüˆÛŽîC“îCމ–bŽîCŒŒŠÇŽîC•½ŠŠ‹ØŽî‚È‚ÇD‘Sg‚̓‘gD‚Ì‚¢‚¸‚ê‚É‚à”­¶‚µ‚Ü‚·D•½ŠŠ‹ØŽí‚ÍŽq‹{‚ÉŒ©‚ç‚ê‚é‚à‚Ì‚ª—L–¼‚Å‚·D

—Ç«Žîᇂ̒†‚ɂ͈««Žîᇂɕω»‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚­‚à‚Ì‚à‚ ‚邱‚Æ‚ª‚±‚Ƃ𕡎G‚É‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚ªAˆ««ŽîᇂÍA’[“I‚É‚Ü‚Æ‚ß‚é‚ÆŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

ˆ««Žîᇂ̓Á’¥

 
ˆ««Žîᇂ͎Ÿ‚Ì—l‚ɂ܂Ƃ߂邱‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚·B

ˆ««Žîá‡Fmalignant tumor

ˆê”ʂɔ­ˆç‚ª‘¬‚­CŽüˆÍ‚Ì‘gD‚ð”j‰ó‚µCŒŒ‰t‚⃊ƒ“ƒp‚É‚æ‚Á‚Ä‘¼‚Ìꊂɓ]ˆÚ‚µ‚â‚·‚¢Žîá‡‚ð‚¢‚¤Bã”çŒn‚̔畆C”S–ŒC‘B‚Ȃǂ©‚ç”­¶‚·‚é‚à‚Ì‚ªŠàŽîC”ñã”çŒn‚ÌŒ‹‡‘gDCœC“îœCƒŠƒ“ƒp߂Ȃǂɔ­¶‚·‚é‚Ì‚ª“÷Žî‚ÅC—¼ŽÒ‚ð‡‚¹‚Ĉê”Ê“I‚ÉŠà‚ÆÌ‚µClŒû“®‘Ô“Œv‚ł͈««V¶•¨‚Æ‚à‚¢‚¤B(ƒuƒŠƒ^ƒjƒJ‘Û‘å•S‰ÈŽ–“T)

 

“Á’¥‚ð“ñ‚‹“‚°‚邯‚µ‚½‚çAZ‚Æ“]ˆÚ‚Å‚·Bˆ««ŽîᇂÍAZ«‚É”­ˆç‚·‚邽‚ßCŽîá‡‚ðØœ‚·‚éꇂ͑傫‚­Øœ‚µ‚È‚­‚Ă͂Ȃè‚Ü‚¹‚ñB ‚Ü‚½CØœ‚µ‚½ê‡‚àC‘Ì“à‚ÉŽæ‚èŽc‚·‚±‚Æ‚ª‚ ‚èCŽæ‚èŽc‚µ‚½ŽîᇂªÄ”­‚ð‚«‚½‚µ‚Ü‚·B—£‚ꂽꊂւ̓]ˆÚ‚ð‚«‚½‚·‚½‚ßCŽîᇔ­¶•”ˆÊ‚Ì‚Ý‚ðŽæ‚èœ‚¢‚½‚Æ‚µ‚Ä‚àC“]ˆÚ•”ˆÊ‚Å‘B‚µCÅI“I‚ɂ͑Sg‚Ö“]ˆÚ‚µC¶–½‚ðŽ€‚É‚¢‚½‚炵‚߂邱‚Æ‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B

‚±‚±‚ÅABZ«‘B‚Ƃ͎Ÿ‚Ì—l‚È“Á’¥‚ðŒ¾‚¢‚Ü‚·B

    Žîá‡×–E‚ªŽüˆÍ‚Ì‘gD‚É­‚µ‚¸‚Âõ‚Ýž‚ނ悤‚É‘B‚·‚éBL‚¢”͈͂Ɉê—l‚ÉL‚ª‚èAŽüˆÍ‘gD‚ð‰ó‚µ‚È‚ª‚çis‚·‚éBŽüˆÍ‚ÉŒŒŠÇ‚⃊ƒ“ƒpŠÇ‚ª‚ ‚ê‚ÎAŽîá‡×–E‚Í‚»‚ê‚ç‚ð‚à”j‰ó‚µAŠÇ‚Ì’†‚Ö“ü‚èž‚ÞB

‚»‚µ‚ÄA“]ˆÚ‚Ƃ͎Ÿ‚Ì—l‚È“Á’¥‚ðŒ¾‚¢‚Ü‚·B

    ‰½‚ç‚©‚Ì•û–@‚ÅŽîᇂªŒ´”­•”ˆÊ(ʼn‚É”­¶‚µ‚½•”ˆÊ)‚𗣂êA‘¼‚Ì•”ˆÊ(‘ŸŠí)‚É“ž’B‚µ‚ÄA‚»‚±‚ÅV‚½‚É‘B‚ðs‚¤‚±‚Æ‚ð“]ˆÚ‚Æ‚¢‚¢‚Ü‚·BŒŒs«“]ˆÚ(ŒŒ—¬‚ɉ^‚΂ê‚Ä“]ˆÚ/”x‚ÆŠÌ‘Ÿ‚É‚¨‚±‚è‚â‚·‚¢)‚ÆƒŠƒ“ƒps«“]ˆÚ(ƒŠƒ“ƒpŠÇ‚Ì—¬‚ê‚ɂ̂Á‚ÄŠeƒŠƒ“ƒp߂ɓ]ˆÚ)A”dŽí(‘Ìo‚É‚¨‚¢‚ÄAŸ÷–Œ‚Ì•\–ʂɒB‚µ‚½Žîá‡×–E‚ª“à‘Ÿ‚Ì“®‚«‚É”º‚¢­‚µ‚¸‚‚΂ç‚Ü‚©‚êAL‚ª‚é)‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B


ˆ««Žîᇂ̎í—Þ

 

ˆ««Žîᇂɂà—lX‚ÈŽí—Þ‚ª‚ ‚èAˆê”Ê“I‚ÉŽŸ‚Ì—l‚É•ª—Þ‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·B


@ã”竈««Žîá‡EEEEG•½ã”çŠàC‘BŠàCˆÚsã”çŠà‚Ȃǂª‚ ‚èAG•½ã”çŠà‚ÍH“¹C”xCŽq‹{Œz•”‚ȂǂÉC‘BŠà‚͈ÝC‘å’°‚ȂǂÉCˆÚsã”çŠà‚ÍäNã÷‚Ȃǂɔ­¶‚µ‚Ü‚·B

@”ñã”竈««Žîá‡EEEüˆÛ“÷ŽîCœ“÷ŽîCމ–b“÷ŽîCŒŒŠÇ“÷ŽîC‰¡–䋨“÷Žî‚Ȃǂª‚ ‚èA‘Sg‚̓‘gD‚Ì‚¢‚¸‚ê‚É‚à”­¶‚µ‚Ü‚·B

@‘¢ŒŒ‘gD«Žîá‡EEEEƒŠƒ“ƒpŽîC”’ŒŒ•a‚Ȃǂª‚ ‚èAƒŠƒ“ƒpŽî‚Í‘Sg‚ÌƒŠƒ“ƒp‘•’uCƒŠƒ“ƒp߂ɔ­¶‚µ‚Ü‚·B”’ŒŒ•a‚ÍŒŒ‰t‚Ì’†‚É”­¶‚µ‚Ü‚·B

@‘ÙŽ™«Žîá‡EEEEEEŠïŒ`ŽîCt‰è×–EŽîCŠÌ‰è×–EŽî‚Ȃǂª‚ ‚èAŠïŒ`Ží‚Í—‘‘ƒ‚É”­¶‚·‚é‚à‚Ì‚ª—L–¼‚Å‚·Dt‰è×–EŽîCŠÌ‰è×–EŽî‚Í¬Ž™Šú‚É”­¶‚·‚éŽîᇂł·B

Žîᇂ̓Á’¥‚ÌŽw•W

 

ˆ««ŽîᇂÍis‚ª‘BA“]ˆÚ‚É‚æ‚Á‚Äis‚·‚邽‚ß‚»‚Ìis“x‚ðŒv‚éŽw•W‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B

ˆÙŒ^“xE•ª‰»“xEˆ««“x
@ˆÙŒ^“xEEEˆÙŒ^“x‚Ƃ͎îá‡×–E‚¨‚æ‚ÑŽîá‡×–E‚Ì\¬‚·‚é‘gD\‘¢‚ÌC³í‚©‚ç‚ÌŠu‚½‚è‚Ì’ö“x‚Ì‚±‚ÆB

@•ª‰»“xEEEŽîá‡×–E‚ª”­¶‚µ‚½•ê×–E‚Ì‚à‚“Á’¥‚ð‚à‚Â’ö“x‚Ì‚±‚ÆB

@ˆ««“xEEEŽîᇂ̑B‘¬“x‚ª‘‚¢C“]ˆÚ‚µ‚â‚·‚¢CÄ”­‚µ‚â‚·‚¢CŽ€–S—¦‚ª‚‚¢‚ȂǂƂ¢‚¤¶–½—\Œã‚ɑ΂·‚é‰e‹¿‚Ì’ö“x‚Ì‚±‚ÆB

“]ˆÚ‚ÌŽí—Þ‚Æ“Á’¥


@X‚É“]ˆÚ‚É‚à‚»‚Ì“Á’¥‚É‚æ‚Á‚ÄŽí—Þ‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒŠƒ“ƒps«“]ˆÚEEEŽîá‡×–E‚ªƒŠƒ“ƒpŠÇ‚ÖZ‚µCƒŠƒ“ƒp—¬‚ê‚ɂ̂Á‚Ä“]ˆÚ‚·‚邱‚ÆB“ªŒz•”Šà‚ÌŒz•”ƒŠƒ“ƒpß“]ˆÚC“ûŠà‚Ìãüâ|ƒŠƒ“ƒpß“]ˆÚ‚Ȃǂª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B

@ŒŒs«“]ˆÚEEEŽîá‡×–E‚ªŒŒŠÇ‚ÖZ‚µCŒŒ—¬‚ɂ̂Á‚Ä“]ˆÚ‚·‚邱‚ÆB—lX‚È‘ŸŠí‚©‚çŠÌC”x‚ÖŒŒs«“]ˆÚ‚µ‚Ü‚·D‘½”­‚·‚邱‚Æ‚à“Á’¥‚̈ê‚‚ł·B

@”dŽí«“]ˆÚEEEŽîá‡×–E‚ª‘Ìo“à‚É—V—£‚µ‚ÄC‚΂ç‚Ü‚©‚êC‘Ìo•Ç‹y‚Ñ‘½‘ŸŠí‚É“]ˆÚ‚·‚邱‚ÆB‚ª‚ñ«‹¹–Œ‰ŠC‚ª‚ñ«• –Œ‰Š‚Í”dŽí«“]ˆÚ‚É‚æ‚è¶‚¶‚Ü‚·B

 

‚ª‚ñ‚Ì“Á’¥‚̂܂Ƃ߂͂±‚Ì’ö“x‚É‚µ‚ÄAŽŸ‚É‚ª‚ñ‚ª‚ǂ̒ö“x‚ÌŽ€–SŒ´ˆö‚ƂȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚é‚©‚ð­‚µ’²‚ׂĂ݂܂·B

 

Ž€–SŒ´ˆö

 

Ž€–SŒ´ˆö‚Ì‚ª‚ñ‚͂ǂ̒ö“x‚ÌŠ„‡‚Å‚µ‚傤‚©B•½¬23”Ni2011jlŒû“®‘Ô“Œv2) ‚É‚æ‚邯”N‘ã•ÊŽ€–SŒ´ˆö‚ÍAŽŸ‚Ì•\‚Ì‚²‚Æ‚­‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚Ì’l‚Í10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚ÌŽ€–S—¦(‚‚܂è10–œl“–‚½‚艽l‚ª‚»‚ÌŒ´ˆö‚łȂ­‚Ȃ邩‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚ÆBŽÀÛ‚Ìl”‚ł͂Ȃ­10–œl“–‚½‚è‚ÌŠ„‡‚Å‚ ‚éˆ×Ž€–S—¦‚ƌĂ΂ê‚Ü‚·)‚Ì”Žš‚ƂȂÁ‚Ä‚¨‚è‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚Ì’†‚Å‚ª‚ñ‚݂̂𔲂«o‚µ‚Ü‚·‚ÆŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·BЇŒÊ‚Ì’†‚Ì”Žš‚Í‚»‚Ì”N‘ã‚ÌŽ€–SŒ´ˆö‚Ì’†‚̇ˆÊ‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

              Ž€–SŒ´ˆö(‡ˆÊ)                 ‘SŽ€–S‚Ì’†@@@10–œl“–‚½‚è    lŒû: çl

@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@‚ÌŠ„‡
‘@”
ˆ««V¶•¨(1)                    28.498%               283.1/100,000 127,799

 

0 Π      ˆ««V¶•¨(5ˆÈ‰º)            0?                        ??                        

1`4      ˆ««V¶•¨(3)                    2.754%                1.9/100000          5,303

5`9      ˆ««V¶•¨(2)                    13.043%              1.8/100000          5,490

10`14  ˆ««V¶•¨(2)                    15.323%              1.9/100000          5,912

15`19  ˆ««V¶•¨(3)                    8.997%                2.6/100000          6,075

20`24  ˆ««V¶•¨(3)                    7.484%                3.6/100000          6,370

25`29  ˆ««V¶•¨(3)                    8.745%                4.6/100000          7,219

30`34  ˆ««V¶•¨(3)                    14.928%              9.3/100000          8,093

35`39  ˆ««V¶•¨(2)                    20.624%              17.2/100000        9,712

40`44  ˆ««V¶•¨(1)                    25.368%              31.0/100000        9,315

45`49  ˆ««V¶•¨(1)                    30.858%              59.0/100000        7,966

50`54  ˆ««V¶•¨(1)                    37.189%              110.6/100000      7,639

55`59  ˆ««V¶•¨(1)                    43.835%              199.1/100000      8,320

60`64  ˆ««V¶•¨(1)                    47.368%              323.0/100000      10,632

65`69  ˆ««V¶•¨(1)                    46.773%              490.7/100000      7,861

70`74  ˆ««V¶•¨(1)                    42.490%              672.1/100000      7,184

75`79  ˆ««V¶•¨(1)                    36.406%              997.2/100000      6,143

80`84  ˆ««V¶•¨(1)                    28.537%              1401.7/100000    4,494

85`89  ˆ««V¶•¨(1)                    20.819%              1772.3/100000    2,625

90`94  ˆ««V¶•¨(3)                    13.919%              2090.2/100000    1,082

95`99  ˆ««V¶•¨(5)                    9.058%                2286.4/100000    317

100Î

ˆÈã"     ˆ««V¶•¨(5)                    4.869%                2027.7/100000    47

 

‚±‚̂悤‚ÉA‚ª‚ñ‚ÍŽ€–S‚̑傫‚ÈŠ„‡‚ðè‚߂è‚èA“Á‚É40‘ã‚©‚ç‚Ì“­‚«·‚è‚É‘æˆêˆÊ‚ÌŒ´ˆö‚ƂȂÁ‚Ä‚¨‚èA‚µ‚©‚à‚»‚Ì—\Œã(‰½‚ç‚©‚̈ãŠw“Iˆ’u‚ð‚µ‚½Œã‚Ì‚±‚Æ)‚ðˆ«‚­‚·‚銄‡‚ª‚‚¢‚½‚߂ɂº‚Ð‚Æ‚à‚»‚ÌŽ€–S—¦‚ðŒ¸‚ç‚µ‚½‚¢—vˆö‚Å‚·B

‚»‚µ‚ÄA‚ª‚ñ‚̜늳—¦‚ÍŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B75΂ð‰ß‚¬‚邯ˆê’i‚Æ‚»‚̊댯«‚ª‘‚¦‚Ä‚«‚Ü‚·B

 

•”ˆÊ                     œëг—¦()

              @@75΂܂Š    ¶ŠUF•½‹ÏŽõ–½                 •½‹Ï

‘S‘Ì       @@26.564%   40.440%(84Î)               0.6663%/”N

’j«‘S•”ˆÊ@31.436%      44.292%(80.21Î)           0.7981%/”N

—«‘S•”ˆÊ@22.070%   35.078%(86.61Î)           0.5414%/”N

 

ŽŸ‚É‚ª‚ñ‚Ì—\–h‚ÌlŽ@‚Ɉڂè‚Ü‚·‚ªA‚ª‚ñ‚Ío—ˆ‚éꊂɂæ‚è‚©‚Ȃ肻‚Ì“Á’¥‚ªˆá‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅA

‚ª‚ñ‚Ì—\–h‚ðl‚¦‚éã‚Å‚ª‚ñ‚Ìo—ˆ‚éꊂɂæ‚蕪—Þ‚µ‚Ä‚»‚Ì“Á’¥‚æ‚è—\–h–@‚ðl‚¦‚Ă݂܂·B

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ

 

‚Ü‚¸A“ú–{l‚É“Á‚É’j«‚É‘½‚¢AˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚©‚çl‚¦‚Ă݂܂·B

 

“ú–{Á‰»ŠíŠw•a‰ï2012‚É‚æ‚è‚Ü‚·‚ÆA

•”ˆÊ                     œëг—¦()                         Ž€–S—¦()

                            75΂܂Š           ¶ŠU       75΂܂Š           ¶ŠU

’j«ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ          6.0                       10.9       1.8                       4.1

—«ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ          2.3                       5.5         0.7                       2.0

 

‚»‚µ‚Ä–¾Šm‚Ȋ댯ˆöŽq‚Æ‚µ‚ÄA@ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õA‰–•ª‰ßèÛŽæ(6g/“ú‚æ‚葽‚¢)A”\“®‹i‰ŒA–ìØ•s‘«A‰Ê•¨•s‘«‚ð‚ ‚°‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

ˆê•ûA‘—§‚ª‚ñŒ¤‹†ƒZƒ“ƒ^[‚ª‚ñî•ñƒT[ƒrƒX‚ÌlŒû“®‘Ô“Œv2) ‚É‚æ‚邪‚ñŽ€–Sƒf[ƒ^i1958”N`2013”Nj‚ðŠî‚ɉÁH‚µ‚Ü‚·‚ÆA

2011‚Ì10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦

 

•”ˆÊ                     œëг—¦()

              @@75΂܂Š    ¶ŠUF•½‹ÏŽõ–½               •½‹Ï

‘S‘Ì       @@4.357%      8.136%(84Î)                 0.103%/”N

’j«ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ@6.534%       10.0201%(80.21Î)        0.145%/”N

—«ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ@2.322%       5.000%(86.61Î)            0.064%/”N

 

‘O‚̃f[ƒ^‚Ƃͭ‚µˆá‚¢‚Ü‚·‚ªAÚׂª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·‚̂ł±‚¿‚ç‚ðŠî€‚Æ‚µ‚½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B’j«‚Ì•û‚ª—«‚æ‚è2”{’ö“xˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚ɂ͂©‚©‚è‚â‚·‚¢‚悤‚Å‚·B‚»‚µ‚Ä75΂ð‰ß‚¬‚邯‚»‚ÌŠ„‡‚ªã¸‚µA‚¨‚¨‚æ‚»75΂܂łɜ늳‚·‚é—¦‚ÆA‚»‚êˆÈŒã‚ɜ늳‚·‚é—¦‚ª‚Ù‚Ú“™‚µ‚­‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B¶ŠUœëг—¦‚Ås‚Á‚Ä’j«‚Å10“’ö“xA—«‚Å‚Í5“’ö“x‚Å‚·B‹°‚ê‚邿‚¤‚È”Žš‚ł͂Ȃ¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚µ‚©‚µA–³Ž‹‚Å‚«‚锎š‚ł͂Ȃ­A—\–h‚ª‚Å‚«‚é‚ɉz‚µ‚½‚±‚Ƃ͂ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚±‚ÅA‚Ü‚¸‚»‚ꂼ‚ê‚Ì”N‘ã‚܂ł̜늳—¦‚Æ—ÝϜ늳—¦‚ÌÚׂð‚Ü‚Æ‚ß‚é‚ÆŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

”N—ˆ•ʈ݂ª‚ñœëг—¦


”N—î•ʈ݂ª‚ñœëг—¦@
2011@10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚Ì”N—î•ʈ݂ª‚ñ—ÝϜ늳—¦ 2)

”N—î

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

‘S‘Ì(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚Ì—ÝϜ늳”)

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.5

2.5

‘S‘Ì(—ÝϜ늳—¦“)

0%

0%

0%

0%

0.00%

0.00%

’j«(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚Ì—ÝϜ늳”)

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.5

1.8

’j«(—ÝϜ늳—¦“)

0%

0%

0%

0%

0.00%

0.00%

—«(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚Ì—ÝϜ늳”)

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.5

3.3

—«(—ÝϜ늳—¦“)

0%

0%

0%

0%

0.00%

0.00%

”N—î

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

‘S‘Ì(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚Ì—ÝϜ늳”)

6.5

13.5

26.4

55.0

109.3

208.6

‘S‘Ì(—ÝϜ늳—¦“)

0.01%

0.01%

0.03%

0.06%

0.11%

0.21%

’j«(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚Ì—ÝϜ늳”)

4.9

10.4

24.9

57.9

132.5

278.5

’j«(—ÝϜ늳—¦“)

0.00%

0.01%

0.02%

0.06%

0.13%

0.28%

—«(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚Ì—ÝϜ늳”)

8.0

16.7

28.0

52.2

86.1

139.5

—«(—ÝϜ늳—¦“)

0.01%

0.02%

0.03%

0.05%

0.09%

0.14%

”N—î

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85~

‘S‘Ì(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚Ì—ÝϜ늳”)

363.9

583.5

890.0

1273.3

1694.8

2104.6

‘S‘Ì(—ÝϜ늳—¦“)

0.36%

0.58%

0.89%

1.27%

1.70%

2.1%

’j«(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚Ì—ÝϜ늳”)

514.5

856.8

1349.2

1965.1

2675.6

3383.8

’j«(—ÝϜ늳—¦“)

0.51%

0.86%

1.35%

1.97%

2.68%

3.38%

—«(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚Ì—ÝϜ늳”)

216.9

324.1

469.7

673.0

907.9

1200.8

—«(—ÝϜ늳—¦“)

0.22%

0.32%

0.47%

0.67%

0.91%

1.20%

 

‚±‚̃f[ƒ^‚ð‰ÁH‚µ‚ÄA‚»‚Ì”N‘ãˆÈ~‚Ɉ݂ª‚ñ‚É‚©‚©‚郊ƒXƒNA‚‚܂è—Ⴆ‚΂T‚O`‚T‚S‚Ìl‚ª‚»‚ÌŒã‚É‚©‚©‚郊ƒXƒN‚ðŒvŽZ‚µ‚Ă݂܂·‚ÆŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B@

 

”N—î•ʶŠUˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгƒŠƒXƒN


”N—î•ʂ̶ŠUˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгƒŠƒXƒN‚ðŒvŽZ‚·‚邯

 

”N—î

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

‘S‘Ì(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNœëг”)

2104.6

2104.6

2104.6

2104.6

2104.6

2104.1

‘S‘Ì(œëг—¦“)

2.10%

2.10%

2.10%

2.10%

2.10%

2.10%

’j«(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNœëг”)

3383.8

3383.8

3383.8

3383.8

3383.8

3383.3

’j«(œëг—¦“)

3.38%

3.38%

3.38%

3.38%

3.38%

3.38%

—«(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNœëг”)

1200.8

1200.8

1200.8

1200.8

1200.8

1200.3

—«(œëг—¦“)

1.20%

1.20%

1.20%

1.20%

1.20%

1.20%

”N—î

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

‘S‘Ì(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNœëг”)

2102.1

2098.1

2091.1

2078.2

2049.5

1995.3

‘S‘Ì(œëг—¦“)

2.10%

2.10%

2.09%

2.08%

2.05%

2.00%

’j«(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNœëг”)

3382.0

3378.9

3373.5

3359.0

3325.9

3251.3

’j«(œëг—¦“)

3.38%

3.38%

3.37%

3.36%

3.33%

3.25%

—«(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNœëг”)

1197.6

1192.8

1184.2

1172.8

1148.6

1114.7

—«(œëг—¦“)

1.20%

1.19%

1.18%

1.27%

1.15%

1.11%

”N—î

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85~

‘S‘Ì(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNœëг”)

1896.0

1740.7

1521.1

1214.6

831.3

409.8

‘S‘Ì(œëг—¦“)

1.90%

1.74%

1.52%

1.21%

0.83%

0.41%

’j«(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNœëг”)

3105.4

2869.3

2527.0

2034.6

1418.7

708.2

’j«(œëг—¦“)

3.11%

2.87%

2.57%

2.03%

1.42%

0.71%

—«(10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNœëг”)

1061.3

983.9

876.7

731.1

527.9

292.9

—«(œëг—¦“)

1.06%

0.94%

0.88%

0.73%

0.53%

0.29%

2011@”N—î•Ê10–œl‚ ‚½‚è‚݂̈ª‚ñ¶ŠUœëгƒŠƒXƒN—¦2)

 

‚±‚ê‚ç‚Ì’l‚ÍA‚ ‚­‚܂Ō‹‰Ê‚Å‚·B‚»‚Ì—vˆö‚ƂȂé‚à‚Ì‚ª‚í‚©‚ç‚È‚¢‚Æ—\–h‚ðlŽ@‚·‚邱‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚±‚ÅA‚±‚ê‚ðo”­“_‚Æ‚µ‚Ä—lX‚ÈlŽ@AC³‚ð‰Á‚¦‚Ä‚¢‚«‚½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”­Ç—vˆö


“ú–{Á‰»Ší•aŠw‰ï‚É‚æ‚è‚Ü‚·‚ÆAˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚Ì—vˆö‚Æ‚µ‚ÄŽw“E‚³‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚é‚à‚͎̂Ÿ‚Ì—vˆö‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚Ä‚»‚Ì’†‚ŃsƒƒŠ‹Û‚ÌŠ´õ‚ªÅ‘å‚Ì—vˆö‚Å‚ ‚邯‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”­Ç‚Ì—vˆö‚Æ‚µ‚ÄŽw“E‚³‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚é‚à‚ÌF“ú–{Á‰»Ší•aŠw‰ï

œƒXƒgƒŒƒX

@ƒXƒgƒŒƒX‚ÍŒŒ‰t‚Ì—¬‚ê‚ðˆ«‚­‚µCŠˆ«Ž_‘f‚ð‘å—ʂɔ­¶‚³‚¹CˆÝ‰Š‚âˆÝ’×ᇂ̌´ˆö‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚炪ŒJ‚è•Ô‚³‚ê‚邱‚Ƃňݕǂª‚ª‚ñ‰»‚·‚éŠëŒ¯«‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B

@

@ƒXƒgƒŒƒX‚ª‘½‚­‚¢‚Â‚à‚¢‚ç‚¢‚炵‚Ä‚¢‚él‚͈݂ª‚ñ‚ɂȂéŠm—¦‚ª‚Q”{‚É‚È‚é‚Æ‚ÌŒ¤‹†Œ‹‰Ê‚ªŠàŠw‰ï‚Å•ñ‚³‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

œH‰–‚̉ßèÛŽæ

@“®•¨ŽÀŒ±‚Ȃǂ©‚çCˆÝ‚Ì’†‚ʼn–•ª”Z“x‚ª‚‚܂邯”S–Œ‚ªƒ_ƒ[ƒW‚ðŽó‚¯,ˆÝ‰Š‚ª”­¶‚µ”­‚ª‚ñ•¨Ž¿‚̉e‹¿‚ðŽó‚¯‚â‚·‚­‚Ȃ邱‚Æ‚ªŽ¦‚³‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

@

@Œú¶˜J“­È‚ÌŒ¤‹†‚Å‚ÍC–ñ‚S–œl‚Ì’j—‚ðH‰–ÚŽû—ʂɂæ‚èC‚T‚‚̃Oƒ‹[ƒv‚ɂ킯‚P‚O”NŠÔ’ÇÕ’²¸‚µ”äŠr‚µ‚½‚Æ‚±‚ëCH‰–ÛŽæ—Ê‚ÌÅ‚à‘½‚¢ƒOƒ‹[ƒv‚Í­‚È‚¢ƒOƒ‹[ƒv‚É”ä‚ׂQ”{‚݂̈ª‚ñ”­Ç—¦‚ðŽ¦‚µC“Á‚É‚½‚炱‚≖h‚Ȃǂ”Z“x‰–•ª‚Ì‚à‚̂𖈓úH‚ׂél‚ÍH‚ׂȂ¢l‚É”ä‚ׂR”{‚Ì”­Ç—¦‚ðŽ¦‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚邯‚¢‚¤‚±‚Æ‚ª‚í‚©‚è‚Ü‚µ‚½B

œ‹i‰Œ

@ƒ^ƒoƒR‚̉Œ‚ɂ̓jƒgƒƒ\ƒAƒ~ƒ“‚âƒWƒxƒ“ƒ]ƒsƒŒƒ“‚Ȃǂ̔­‚ª‚ñ•¨Ž¿‚ªŠÜ‚Ü‚êC‚±‚ê‚炪ˆÝ•Ç‚ðŽhŒƒ‚µC‚ª‚ñ‚Ì”­Ç‚𑣂·‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚Ü‚½‹i‰Œ‚ÍŠˆ«Ž_‘f‚à”­¶‚³‚¹‚Ü‚·B@‹i‰ŒŽÒ‚Í”ñ‹i‰ŒŽÒ‚Æ”äŠr‚·‚邯ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚Ì”­Ç—¦‚ª‚PD‚T”{`‚Q”{‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

œ‘å—ʂ̃Aƒ‹ƒR[ƒ‹

@ƒAƒ‹ƒR[ƒ‹Ž©‘̂ɂ͔­‚ª‚ñ«‚Í‚ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñ‚ªC—Ê‚ª‘½‚¢‚ƈ݂̔S–Œ‚ð‚߂܂·B‚»‚±‚Ƀ^ƒoƒR‚Ì’†‚Ì”­‚ª‚ñ•¨Ž¿‚ªì—p‚·‚邯‘Šæì—p‚Å‚æ‚肪‚ñ‰»‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN‚ª‚‚­‚È‚èCˆÝ‚Ì“ü‚èŒû‚ɋ߂¢•”ˆÊ‚Ì‚ª‚ñ‚ÉŒÀ‚Á‚Ä‚ÍC‹i‰ŒŽÒ‚Í‚R”{C‚³‚ç‚ɃAƒ‹ƒR[ƒ‹‚àˆù‚Þl‚Í‚T”{‚à”­Ç—¦‚ª‚‚­‚È‚è‚Ü‚·B

œH•i“Y‰Á•¨EÅ‚°

@ƒnƒ€‚âƒx[ƒRƒ“‚Ì»‘¢‚É—p‚¢‚ç‚ê‚鈟Ɏ_‰–‚Í”­‚ª‚ñ•¨Ž¿ƒjƒgƒƒ\ƒAƒ~ƒ“‚𶬂³‚¹C“¯—l‚Ƀjƒgƒƒ\ƒAƒ~ƒ“‚ðŠÜ‚Þ“÷‚â‹›‚ÌÅ‚°‚½•”•ª‚àˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚ðˆø‚«‹N‚±‚·—vˆö‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

œƒsƒƒŠ‹Û

@ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û‚Í“ú–{l‚ł͂T‚OΈÈã‚Ìl‚Ì‚W‚O“‚ªŠ´õ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚邯Œ¾‚í‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·BƒsƒƒŠ‹Û‚©‚番”傳‚ê‚é“Å‘f‚͈ݔS–Œ‚̃^ƒ“ƒpƒN‚ÆŒ‹‡‚µC”S–Œ×–E‚ð”—£‚³‚¹‚Ü‚·B‚»‚±‚Ɉݎ_‚ªì—p‚µC’×ᇂ𔭶‚³‚¹‚Ü‚·B

@‚±‚̓őf‚ɃAƒ‹ƒR[ƒ‹‚ª‰Á‚í‚邯‘ŠæŒø‰Ê‚ÅˆÝ•Ç‚ð‚ª‚ñ‰»‚³‚¹‚éŠëŒ¯«‚ª‚³‚ç‚É‚‚Ü‚è‚Ü‚·BƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ÍŒŒ‰tŒŸ¸‚ł킩‚èR¶•¨Ž¿‚ÅŽE‚¹‚é‚Ì‚ÅC‘‚߂ɜ‹Ž‚µ‚Ä‚¨‚«‚Ü‚µ‚傤B

 

@‚½‚¾‚µCƒsƒƒŠ‹Ûœ‹Ž‚Í•K‚¸‚µ‚à–œ”\‚ł͂Ȃ­Cœ‹Û‚ÌŒã‚É‹t—¬«H“¹‰Š‚Ȃǂª‹N‚±‚邱‚Æ‚à‚ ‚èCˆãŽt‚Ƃ悭‘Š’k‚µ‚Ü‚µ‚傤B

œˆâ“`ŽqˆÙí

@ˆÝ‚ª‚ñгŽÒ‚Ì‚UŠ„‚Í×–E‚Ì‘B‚ð—}‚¦‚éƒuƒŒ[ƒL–ð‚̈â“`Žq‚ɈÙ킪‚ ‚邱‚Æ‚ðC‹ž“s‘åŠwƒEƒCƒ‹ƒXŒ¤‹†Š‚̈ɓ¡‰Ã–¾‘O‹³Žö‚炪”­Œ©‚µ•ñ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

@@ˆÝ‚ª‚ñгŽÒŒv‚S‚Ul‚©‚ç̎悵‚½×–E‚ð’²‚×‚é‚ÆŠ³ŽÒ‚Ì–ñ‚U‚O“‚ÅÁ‰»y‘f‚Ì•ª”å‚𑣂·u‚q‚t‚m‚w‚Rv‚ƌĂԈâ“`Žq‚ÌŠˆ“®‚ª’âŽ~‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚µ‚½B

@‚±‚̈â“`Žq‚ª“­‚©‚È‚­‚Ȃ邱‚Ƃɂæ‚èC”S–Œ×–E‚ªŒÀ‚è‚È‚­‘B‚µ‚Ä‚µ‚Ü‚¤‚±‚Æ‚ª‚í‚©‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚̈â“`Žq‚ÌŠˆ“®’âŽ~‚ð‚¢‚©‚É‚·‚ê‚Ζh‚®‚±‚Æ‚ª‚Å‚«‚é‚©‚ª¡Œã‚ÌŒ¤‹†‚̉ۑè‚Å‚·B

ˆÈã“ú–{Á‰»Ší•aŠw‰ï‚æ‚èA

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг‚ւ̉e‹¿“x

‚Ü‚¸AÅ‘å—vˆö‚Æ‚³‚ê‚éƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚̉e‹¿“x‚ðŒ©Ï‚à‚Á‚Ă݂½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û‚ÌŠ´õ—¦‚̃f[ƒ^‚Æ‚µ‚ÄŽŸ‚Ì—l‚È‚à‚Ì‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B”NXA“Á‚ÉŽá‚¢l‚ÌŠ´õ—¦‚ª‰º‚ª‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚ªAŒˆ‚µ‚Ä–³Ž‹‚Å‚«‚é’l‚ł͂ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB


3)

 

‚±‚Ì1990”N‚©‚ç1995”N‚Ìã‚ÌÔ‚¢ü‚ɑГ–‚·‚鎞Šú‚ÉŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ȃRƒz[ƒgŒ¤‹†‚ª‚È‚³‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B4) ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚݂̈ª‚ñ‚ւ̉e‹¿‚𒲸‚µ‚½ƒRƒz[ƒgŒ¤‹†‚Æ‚µ‚ÄÅ‘å‹K–͂̂à‚̂ł ‚èA‚±‚Ì“à—e‚æ‚è‰e‹¿“x‚ð„˜_‚µ‚Ă݂܂·B

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг‚ւ̉e‹¿“x‚Ì’²¸

 

Sasazuki “™‚É‚æ‚邯4)@1990”N‚Æ1993”N‚ÉŠâŽèŒ§“ñŒËAH“cŒ§‰¡ŽèAˆï錧…ŒËAVŠƒŒ§’·‰ªA’·–쌧²‹vA‘åã•{“cA‚’mŒ§’†‰›“ŒA’·èŒ§ãŒÜ“‡A‰«“ꌧ’†•”A‰«“ꌧ‹{ŒÃ‚É‚¨‚¢‚ăTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚ðÌWB‡Œv’j«61009–¼A—«62567–¼‚ÌŒv123576–¼‚Ì‚¤‚¿A’j«47525–¼A—«52283–¼AŒv99808–¼‚©‚玿–â‚̕ԓš‚ð“üŽèB‚»‚Ì‚¤‚¿‚·‚łɂª‚ñ‚ɜ늳‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚éA“ú–{l‚łȂ¢Aˆø‰z‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚é‚à‚̂𜂢‚½A’j«46803–¼A—«50841–¼AŒv97644–¼‚ð‘I‘ðB2004”N12ŒŽ31“ú‚܂ŒÇÕB‚»‚ÌŠÔ‚É12250–¼’ÇÕ•s‰Â”\‚ƂȂéBŽc‚Á‚½85394–¼‚Ì’ÇÕ‚Å1681–¼‚ª‚ª‚ñ‚ðœëгB‚»‚Ì‚¤‚¿511–¼‚̃sƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õî•ñ‚ð“üŽè(ŽÀ‚Í‚±‚Ì‚ ‚½‚肪–¾Šm‚É‘‚¢‚ĂȂ­‚Í‚Á‚«‚肵‚È‚¢‚̂ł·‚ªA“Á‚É12250‚Ì’ÇÕ•s–¾ŽÒ‚É‚ª‚ñ‚É‚æ‚鎀–S‚ªŠÜ‚Ü‚ê‚é‚Ì‚©‚ȂǕs–¾‚Å‚·B‚µ‚©‚µAðŒ‚ðŒÅ’肵‚È‚¢‚Ɖð͂ł«‚È‚¢‚½‚ßA‚à‚Á‚Æ‚à‚炵‚¢1681–¼‚ª85394–¼‚Ì’†‚©‚çœëг‚µ‚½‚Æ‚µ‚ĉðÍ‚µ‚Ü‚·)B‚»‚Ì“à511(M:327, F:169, 40-49:77, 50-59: 235, 60-69:199)–¼‚̃sƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚𒲂ׂ½‚Æ‚±‚ë478–¼‚©‚çƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ðŠm”F‚µ‚Ü‚µ‚½B(‚±‚ÌŠ´õ—¦‚Íã‚̃Oƒ‰ƒt‚Æ”N—î‚ð‘Ήž‚³‚¹‚Ă݂܂·‚ÆA—‚É‚©‚È‚Á‚½’l‚¾‚ÆŽv‚í‚ê‚Ü‚·B)

‚»‚µ‚ÄAˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚̜늳‚̂Ȃ¢Žc‚è‚ÌlX‚æ‚èAo—ˆ‚éŒÀ‚è511–¼ˆêl‚ЂƂèƒ}ƒbƒ`ƒ“ƒO(ŒÂ•ʃ}ƒbƒ`ƒ“ƒO–@‚Æ‚¢‚í‚ê‚Ü‚·AŒã‚Ù‚Çà–¾‚·‚éŒð—‚ðŒ¸‚ç‚·‚½‚ß‚És‚í‚ê‚Ü‚·)‚·‚é511–¼‚ð‘I‚Ño‚µƒRƒ“ƒgƒ[ƒ‹‚Æ‚µ‚ÄAƒlƒXƒeƒBƒhEƒP[ƒXEƒRƒ“ƒgƒ[ƒ‹ƒXƒ^ƒfƒB‚ðŽÀŽ{‚µAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚É‚æ‚郊ƒXƒN‚Ì‘Œ¸‚ð‰ðÍ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

‚܂ƂßF

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒŠƒ“ƒO@1990@or 1993

’j«46803/—«50841 ‡Œv 97644

12250’ÇÕ•s”\ -> 85394’ÇÕ

(’ÇÕ•s”\‚Ì’j—”䂪•s–¾)

’j«13467/—«23278 ‡Œv36745ŒŒ‰t“üŽè

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг1681/85394 -> 1.9685223%

(œëг‚Ì’j—”䂪•s–¾)

              0.1312348%/”N : 131.2348252l/10–œl/”N

1681–¼‚©‚ç511‚ð‘I‘ð(ŠJŽnŽž“_‚ł̃sƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õî•ñ‚Ì“¾‚ç‚ꂽl)‘I‘ð = 0.303985722

(511–¼‚Ì’Šo•û–@‚ª•s–¾AƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õî•ñ‚ª“¾‚ç‚ꂽl‚ð‘I‘ð‚µ‚½‚Æ‚·‚邯‘I‘ðƒoƒCƒAƒX‚̉”\«‘å)

•êW’c@85394x511/1681 = 25958 (Ø‚èŽÌ‚Ä)FˆÈã‚æ‚肱‚ê‚ð•êW’c‚Æl‚¦‚é‚Ì‚ª“KØB

ƒlƒXƒeƒBƒhƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹@      511/511

”N—î@57.4

’j«@66.8%(511’†)

’ÇÕŠúŠÔ15”N@1990-2004

A:B:C:D = 20.800: 21.011: 54.307: 3.90246FŒã‚Ù‚Çà–¾‚µ‚Ü‚·B

œëг—¦@511/25958 ­= 1.968565%

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦(%/”N) 0.1312%

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгƒIƒbƒY”ä

 

‚±‚ÌŒ¤‹†‚ÍAˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚̜늳‚ ‚èA‚È‚µ‚ŃTƒ“ƒvƒŠƒ“ƒO‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅA‚»‚̔䗦‚Í•êW’c‚𔽉f‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚±‚ÅAƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ð‚»‚Ì‚Ü‚Ü‹‚߂邱‚Ƃ͂ł«‚Ü‚¹‚ñ‚Ì‚ÅAƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ð‹‚߂܂·BK‚¢‚É‚àˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚̜늳—¦‚ª’á‚¢(1681/85394)‚Ì‚ÅAƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ÍƒŠƒXƒN”䂯‹ß‚¢’l‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚»‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚ÍŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

•ªŠ„•\ƒIƒbƒY”ä

 

•ªŠ„•\‚ð쬂·‚邯‰º‚̂悤‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

¬Œv

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

478: a

33: b

511: m1

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

383: c

128: d

511: m0

¬Œv

861: n1

161: n0

1022: T

•ªŠ„•\‚Ì‚»‚ꂼ‚ê‚Ì’l‚ð•\‚̂悤‚É–¼‘O(a,b“™)‚ð•t‚¯‚Ä‚¨‚«‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚̂ŋ»–¡‚ª‚ ‚é‚Ì‚ÍA‘Š‘ÎŠëŒ¯“xirelative riskj‚Å‚·B‘Š‘ÎŠëŒ¯“x‚ÍA–\˜IŒQ(ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ)‚Ì”ñ–\˜IŒQ(ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ)‚É‚¨‚¯‚鎾•a‚Ì•p“x‚ɑ΂·‚é”ä(”­ÇƒŠƒXƒN‚Æ‚¢‚í‚ê‚Ü‚·)‚Ì‚±‚Ƃł·BƒRƒz[ƒgŒ¤‹†‚Å‚Í‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN‚Ü‚½‚ÍƒŠƒXƒN·‚ªˆê”Ê“I‚É—p‚¢‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·Bˆê•ûAÇ—á‘ÎÆŒ¤‹†‚Å‚Í‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒNFƒŠƒXƒN”äirisk ratioj‚ªŒvŽZ‚Å‚«‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚±‚ê‚ÍAƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ÌŒvŽZ‚Å•K—v‚ƂȂéAã•\‚Åa/n1‚Ì”ä‚Æ b/n0‚̔䂪A”­Ç‚ ‚èA‚È‚µ‚Å•ÊX‚ɃTƒ“ƒvƒŠƒ“ƒO‚³‚ê‚»‚̃Tƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒTƒCƒY‚Ì”ä(ã‚Ì—á‚ł͂ª‚ñœëг511‚Æ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг511‚ª•êW’cAˆê”Ê“I‚ɂ͓ú–{l‘S‘ÌA‚ÌŠ„‡‚ƈႤ‚½‚ßA‚»‚Ì”ä‚ðŽæ‚é‚±‚ƂɈӖ¡‚ª‚È‚¢‚©‚ç‚Å‚·B@‚‚܂èA478/861‚ª“ú–{l‘S‘Ì‚Ì”ä‚Æˆá‚¤‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃł·B@

‚»‚±‚ňê”Ê“I‚É‚ÍAÇ—á‘ÎÆŒ¤‹†‚Å‚ÍÇ—áƒIƒbƒY”äiodds ratioj‘ã—p‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·B–{—ˆ‚ÍAÇ—áƒIƒbƒY”ä(ã‚Ì—á‚Å‚Ía/c‚Æb/d‚Ì”ä)‚àA“¯‚¶——R‚Å‹‚߂邱‚Ƃ͂ł«‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚µ‚©‚µAƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ɂ͑ÎÌ«‚ª‚ ‚èAÇ—áƒIƒbƒY”ä(a/c:b/d)‚Æ–\˜IƒIƒbƒY”ä(a/b:c/d)‚ªŒ‹‹Ç“¯‚¶Ž®(ad/bc)‚ƂȂ邽‚ßA–\˜IƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ð‹‚ßA‚»‚ê‚ðÇ—áƒIƒbƒY”䂯‚µ‚ÄŽg—p‚µ‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA•p“x‚ª‹H‚ÈŽ¾•a‚Ìê‡ƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚̓IƒbƒY”ä‚ŋߎ—‚Å‚«‚é‚Ü‚·B‚»‚±‚ÅA–\˜IƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ðÇ—áƒIƒbƒY”䂯‚µAǗ჊ƒXƒN”ä‚Å‚ ‚鑊‘Ί댯“x‚Æ‚µ‚ÄA–\˜IŒQ‚Ì”ñ–\˜IŒQ‚ɑ΂·‚é”­ÇƒŠƒXƒN‚Ì”ä‚Æ‚µ‚Ä—˜—p‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·B‚±‚Ì‚ ‚½‚è‚Ì—LŒø«‚àŠÜ‚ߌŸ“¢‚ð‚µ‚ÄA—\–h‚É—LŒø‚Èî•ñ‚ðˆø‚«o‚µ‚Ă݂܂µ‚傤B‚È‚¨Aã‚Ì—á‚Å‚àA–\˜IƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚‚܂èAa/m1‚Æ c/m0‚Ì”ä‚Í•êW’c‚Ì”ä‚ð•\‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚邽‚ß‹‚߂邱‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚Ì•ªŠ„•\‚©‚ç–\˜I(ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ)ƒŠƒXƒN”ä(RRD‚Æ‚µ‚Ü‚·)‚Æ‹‚߂邯A

RRD = (a/m1)/(c/m0) = (478/511)/(383/511) = 1.248

M—Š‹æŠÔCI = RRD x exp(}1.96xã(c/an1 + d/bn0) )

= 1.248 x exp(}1.96xã(383/478x511 + 128/33x511) )

= 1.181/1.319

exp‚ÍAŽw”‚̕ʋL‚Å‚·B‚‚܂èAexp(x) = ex ‚Ì‚±‚Ƃł·B‚±‚Ìà–¾‚Å‚ÍAexp()‚Ì•\‹L‚ðŽg‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍAœëгŽÒA”äœëгŽÒ‚̃sƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õŠ„‡‚Ì”ä‚Ì‚±‚Ƃł·B‚±‚ê‚Í’l‚Æ‚µ‚Ăͳ‚µ‚¢‚̂ł·‚ªA‚±‚ÌŒ¤‹†‚̈Ó}‚ƈê’v‚µ‚Ü‚¹‚ñB

 

ŽŸ‚ÉA•ªŠ„•\‚©‚ç–\˜I(ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ)ƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ð‹‚߂邯

OR = (a/b)/(c/d) = (ad)/(bc) = (478x128)/(383x33) = 4.841

M—Š‹æŠÔ(CI)@

exp(}1.96xã(1/a + 1/b + 1/c + 1/d) )

= exp(}1.96xã(1/478 + 1/383 + 1/33 + 1/128) )

= exp (}0.4056)

= 1.5/0.6667

‹æŠÔ„’è ORx0.667 =3.227< OR=4.841 < ORx1.5=7.262

 

ŒJ‚è•Ô‚µ‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·‚ªA‚±‚Ì•ªŠ„•\‚©‚狂߂Ă¢‚¢‚͖̂{—ˆ‚±‚Ì’l‚¾‚¯‚Å‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍA–\˜IƒIƒbƒY”䂯‚È‚è‚Ü‚·B‚‚܂èA޾г‚Ì‚ ‚éƒOƒ‹[ƒv“à‚Ì–\˜I‚ÌŠ„‡‚ÆŽ¾Š³‚̂Ȃ¢ƒOƒ‹[ƒv“à‚Ì–\˜I‚ÌŠ„‡‚Ì”äA‚±‚ê‚ð–\˜IƒIƒbƒY”ä‚Å‚·B‚µ‚©‚µ–{—ˆ’m‚肽‚¢‚͔̂­ÇƒŠƒXƒN‚Å‚·B‚‚܂èA–\˜I‚Ì‚ ‚é(ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û‚ÉŠ´õ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚é)ƒOƒ‹[ƒv“à‚ł̔­Ç(‚ª‚ñœëг)‚ÌŠ„‡‚Æ–\˜I‚̂Ȃ¢(ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û‚ÉŠ´õ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚È‚¢)ƒOƒ‹[ƒv“à‚ł̔­Ç(‚ª‚ñœëг)‚ÌŠ„‡‚Ì”äA‚‚܂蔭ǃIƒbƒY”ä‚̂͂¸‚Å‚·B‚µ‚©‚µAæ‚Ù‚ÇŽ¦‚µ‚½‚悤‚ÉA”­ÇƒIƒbƒY”䂯–\˜IƒIƒbƒY”ä‚Í“¯‚¶Ž®‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅAŒ‹‰Ê‚ª“¯‚¶‚Ȃ̂Ŗ\˜IƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ð”­ÇƒIƒbƒY”䂯“ǂݑւ¦‚ÄŽg—p‚µ‚Ü‚·B

 

‚Ü‚½A•ªŠ„•\‚Ìî•ñ—ʂ͎Ÿ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚±‚Ìî•ñ—ʂ̈Ӗ¡‚·‚邯‚±‚ë‚ÍAŒã‚Ù‚Çà–¾‚µ‚Ü‚·B

‘î•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 1.579 (Max. 2)

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.0497

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.6284

‘ŠŒÝ^‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(): 3.146

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(޾гFˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг|„ –\˜IFƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ): 0.5788

‘ŠŒÝ^–\˜Iî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 7.905%    92.095

 

•ªŠ„•\ƒŠƒXƒN”ä

 

ƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ÍAˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг‘Έ݂ª‚ñ”ñœëг‚̔䗦‚ª•êW’c‚𔽉f‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚È‚¢‚½‚ßAƒŠƒXƒN”äŒvŽZ‚É•K—v‚ȗႦ‚Î478/861‚Ì—l‚ÈŒvŽZ‚ɈӖ¡‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚µ‚©‚µAŒvŽZ‚ð‚·‚é‚±‚Æ‚Ío—ˆ‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅAŒã‚É‘¼‚Ì•û–@‚Æ”ä‚ׂ邽‚߂ɔ’l‚ð‹‚߂è‚«‚Ü‚·B‚»‚ÌꇂÍã‹L•ªŠ„•\‚Ìs‚Æ—ñ‚ð“ü‚ê‘Ö‚é‚Ì‚ª•’ʂł·‚̂œü‚ê‘Ö‚¦Ä“x•ªŠ„•\‚ð쬂·‚邯

 

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

478: a

383: c

861: n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

33: b

128: d

161: n0

¬Œv

511: m1

511: m0

1022: T

‚±‚Ì•\‚©‚ç‹‚ß‚ç‚ê‚éŽw•W‚ÍAŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ÌŒvŽZ•û–@‚ÍŒã‚Ù‚Çq‚ׂ܂·B–{—ˆ‹‚ß‚é‚ׂ«‚łȂ¢Žw•W‚ÍA‘S‘Ì‚ðŠ‡ŒÊ‚ÅˆÍ‚Á‚Ä‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B

 

(1.986 < RR = 2.709 < 3.693)         (0.326 < RDƒŠƒXƒN· = 0.350 < 0.376)      

1.181 < RRD = 1.248 < 1.319        0.176 < RDDƒŠƒXƒN· = 0.186 < 0.0194

3.227 < OR = 4.841 < 7.262

(0.454 < lŒûŠñ—^Š„‡PARP”­ÇƒŠƒXƒNF–\˜IƒOƒ‹[ƒv = 0.590 < 0.694)

0.083 < lŒûŠñ—^Š„‡PARPD–\˜IƒŠƒXƒNF޾гƒOƒ‹[ƒv = 0.110 < 0.137

 

‚±‚±‚ÅARR‚ÍƒŠƒXƒN”äARD‚ÍƒŠƒXƒN·ARRD‚͈݂ª‚ñгŽÒ“à‚ł̃sƒƒŠ‹Û‚ÌŠ„‡‚ÆAˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñгŽÒ‚È‚¢‚̃sƒƒŠ‹Û‚ÌŠ„‡‚Ì”ä‚ðŽæ‚Á‚½–\˜IƒŠƒXƒN”äARDD‚Í–\˜IƒŠƒXƒN·AOR‚̓IƒbƒY”äAPARP‚ÍŒã‚Ù‚Çà–¾‚·‚élŒûŠñ—^Š„‡APARPD‚ÍŽ¾Š³ƒOƒ‹[ƒv‚ÌlŒûŠñ—^Š„‡‚ð•\‚µ‚Ü‚·B

‚»‚µ‚Ä‚±‚Ì•ªŠ„•\‚Ìî•ñ—ʂ͎Ÿ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·(s‚Æ—ñ‚ð“ü‚ê‘Ö‚¦‚Ü‚µ‚½‚̂Œl‚ª•Ï‚í‚è‚Ü‚·)B

 

•ªŠ„•\î•ñ—Ê

 

(–\˜IA, ޾гB‚Æ‚µ‚Ä)

‘î•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.5779  (A+B)         

‚»‚̃f[ƒ^(•ªŠ„•\)‚ª‚ǂ̒ö“x‚Ìî•ñ—Ê‚ðŽ‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚é‚©‚ð•\‚·”’l

•sŠm’è“x‚ªAî•ñ‚𓾂邱‚Ƃɂæ‚Á‚ÄŠm’è‚·‚éꇂ»‚ÌŠm’è‚·‚邽‚߂ɓ¾‚½‚à‚Ì‚ðî•ñ—Ê

 

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.04967 (I)

–\˜Iî•ñ‚ÆŽ¾•aî•ñ‚ÌŠÖ˜A‚Ì‹­‚³‚ð•\‚·”’l

€–ÚŽ¾Š³î•ñ‚ª•ª‚©‚邱‚Æ‚ÅA‚ǂ̒ö“x€–Ú–\˜Iî•ñ‚ª‚ǂ̒ö“x‚í‚©‚é‚©‚ð•\‚·”’l

 

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.000       (B)

 

‘ŠŒÝ/‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F3.1463%  (I/(A+B))

‘î•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[‚Éè‚߂鑊ŒÝƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[‚ÌŠ„‡

ŠÖ˜A‚Ì‹­‚³‚ª‘S‘Ìî•ñ—Ê‚Éè‚߂銄‡

 

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.9503     (I/A: A->I)

޾гî•ñ‚ð’m‚½Œã‚Ì‘Sî•ñ‚Ì95%‚ª–\˜Iî•ñ‚Å‚ ‚邱‚Æ‚ðˆÓ–¡‚µ‚Ü‚·B

 

‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F4.967%  (I)/(B)           95.0329%

–\˜Iî•ñ‚É‚æ‚Á‚Ä“¾‚ç‚ê‚½Ž¾Š³î•ñ‚ª‘S޾гî•ñ‚̉½%‚Å‚ ‚é‚©‚ð•\‚µ‚Ü‚·B

 

‚æ‚èÚ‚µ‚¢î•ñ‚Íg•ªŠ„•\(‹ôŒ»•\)‚Æî•ñ—Êh‚ðŽQÆ‚µ‚Ä‚­‚¾‚³‚¢B

 

lŒûŠñ—^Š„‡

 

‚±‚̂悤‚ÈŒ`‚É‚·‚邯‰uŠw‚ÅŽg‚í‚ê‚é—lX‚ÈŽw•W‚ªŒvŽZ‰Â”\‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B

ŽÀÛ‚±‚̘_•¶‚Å‚ÍAPopulation attributable fraction (PAF) ‚ðƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ÅŽg‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B–{—ˆ‚±‚ê‚ÍAƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ÌŽw•W‚Å‚·‚Ì‚ÅA‚»‚Ì‹‚ß•û‚ɉˆ‚Á‚Ä‚¢ŒvŽZ‚µ‚Ă݂܂·B5)

 

PAF=lŒûŠñ—^Š„‡‚ÍA—lX‚È–¼‘O‚ª•t‚¢‚Ä‚¨‚èAlŒûŠñ—^ŠëŒ¯Š„‡iPopulation Attributable Risk Proportion: PARPj‚ªˆê”Ê“I‚Ȃ悤‚Å‚·‚Ì‚ÅA‚±‚Ìà–¾‚Ì’†‚ł͂»‚Ì—ªŒêPARP‚Æ‚µ‚Ü‚·B‚Ù‚©‚É‚à@lŒûŠñ—^Š„‡ W’cŠñ—^ŠëŒ¯Š„‡ W’cŠñ—^Š„‡ lŒûŠñ—^ŠëŒ¯•ª‰æiPopulation Attributable Risk FractionjlŒûŠñ—^•ª‰æ@“™‚Æ‚¢‚í‚ê‚邿‚¤‚Å‚·B

‚±‚ê‚ÍA@lŒû‘S‘̗̂¦‚Ì—vˆö”ñ”˜˜IŒQ‚Ì—¦‚©‚ç‚Ì‘‰Á•ª‚ªAlŒû‘S‘̗̂¦‚Éè‚߂銄‡‚ð•\‚µ‚Ü‚·B@Š„‡i•ª‰æj‚ð“i~100j‚Å•\‚·ê‡iPopulation Attribute Risk Percentj‚à‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B

‹ï‘Ì“I‚ÉŽŸ‚Ì•\(æ‚قǂ̕\)‚Åà–¾AŒvŽZ‚ð‚µ‚Ü‚·B

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

478: a

383: c

861: n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

33: b

128: d

161: n0

¬Œv

511: m1

511: m0

1022: T

ŽŸ‚̒蔂ð’è‹`‚µ‚Ä‚¨‚«‚Ü‚·B

R1 = a/n1; R0 = b/n0; R = m1/T; P = n1/T; Pf = a/m1;

‚»‚µ‚ÄA—vˆö”ñ–\˜IŒQ(‚±‚Ì•\‚ł̖\˜I‚Ƃ̓sƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚Ì‚±‚Ƃł·)‚Ì—¦‚©‚ç‚ÌlŒû‘S‘̂Ɨ¦‚Ì‘•ª‚ÍAR – R0@‚Å•\‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚Ä‚»‚ê‚ÌlŒû‘S‘̗̂¦‚Éè‚߂銄‡‚Å‚·‚Ì‚ÅA(R – R0)/R‚ªPARP‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·BŒãX‚ׂ̈ɕό`‚µ‚Ä‚¨‚«‚Ü‚·B

PARP = (R – R0) / R

= 1 – R0 / R

= P(RR – 1) / { P(RR – 1) + 1}

= Pf(RR-1) / RR

= Pf(R1-R0) / R1

‚±‚±‚ÅRR (ƒŠƒXƒN”ä) = R1/R0 = (a/n1) / (b/n0)CR1CR0CRCPCPf ‚ÍA‚»‚ꂼ‚êã‚É’è‹`‚µ‚½’l‚Æ‚µ‚Ü‚·B

M—Š‹æŠÔ‚͘_•¶5) ‚ÉŠî‚«A

PARPL(‰ºŒÀ) = (R – R0)/R = P(RRL – 1)/{ P(RRL – 1) + 1}

PARPL(ãŒÀ) = (R – R0)/R = P(RRH – 1)/{ P(RRH – 1) + 1}

‚±‚±‚ÅARRLARRH‚Í‚»‚ꂼ‚ꃊƒXƒN”äRR‚̉ºŒÀAãŒÀ‚Æ‚µ‚Ü‚·B

‚ ‚Æ‚ÍA‚±‚ê‚ð‘ã“ü‚µ‚ÄŒvŽZ‚·‚邯A

PARPH = 0.454 < PARP = 0.590 < PARPH =0.694

 

‚‚܂èAƒsƒƒŠ‹Û‚ÌŠ´õ‚Æ‚¢‚¤—vˆö‚ª‚È‚Á‚©‚Á‚½‚Æ‚·‚邯ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚̜늳‚Ì59%‚ª‚È‚­‚È‚é‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃł·B‚±‚ê‚͔팱ŽÒ‚̃sƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦‚ª‚‚¢(ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦478/511 = 0.9354ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëгƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦ 383/511 = 0.7495)ˆ×‚©‚È‚è‰e‹¿‚ª‘å‚«‚­‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·BŠ´õ—¦‚ª‰º‚ª‚ê‚Ήe‹¿“x‚͉º‚ª‚è‚Ü‚·‚̂ł»‚Ì‚ ‚½‚è‚ÌlŽ@‚ðŒã‚Ù‚Ç‚µ‚Ü‚·B

 

•êW’c‚Ì„’è

 

’ÇÕ•êW’c85394–¼‚ª‚±‚Ì–{—ˆ‚Ì•êW’c‚Å‚»‚Ì’†‚Ì1681–¼‚ªˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚ɜ늳‚µ‚½‚Ì‚ª–{—ˆ‚Ì󋵂ł·‚ªA1681–¼‚©‚ç511–¼‚ð’Šo‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚Ål—¶‚·‚ׂ«•êW’c‚Í85394x511/1681 = 25958–¼‚ð•êW’c‚Æ‚µ‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚Í511–¼‚ª1681–¼‚©‚烉ƒ“ƒ_ƒ€‚É’Šo‚³‚ꂽꇂɳ‚µ‚¢‚̂ł·‚ªAî•ñ‚ª‚È‚¢‚½‚ß‚±‚̉¼’è‚ʼnðÍ‚ð‚µ‚Ä‚Ý‚ÄŒã‚Ù‚ÇŒŸ“¢‚µ‚Ă݂邱‚Ƃɂµ‚Ü‚·B

‘Oq‚µ‚½——R‚Å‚±‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ð–{—ˆ’¼Ú‹‚߂邱‚Ƃ͂ł«‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚µ‚©‚µARRD:–\˜IƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚Ì478/511 ‘Î383/511‚Ì”ä‚ÍA³‚µ‚¢‚à‚̂łµ‚½A‚±‚̔䂪•êW’c‚©‚烉ƒ“ƒ_ƒ€‚ɃTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚³‚ꂽ‚à‚̂ł ‚é‚È‚ç‚ÎA•êW’c‚É“–‚Ă͂߂»‚Ì”‚ð‚à‚Æ‚ßA•ªŠ„•\‚ð쬂·‚邱‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚·B‚±‚¿‚ç‚Ì•û‚ª–{—ˆ‚È‚³‚ê‚é‚ׂ«•û–@‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA•êW’c‚ðŽg‚¢ŒvŽZ‚ª‰Â”\‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·BˆÈ‰º‚»‚ê‚ðŒvŽZ‚µ‚»‚Ì’l‚ð”ä‚ׂĂ݂½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгA”ñœëг‚ÌlX‚̃sƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦‚ª‚±‚̃Tƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒf[ƒ^‚Å•\‚³‚¹‚邯‚·‚邯A‚‚܂èA‰º‚ÌŠ´õ—¦‚ª•êW’c‚łೂµ‚¢‚Æ‚·‚邯A‚Ü‚½–¾Šm‚ɂ̓Tƒ“ƒvƒ‹•û–@‚ª‹LÚ‚³‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚¹‚ñ‚ª—‰ð‚Å‚«‚éŒÀ‚è‚É‚¨‚¢‚Ăͳ‚µ‚¢‚Æ„‘ª‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·B

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦@  478/511 = 0.9354

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëгƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦@383/511 = 0.7495

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”3ƒPƒ^‚Å‚·‚̂ł±‚êˆÈã‚Ì”ä‚̸“x‚Í‹‚ß‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñB

‚±‚ÌŠ„‡‚ð‘S’ÇÕW’c25958‚É“–‚Ä‚Í‚ß‚é‚ÆA‰º‚Ì—l‚È•ªŠ„•\‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA‚±‚ê‚Í•êW’c‚»‚Ì‚à‚̂ł·‚©‚ç‚»‚ꂼ‚ê‚̔䗦‚ÍA³Šm‚Å‚ ‚èAƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ðŒvŽZ‚·‚邱‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚·

 

•êW’cƒŠƒXƒN”ä

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—L–³(–\˜I)‚É‚æ‚éˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—L–³(”­ÇAƒAƒEƒgƒJƒ€)‚ð’m‚肽‚¢‚±‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ð–\˜I‚Æ‚µAˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг‚ðƒAƒEƒgƒJƒ€‚Æ‚µ‚½•ªŠ„•\‚ð쬂·‚é‚ÆŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

478 :a

19073 :c

19551 :n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

33 :b

6374 :d

6407 :n0

¬Œv

511: m1

25447: m0

25958 :T

 

‚±‚Ì•\‚©‚ç‹‚ß‚ç‚ê‚éŽw•W‚Í

3.340 < RR = 4.747 < 6.747           0.019 < RD = 0.019 < 0.019

1.219 < RRD = 1.248 < 1.278        0.182 < RDD = 0.186 < 0.190

3.398 < OR = 4.841 < 6.896

0.638 < PARP = 0.738 < 0.812       0.004 < PARPD = 0.005 < 0.005

0.660 < PARPOR = 0.742 < 0.800 0.017 < PARPDOR = 0.019 < 0.021

‘î•ñ—ʃGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.9425 (Max2.0)

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.0033485

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.1397

‘ŠŒÝ^‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 0.3553

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(–\˜I|„޾г): 0.1363

‘ŠŒÝ^޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 2.397%

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ƒŠƒXƒN”äAƒŠƒXƒN·AƒIƒbƒY”äŒvŽZ•û–@

 

ƒŠƒXƒN”ä

RR = (a/n1)/(b/n0) = (478/19073)/(33/6374) = 4.747

M—Š‹æŠÔ(CI)@

CI = RR * exp(}1.96xã(1/a – 1/n1) – (1/b – 1/n0))

= RR * exp(}1.96xã(c/(a*n1) – d/(b*n0))

= RR * exp(}1.96xã(19073/(478*19551) – 6374/(33*6407))

= RR * exp(}0.3516) =3.340/6.747

‹æŠÔ„’è RR       3.340 < RR=4.747 < 6.747

 

ƒŠƒXƒN·

RD= a/n1 – b/n0 = 478/19551 – 33/6407 = 0.019

CI = RD x exp(}1.96xã(ac/n13 + bd/n03))

= 0.019* exp(}1.96xã(478x19073/195513+33x6374/64073))

=0.019* exp(}0.0028)

=0.0019/0.0019

 

ƒIƒbƒY”ä

OR = (478x6374)/(33x19073) = 4.841

M—Š‹æŠÔ@

CI = OR* exp(}1.96xã(1/a + 1/b + 1/c + 1/d))

exp(}1.96xã(1/478 + 1/33 + 1/19073 + 1/6374))

= exp(}0.3539) = 3.398/6.896

‹æŠÔ„’è OR 3.398 < OR=4.841 < 6.896

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

ƒŠƒXƒN”䂯ƒIƒbƒY”ä‚Ì”äŠr

 

‚±‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ÍA‚©‚È‚èƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ɋ߂¢’l‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚»‚Ì——R‚͜늳—¦‚ª’á‚¢‚©‚ç‚Å‚·Bœëг—¦‚ª’Ⴂꇂ̓IƒbƒY”ä‚ÅƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚Ì‘ã—p‚ð‚·‚é‚±‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚·B‚½‚¾‚µA‚¢‚‚ào—ˆ‚é‚킯‚ł͂ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚̧–ñ‚ð—‰ð‚µ‚Ä‹@ŠB“I‚ł͂Ȃ­AˆÓ}‚ðŽ‚Á‚ÄŽg—p‚·‚邿‚¤‚É‚·‚é‚Ì‚ª‚æ‚¢‚Å‚µ‚傤BŒ¾‚¢Š·‚¦‚ê‚ÎAƒIƒbƒY”ä‚͜늳—¦‚ª0‚Ìê‡ƒŠƒXƒN”䂯“™‚µ‚­‚È‚è‚Ü‚·B‚½‚¾‚µA•\‚ÌŠe—“‚ª•êW’c‚Ì”ä‚ð–ž‚½‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚éê‡‚ÍƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ð’¼ÚŒvŽZ‚·‚邱‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚ê‚ç‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚ð‘O‚Ì511–¼‚Ì’l”äŠr‚µ‚Ă݂܂·B

 

ƒŠƒXƒN”ä

(ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ)

ƒŠƒXƒN·

(ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ)

ƒŠƒXƒN”ä

(ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг)

ƒŠƒXƒN·

(ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг)

ƒIƒbƒY”ä

•êW’c

3.340 <

4.747 <

6.747

0.019 <

0.019 <

0.019

1.219 <

1.248 <

1.278

0.182 <

0.186 <

0.190

3.398 <

4.841 <

6.896

511ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹

1.986 <

2.709 <

3.693

0.326 <

0.350 <

0.376

1.181 <

1.248 <

1.319

0.176 <

0.186 <

0.0194

3.227 <

4.841 <

7.262

 

ƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚Í4.747‚Æ2.709ƒIƒbƒY”ä‚Í4.841‚Æ4.841‚Å‚·BƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚Í‚©‚È‚èˆá‚¢‚Ü‚·‚ªAƒIƒbƒY”ä‚Í“¯‚¶‚Å‚·B95%M—Š‹æŠÔ‚ª‹·‚Ü‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚é‚Ì‚ÍAƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”‚ª‘‚¦‚ê‚΂»‚Ì’l4.841‚ÌŠm“x‚ª‚‚­‚Ȃ邩‚ç‚Å‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA‹C‚ª‚‚­‚Æ‚ÍAƒIƒbƒY”ä(4.841)‚ª•êW’c‚Å‹‚ß‚½ƒŠƒXƒN”ä(4.774)‚É‚©‚È‚è‹ß‚¢‚±‚Ƃł·Bæ‚Ù‚Çà–¾‚µ‚½‚悤‚ÉAƒIƒbƒY”ä‚Í‚»‚̜늳—¦‚ª¬‚³‚¢Žž(¡‚Ìꇈ݂ª‚ñ‚̜늳—¦‚Í511/25958 = 0.0197:1.79)‚ÍAƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ÍƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚Ì‘ã—p‚Æ‚µ‚ÄŽg‚¤‚±‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚·B‚½‚¾A‚P“’ö“x‚̜늳—¦‚ÅAŒë·‚Í(4.747 – 4.841)/4.747 = 0.0198, 1.98%’ö“x‚Å‚·B“_„’è‚ł͂Ȃ­‚±‚Ì—á‚̂悤‚É‹æŠÔ„’è‚ð‚µ‚Ä‚»‚ÌM—Š‹æŠÔ‚ðŠî‚É‹c˜_‚·‚é‚Ì‚ª‚æ‚¢•û–@‚Å‚·B

 

ƒIƒbƒY”ä‚©‚猾‚¦‚邱‚Æ‚ÍAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг‚ւ̉e‹¿‚̓sƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ‚É”ä‚×4.841”{‚̊댯—¦‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃł·B‚µ‚©‚µA‚±‚ê‚͂ǂ̒ö“x‚ÌŠ„‡‚ʼne‹¿‚·‚é‚Ì‚©‚í‚©‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñBâ‘Εp“x‚ª’m‚肽‚¢‚Æ‚±‚ë‚Å‚·BŒãŽÒƒŠƒXƒN”ä4.747‹y‚ÑƒŠƒXƒN·0.019‚©‚ç‚Í‚»‚ꂪŒ©‚ÄŽæ‚ê‚Ü‚·BƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ‚݂̈ª‚ñœëгЄ‡33 /6407‚ª 478 /19551‚ɂȂé‚̂ł·B‚»‚ꂼ‚ê1000l‚ ‚½‚è‚Ì’l‚É‹KŠi‰»‚µ‚Ü‚·‚ÆA5.1506/1000 ‚Æ24.4489/1000‚ɂȂèA1000l‚ ‚½‚è5.2–¼’ö“x‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN‚ª24.3–¼’ö“x‚É‚È‚é‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃł·B‚‚܂è1000l‚ ‚½‚è19–¼(1.9%)‘‚¦‚éAŒ¾‚¢Š·‚¦‚ê‚Î1–¼‚̃sƒƒŠ‹Û‚É‚æ‚éˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚̜늳‚𓾂é‚̂ɂÍ53–¼‚Ì’²¸‚ª•K—v‚¾‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃł·B

‚±‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚Í15”N‚Ì’ÇÕ’²¸‚ÅA‘O‚݂̈ª‚ñ‚̜늳—¦50Î’j«‚Å1.5%’ö“x(—«‚Ì•û‚ÍA0.8%)‚Æ”ä‚×‚Ä‚à‚»‚ê‚Ù‚Ç—£‚ꂽ’l‚ł͂ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB

 

î•ñ—Ê‚ÌlŽ@

 

‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN‚ÌlŽ@‚©‚ç‚·‚邯ŽÀÛ‚É‘‚¦‚éŠëŒ¯“x‚Í1.9%’ö“x‚Å‚µ‚½Bˆê•ûî•ñ—ʂ͎Ÿ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‘î•ñ—ʃGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[‚ª‚»‚ꂼ‚ê‚Ì•ªŠ„•\‚ÌŽ‚Âî•ñ—ʂł·B‚±‚ê‚ÍAˆê”Ô‹»–¡‚ª‚ ‚éƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚©‚‚ª‚ñœëг‚Ìî•ñ‚ª‚ǂ̒ö“x‘S‘Ì‚Ìî•ñ‚Ì’†‚Åè‚߂邩‚Ìî•ñ‚Å‚·‚Ì‚ÅAƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒf[ƒ^‚Ì•û‚ª‘å‚«‚¢‚̂͗‚É‚©‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚ªAŽÀÛ‚É—\–h‚ÉŽg‚¤‚Æ‚·‚邯•êW’c‚ÌŠ„‡‚ð³Šm‚É•\‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚È‚¢‚à‚Ì‚ðÌ—p‚·‚邿‚è‚ÍA•êW’c‚ƃTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚ª‚»‚ê‚قǕςí‚炸(Œ³X“¯‚¶Œ¤‹†‚Ȃ̂Å)‚©‚ÂAƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚Ì•û‚ª­X‘å‚«‚­A‚Ü‚½1.9%‚É‚à‹ß‚¢’l‚ð‘I‚Ԃׂ«‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B‚»‚̂悤‚Él‚¦‚邯AƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õî•ñ‚Æ‚ª‚ñœëгî•ñ‚Ì‘ŠŒÝì—p‚̑傫‚³‚ð•\‚·A‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[‚©A‚»‚Ì‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[‚ª‘S޾гî•ñ‚Éè‚߂銄‡‚ð•\‚·‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[‚ªŽg‚¦‚»‚¤‚Å‚·B‚±‚Ì‚ ‚½‚è‚ÍŒã‚Ù‚Ç‘Sƒf[ƒ^‚ª‚»‚ë‚Á‚½‚Æ‚±‚ë‚ÅÄl‚µ‚Ü‚·B

 

 

‘î•ñ—Ê

ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[

‘ŠŒÝî•ñ

ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[

޾гî•ñ

ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[

ðŒî•ñ

ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[

(–\˜I->޾г)

‘ŠŒÝ^

‘î•ñ

ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%)

‘ŠŒÝ/޾г

î•ñ

ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%)

•êW’c

0.9425

0.00335

0.1397

0.1363

0.355%

2.397%

511

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹

1.578

0.0497

1.00

0.950

3.146%

4.967%

 

ƒŠƒXƒN·‚ÆlŒûŠñ—^ŠëŒ¯Š„‡(PARP)

 

•êW’c‚ւ̉e‹¿‚ðl‚¦‚é‚Ì‚ÉƒŠƒXƒN·‚ÆlŒûŠñ—^ŠëŒ¯Š„‡‚Ì‚à‚Æ‚É”äŠr‚µ‚Ă݂½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

ƒŠƒXƒN·‚Í@0.019 < 0.019 < 0.019@‚Å‚·BƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚Í4.8”{‚Å‚µ‚½‚ªAƒŠƒXƒN·‚Í0.019A1.9%‚Å‚·B@‚‚܂èAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ªŒ´ˆö‚Å‚ ‚鎞‚É•êW’c‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг‚ÉŠñ—^‚·‚郊ƒXƒN‚Í1.9%‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃł·B

ˆê•ûlŒûŠñ—^ŠëŒ¯Š„‡‚ÍA0.638 < PARP = 0.738 < 0.812@‚Å‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍA

(R – R0) / R = (m1/T – b/n0) / (m1/T)

= {(ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг”/‘”) - (ƒsƒƒŠ”ñ‹ÛŠ´õ”’†‚݂̈ª‚ñœëгŽÒ/ƒsƒƒŠ”ñ‹ÛŠ´õ”)}

/ (ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг”/‘”)

‚Å‚·‚Ì‚ÅAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚É‚æ‚Á‚Ä•êW’c‚Ɉ݂ª‚ñгŽÒ‚ª‘‚¦‚½Š„‡‚Ì•êW’c‚݂̈ª‚ñгŽÒ‚ÌŠ„‡‚ɑ΂·‚é”ä‚Å‚·B‚‚܂èˆÝ‚ª‚ñгŽÒ‚ªƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚É‚æ‚Á‚Ä‘‚¦‚½Š„‡‚Å‚·‚Ì‚ÅA‹t‚ÉŒ¾‚¦‚΃sƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ª‚È‚­‚È‚ê‚Έ݂ª‚ñгŽÒ”‚ª‚±‚ꂾ‚¯‚ÌŠ„‡Œ¸‚邱‚Æ‚ðˆÓ–¡‚µ‚Ü‚·B

‚±‚ꂪA0.738F73.8%‚Å‚·‚Ì‚ÅAˆÝ‚ª‚ñгŽÒ‚Ì73.8%‚̓sƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚É‚æ‚邯‚à‚¢‚¦‚邱‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

—\–h‚Æ‚¢‚¤ˆÓ–¡‚Ål‚¦‚Ü‚·‚ÆA‚»‚ÌŒø‰Ê‚ÍlŒû‚Ì1.9%‚É—LŒø‚Å‚ ‚邱‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚‚܂èAŽc‚è‚Ì98.1“‚̓sƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚Ì—L–³‚͈݂ª‚ñ‚̜늳‚ÉŠÖ˜A‚ª‚È‚¢‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃɂà‚È‚è‚Ü‚·B

‚»‚µ‚ÄA‚±‚ê‚͈݂ª‚ñœëгƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦@0.9354AˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëгƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦0.7495‚Ìꇂ̌‹‰Ê‚Å‚·B‚»‚ÌŠ´õ—¦‚ª‰º‚ª‚ê‚΂»‚Ì—\–hŒø‰Ê‚Í‚³‚ç‚ɉº‚ª‚邯l‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·‚ªA‚»‚Ì”Žš‚»‚Ì‚à‚Ì‚ª‘å‚«‚­‚È‚¢‚±‚ÆA‚Ü‚½Š´õ—¦‚ª‰º‚ª‚Á‚½•êW’c‚ł̗LŒø‚ÈŒ‹‰Ê‚ªŒ©“–‚½‚ç‚È‚¢‚±‚Æ‚ðl‚¦Œ»ó‚Í‚±‚Ì’l‚ðƒx[ƒX‚Él‚¦‚½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

Œð——vˆö‚ÌŒŸ“¢

 

ŽŸ‚ÉŒð—‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄŒŸ“¢‚ð‚µ‚Ä‚Ý‚Ü‚µ‚傤BŒð—(confounding)‚Æ‚ÍA‰B‚ꂽŒ‹‰Ê(Outcome)‚ɉe‹¿‚·‚é•Ï”‚Ì‚±‚Ƃł·B‚±‚Ì—á‚Å‚ ‚°‚é‚È‚ç‚ÎA—Ⴆ‚Ϋ•ʂƂ©”N—î‚Æ‚©‚ªƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ƈ݂ª‚ñœëг‚ÌŠ„‡‚ÉŠÖ˜A‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚È‚¢‚©‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃł·Bã‚É‹‚ß‚½Œ‹‰Ê‚ðŠî‚É‚»‚Ì—L–³‚ðŒŸ“¢‚µ‚Ă݂܂µ‚傤B‚»‚Ì•û–@‚ÍA«•Ê‚â”N—î‚É‚æ‚茋‰Ê‚ðƒOƒ‹[ƒv•ª‚¯(‘w‰»‚Æ‚¢‚¢‚Ü‚·)‚µ‚Ä‚»‚ÌŠeƒOƒ‹[ƒv‚ł̕ªŠ„•\‚ðŠî‚ɃIƒbƒY”äOR^ƒŠƒXƒN”äRR‚ð‹‚߂Ă݂ȳ‚̂‚܂èƒOƒ‹[ƒvˆê‚‚Ìꇂ̌‹‰Ê‚Æ”äŠr‚µ‚Ă݂邱‚Ƃɂµ‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍAMantel-Haenszel •â³(adjustment)‚ðŽg‚Á‚Ä‹‚߂邱‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚·BƒƒWƒXƒeƒBƒbƒN‰ñ‹A•ªÍ‚ð“K‰ž‚µAƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ð’¼Ú‹‚߂邱‚Æ‚ª‚æ‚­‚È‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·‚ªAã‚Ì—á‚ðŒ©‚Ä‚àTd‚ȑΉž‚ª•K—v‚È‚±‚Æ‚ª•ª‚©‚è‚Ü‚·‚̂őw•ʉð͂ł»‚Ì‚ ‚½‚è‚ð’T‚Á‚Ă݂܂·B

‚½‚¾‚µA‚±‚̕Ⳃ͊e‘w‚̃IƒbƒY”ä‚Í‘w‚É‚æ‚炸ˆê’è‚Å‚ ‚邯‚̉¼’è‚Ì‚à‚Æ‚É‹¤’Ê‚·‚éƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ð‹‚ß‚é‚à‚̂ł·B‚±‚ê‚ÆŽ—‚½‚à‚Ì‚ÉA•W€‰»‚ð—p‚¢‚é•û–@‚ª‚ ‚èASMR(Standardized Morbidity/Mortality Ratio)‚ƌĂ΂ê‚éB‚±‚ê‚͈ê”ʂɌø‰Ê‚ÌŽ¿‚‚܂èAƒvƒ‰ƒXì—p‚©ƒ}ƒCƒiƒXì—p‚©‚͕ςí‚ç‚È‚¢‚ª‚»‚ÌŒø‰Ê‚̗ʂ͊e‘w‚É‚¨‚¢‚Ä·‚ª‚ ‚éꇂÍMantel-Haenszel •Ⳃª—p‚¢‚ç‚êAŒø‰Ê‚ÌŽ¿‚ª•Ï‚í‚Á‚Ä‚µ‚Ü‚·ê‡‚ÍSMR‚ª—p‚¢‚ç‚ê‚éB‚‚܂èAŒ¾‚¢Š·‚¦‚ê‚ÎAŠe‘w‚ÅŠÏŽ@‚³‚ꂽ”ä‚ɑ傫‚ȈႢ‚ª‚È‚¢ê‡‚ÍA—¼ŽÒ‚Í—ÞŽ—‚Ì’l‚ðŽ¦‚·BŠe‘w‚Ì”ä‚ɑ傫‚­ˆÙ‚È‚éꇂ͗¼ŽÒ‚Ì’l‚͈قȂèASMR‚ðÌ—p‚·‚ׂ«‚Å‚ ‚éB‚½‚¾A‚ǂ̂­‚ç‚¢·‚ª‚ ‚ê‚ÎŽ¿“I‚ȕω»‚Æl‚¦‚é‚©‚ÍŠÈ’P‚ł͂ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚±‚ÅA‚Ƃ肠‚¦‚¸Še‘w‚Ì’l‚ÆMantel-Haenszel •Ⳃ̒l‚ð‹‚߂Ă݂éB

‚±‚Ì•â³‚ð‚µ‚½ê‡‚ÉA

RRoriginal = RRMH, ORoriginal = ORMH

‚Å‚ ‚ê‚΂»‚Ì—vˆö‚ÍŒð—‚ł͂Ȃ¢‚Æ‚µA

RRoriginal RRMH, ORoriginal ORMH

‚̂Ƃ«‚É‚Í(ˆê”Ê“I‚É‚Í10%ˆÈã‚Ì·‚ª‚ ‚éê‡)Œð—ˆöŽq‚Æ‚³‚ê‚邱‚Æ‚ª‘½‚¢‚悤‚Å‚·B‹ï‘Ì“I‚É‹‚߂Ă݂܂µ‚傤B

 

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

478 :a

19073 :c

19551 :n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

33 :b

6374 :d

6407 :n0

¬Œv

511: m1

25447: m0

25958 :T

3.340 < RR = 4.747 < 6.747           0.019 < RD = 0.019 < 0.019

1.219 < RRD = 1.248 < 1.278        0.182 < RDD = 0.186 < 0.190

3.398 < OR = 4.841 < 6.896

0.638 < PARP = 0.738 < 0.812       0.004 < PARPD = 0.005 < 0.005

0.660 < PARPOR = 0.742 < 0.800 0.017 < PARPDOR = 0.019 < 0.021

‚±‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚ªŒ³‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

«•ʂɂæ‚é‘w•ʉðÍ@6)

 

«•ʂɂæ‚é•Ⳃ͎Ÿ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

’j«46803lA—«50841lAŒv97644‚Å‚µ‚½B‚±‚Ì‚¤‚¿12250–¼‚ª’ÇÕ•s”\‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚µ‚½‚ª‚»‚Ì’j—”䂪•s–¾‚Å‚·B‚»‚±‚ÅA‚±‚̔䂪’ÇÕ‚µ‚½85394–¼‚łଂ藧‚‚Ƃµ‚Ü‚·B40931‚Æ 44463‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA‚±‚Ì‚¤‚¿‚Ì511/1681‚Ì”ä‚É”ä—á‚·‚é25958‚Å‚à”ä—á‚·‚邯‚µ‚Ü‚·B12442‚Æ13516‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚͂悭‚ ‚é”Û’è‚·‚éϋɓI‚È——R‚ª‚È‚¢‚ðÌ—p‚µ‚Ü‚·BŒã‚Ù‚Ç‚»‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚ðl‚¦‚Ă݂܂·B

œëг511–¼‚Ì’j—”ä‚ÍA’j«342–¼A—«169–¼‚Å‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍA•êW’c‚Ì’j—”䂯‚͈á‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍA’j«‚Ì•û‚ªˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚ɜ늳‚µ‚â‚·‚¢‚±‚Æ‚ðˆÓ–¡‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

„’è•êW’c‚É‚æ‚é‘w•ʉðÍ

 

‚Ü‚¸«•ʂɂæ‚è‘w‰»‚µ‚½•ªŠ„•\‚ð쬂µ‚Ü‚·B

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦@  478/511 = 0.9354

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëгƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦@383/511 = 0.7495

¢‚Ì’†‚̃f[ƒ^(Œã‚Ù‚ÇŽQÆ‚µ‚Ü‚·)‚ðŒ©‚Ä‚à‚±‚̔䗦‚ª’j—‚Å·‚ª‚ ‚邯‚Ío‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚¹‚ñ‚Ì‚ÅA‚»‚ꂼ‚ê‚É‚»‚̂܂ܬ‚è—§‚‚Ƃµ‚Ü‚·B

‚Ü‚½A’j«‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг‚ÍA327–¼A—«‚݂̈ª‚ñœëгŽÒ‚ÍA151–¼‚Å‚·‚̂ł»‚Ì’l‚ðŽg‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

’j«

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

327 :a1

9069 :c1

9396 :n11

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

15 : b1

3031: d1

3046 :n01

¬Œv

342

12100

12442 :T1

 

4.219 < RR = 7.067 < 11.839         0.030 < RD = 0.030 < 0.030

1.244 < RRD = 1.276 < 1.308        0.202 < RDD = 0.207 < 0.211

4.335 < OR = 7.286 < 12.245

0.709 < PARP = 0.821 < PARPH =0.891     0.007 < PARPD = 0.008 < 0.008

                                   

‘î•ñ—ʃGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.9785 (Max2.0)

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.006077

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.1816

‘ŠŒÝ^‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 0.6211

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(ŒŸ¸|„޾г): 0.17555

‘ŠŒÝ^޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 3.3459%

 

—«

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

151 :a2

10004 :c2

10155: n12

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

18 :b2

3343 :d2

3361: n02

¬Œv

169

13347

13516 :T2

 

1.706 < RR = 2.776 < 4.519           0.009 < RD = 0.010 < 0.010

1.131 < RRD = 1.192 < 1.257        0.137 < RDD = 0.144 < 0.151

1.717 < OR = 2.803 < 4.577

0.347 < PARP = 0.572 < 0.726       0.002 < PARPD = 0.002 < 0.003

                                   

‘î•ñ—ʃGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.90485 (Max2.0)

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.001176

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.09697

‘ŠŒÝ^‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 0.1300

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(–\˜I|„޾г): 0.09592

‘ŠŒÝ^޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 1.213%

 

‚±‚Ì’j—‚̃Oƒ‹[ƒv‰»(‘w‰»)‚Å‚ÌMH(Mantel-Haenszel)•Ⳃ͎Ÿ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·(ŒvŽZ•û–@‚ÍŒã‚Ù‚ÇŽ¦‚µ‚Ü‚·)B

 

3.328 < RRMH = 4.732 < 6.728     0.019 < RDMH = 0.019 < 0.019

1.218 < RRMHD = 1.248 < 1.278  0.182 < RDMHD = 0.186 < 0.190

3.387 < ORMH = 4.824 < 6.871

0.637 < PARP = 0.738 < 0.812       0.004 < PARPD = 0.005 < 0.005

‘î•ñ—ʃGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.9425 (Max2.0)

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.0033485

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.1397

‘ŠŒÝ^‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 0.3553%

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(–\˜I|„޾г): 0.1363

‘ŠŒÝ^޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 2.397%

 

‚Ü‚½A•W€‰»‹Z–@‚±‚ê‚ÍA’²®Ž€–S—¦‚ɂ悭—p‚¢‚ç‚ê‚é•W€‰»Ž€–S—¦”äSMR(Standardized Mortality Ratio)‚ÉŠî‚­•û–@‚ð—p‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚É“K‰ž‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·‚̂ł»‚Ì’l‚ÍŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·(ŒvŽZ•û–@‚ÍŒã‚Ù‚ÇŽ¦‚µ‚Ü‚·)B

 

3.326 < RRSMR = 4.727 < 6.718   0.019 < RDSMR = 0.019 < 0.019

1.196 < RRDSMR = 1.232 < 1.269 0.182 < RDDSMR = 0.186 < 0.190

0.637 < PARP = 0.738 < 0.812       0.004 < PARPD = 0.005 < 0.005

 

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚ł̑w•ʉðÍ

 

“¯‚¶‚±‚Æ‚ðƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒf[ƒ^‚É“–‚Ă͂߂Ă݂܂·B«•ʂɂæ‚è‘w‰»‚µ‚½•ªŠ„•\‚ð쬂µ‚Ü‚·B

’j«

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

327 :a1

259 :c1

586: n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

15 : b1

83: d1

98: n0

¬Œv

342: m1

342: m0

684 :T1

‚±‚Ì•\‚æ‚èA

2.276 < RR = 3.646 < 5.841           0.373 < RD = 0.405 < 0.439

1.184 < RRD = 1.263 < 1.346        0.189 < RDD = 0.199 < 0.209

3.937 < OR = 6.986 < 12.397

0.522 < PARP = 0.694 < 0.806       0.084 < PARPD = 0.116 < 0.148

 

‘î•ñ—ʃGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.5296 (Max2.0)

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.006315

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 1.000@

‘ŠŒÝ^‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 4.12856

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(–\˜I|„޾г): 0.93685

‘ŠŒÝ^޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 6.315%

 

—«

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

151 :a2

124 :c2

275: n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

18 :b2

45 :d2

63: n0

¬Œv

169: m1

169: m0

338 :T2

‚±‚Ì•\‚æ‚èA

1.282 < RR = 1.922 < 2.881           0.232 < RD = 0.263 < 0.299

1.097 < RRD = 1.218 < 1.352        0.147 < RDD = 0.160 < 0.173

1.677 < OR = 3.044 < 5.525

0.187 < PARP = 0.429 < 0.605       0.046 < PARPD = 0.098 < 0.150

 

‘î•ñ—ʃGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.6627 (Max2.0)

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.03118

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 1.000@

‘ŠŒÝ^‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 1.87526

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(–\˜I|„޾г): 0.9688

‘ŠŒÝ^޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 3.118%

 

‚±‚Ì’j—‚̃Oƒ‹[ƒv‰»(‘w‰»)‚Å‚ÌMH(Mantel-Haenszel)•Ⳃ͎Ÿ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

1.996 < RRMH = 2.728 < 3.728                   0.326 < RDMH = 0.350 < 0.376

1.181 < RRDMH = 1.248 < 1.319                0.178 < RDDMH = 0.186 < 0.194

3.692 < ORMH = 4.867 < 6.417

0.456 < PARPMH = 0.593 < 0.697              0.083 < PARPDMH = 0.110 < 0.137

 

‚Ü‚½ASMR(Standardized Mortality Ratio)‚ÉŠî‚­ƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ÍŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

1.992 < RRSMR = 2.705 < 3.675                 0.326 < RDSMR = 0.350 < 0.376

1.181 < RRDSMR = 1.248 < 1.319              0.178 < RDDSMR = 0.186 < 0.194

0.455 < PARPSMR = 0.590 < 0.693                          0.083 < PARPDSMR = 0.110 < 0.137

 

‘î•ñ—ʃGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.5787 (Max2.0)

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.04967

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 1.000@

‘ŠŒÝ^‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 3.1463

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(–\˜I|„޾г): 0.95033

‘ŠŒÝ^޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 4.967%

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mantel-Haenszel‚Ì•â³

 

ŒvŽZ•û–@ 6)

 

’j«

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

327 :a1

259 :c1

586: n11

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

15 : b1

83: d1

98: n01

¬Œv

342: m11

342: m01

684 :T1

—«

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

151 :a2

124 :c2

275: n12

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

18 :b2

45 :d2

63: n02

¬Œv

169: m12

169: m02

338 :T2

 

Mantel-Haenszel‚̕ⳂÍA‘w‚ð’Ê‚¶‚ăIƒbƒY”䂪ˆê’è‚Å‚ ‚邯‰¼’肵A‚‚܂è‚΂ç‚‚«‚͌뷂ł ‚邯‚̉¼’è‚ňê’è‚Ì”ä‚ðŒvŽZ‚·‚邱‚Ƃł·B‚»‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN”ä/ƒŠƒXƒN·/ƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ÌMantel-Haenszel •ⳂÍAWMH = n1*n0/T ‚Ìd‚Ý•t‚¯‚ð‚·‚é‚±‚Æ‚É‘Š“–‚µ‚Ü‚·B

 

R1 = a/n1 R0 = b/n0 ‚Æ‚µ‚Ä

RRMH= RRMH•ªŽq^RRMH•ª•ê =ƒ°WMHi R1i ^ƒ°WMHi R0i =ƒ°ai n0i/Ti ^ƒ°bi n1i/Ti

CI = RRMH x exp(}1.96xã(V(logRRMH))

‚±‚±‚ÅA

V(logRRMH) =ƒ°(m1i n0i n1i/(Ti)2– ai bi / Ti)^(ƒ°ai n0i / Ti)(ƒ°bi n1i / Ti)

CI = RRMH x exp(}1.96xã(V(logRRMH)) = 2.728 x exp(}0.312) = 3.728/1.996

RDMH= RDMH•ªŽq^RDMH•ª•ê =ƒ°WMHi (R1i – R0i )^ƒ°WMHi

=ƒ°(ai n0i – bi n1i)/Ti ^ƒ°n0i n1i/Ti

CI = RDMH x exp(}1.96xã(V(logRDMH))

V(logRRMH) =ƒ°WMHi (ai bi / n1i 2(n1i -1) + ci di / n0i 2(n0i -1))^ƒ°WMHi

CI = RDMH x exp(}1.96xã(V(logRDMH)) = 0.350 x exp(}0.071) = 0.376/0.326

 

ORMH =ƒ°WMHi (ai / n1i)(di / n0i) ^ƒ°WMHi (ci / n1i)(bi / n0i) =ƒ°(aidi /Ti) /ƒ°(ci di / Ti)

              = (a1d1 / T1 + a2d2 / T2) / (c1d1/T1 + c2d2 / T2)

= 4.867

 

‚»‚Ì•ªŽUVMH‚ÍA

CI = ORMH x exp(}1.96xã(V(logORMH))

V(logORMH)

= [(a1d1)(a1+d1)/T12 +(a2d2)(a2+d2)/T22]/2(a1d1/T1 + a2d2/T2 ) 2

+ [(a1d1) (b1+ c1)/T12+ (b1c1) (a1+ d1)/T12 +(a2d2) (b2+ c2)/T22+ (b2c2) (a2+ d2)/T22]

/ 2[((a1d1 /T1+ a2d2 /T2)( b1c1 /T1+ b2c2 /T2)]

+[(b1b1)(b1+c1)/T12 +(b2b2)(b2+c2)/T22]/2(b1c1/T1 + b2c2/T2 ) 2

CI = ORMH x exp(}1.96xã(V(logORMH)) = 4.867 x exp(}0.276) = 6.417/3.692


SMR(Standard Mortality Ratio)

 

ŒvŽZ•û–@

 

¡“x‚ÍA•W€‰»‚Ì•û–@SMR(Standard Mortality Ratio:•W€‰»Ž€–S—¦)‚Å‹‚߂Ă݂܂µ‚傤B7)

 

’j«

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

327 :a1

259 :c1

586: n11

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

15 : b1

83: d1

98: n01

¬Œv

342: m11

342: m10

684 :T1

 

—«

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

151 :a2

124 :c2

275: n12

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

18 :b2

45 :d2

63: n02

¬Œv

169: m21

169: m02

338 :T2

 

SRR(Standard Risk Ratio) = (r1 a1/n11 + r2 a2/n12)/ (r1 b1/n01 + r2 b2/n02)

”ñ–\˜IƒOƒ‹[ƒv‚ðŠî€‚Æ‚µ‚Ä•W€‰»‚·‚邽‚ßA

r1 = n01, r2 = n02‚Æ‚µ‚ÄA

SRR = (98 x 327/586 + 63 x 151/275)/ (98 x 15/98 + 63 x 18/63)

= (98 x 327/586 + 63 x 151/275)/ (15 + 18)

= 2.705

CI = SRR x exp(}1.96xã(V(logSRR))

‚±‚±‚Å

ŽQÆFRothman, K.J. Modern Epidemiology, Little, Brown and Co. Boston

 

V(log SRR) = ƒ°(ri ai / n1i (ri - ri ai / n1i) / n1i ) / ( ri ai / n1i)2

+ƒ°(ri bi / n0i (ri - ri bi / n0i) / n0i ) / ( ri bi / n0i)2

= (n01 a1 / n11 (n01 - n01 a1 / n11) / n11

+n02 a2 / n12 (n02 - n02 a2 / n12) / n12) / (n02 a2 / n12)2

+ (n01 b1 / n01 (n01 - n01 b1 / n01) / n01

+n02 b1 / n01 (n02 - n02 b1 / n01) / n01) / (n02 b1 / n01)2

= (n01 a1 / n11 (n01 - n01 a1 / n11) / n11

+n02 a2 / n12 (n02 - n02 a2 / n12) / n12) / (n02 a2 / n12)2

+ (b1 (n01 - b1) / n01 + b2 (n02 – b2) / n02) / (b2)2

= (98 x 327 / 586 x (98 - 98 x 327 / 586) / 586

+ 63 x 151 / 275 x (63 - 63 x 151 / 275) / 275) / (63 x 18 / 275)2

+ (15 x (98 - 15) / 98 + 18 x (63 – 18) / 63) / (18)2

‚±‚ê‚ðŒvŽZ‚µ‚ÄA

 

CI = SRR x exp(}1.96xã(V(logSRR))

  = 2.705 x exp(}0.306)

  = 3.675/ 1.922

1.922 < SRR=2.705 < 3.675

 

‚»‚µ‚ÄAƒŠƒXƒN·‚Í

SDR = [(r1 a1/n11 + r2 a2/n12) - (r1 b1/n01 + r2 b2/n02)] / (r1 + r2)

æ‚قǂƓ¯—lr1 = n01, r2 = n02‚Æ‚µ‚ÄA

SDR = [(n01 a1/n11 + n02 a2/n12) - (b1 + b2)] / (n01 + n02) = 0.350

CI = SDR x exp(}1.96xã(V(logSDR))

V(logSDR) =(1/ƒ°ri)ƒ°[(ri ai / n1i (ri - ri ai / n1i) / n1i ) / ( ri ai / n1i)

+ (ri bi / n0i (ri - ri bi / n0i) / n0i) / ( ri bi / n0i)]

CI = SDR x exp(}1.96xã(V(logSDR)) = 0.350 x exp(}0.071) = 0.376/0.326

0.326 < SDR=0.350 < 0.376

 

ŒvŽZI‚í‚è

\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\

‚±‚ê‚ç‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚̉ð͂͌ã‚Ù‚Ç‚µ‚Ü‚·B

 

”N—î•Ê‘w•ʉðÍ

 

’j—•Ê‘w•ʉð͂̌‹‰Ê‚ðŒ©‚Ü‚·‚Æ–{—ˆ’j—•ʂŔN—î•ʉðÍ‚ð‚·‚×‚«‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·‚ªA‚»‚ׂ̈Ì\•ª‚Èî•ñ‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚±‚ÅA‚Ƃ肠‚¦‚¸’j—ˆê‚É‚µ‚Ä”N—î•ʉðÍ‚ð‚µ‚Ä‚Ý‚½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒf[ƒ^‚Ìê‡

 

’j—ˆê‚Ì”N—îî•ñ‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·‚̂ł»‚ê‚ðŠî‚É•ªŠ„•\‚ð쬂µ‚Ä‚¢‚«‚½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

”N—î‚É‚æ‚é•Ⳃ͎Ÿ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚Ü‚¸”N—î•ʂ̕ªŠ„•\‚ðì‚è‚Ü‚·B

40Αã

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

72 :a

52 :c

124 :n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

5 :b

25 :d

30 :n0

¬Œv

77

77

154 :T

1.544 < RR = 3.484 < 7.863           0.353 < RD = 0.414 < 0.485

(1.173 < RRD = 1.385 < 1.634)      (0.231 < RDD = 0.260 < 0.292)

2.486 < OR = 6.923 < 19.282

0.304 < PARP = 0.667 < 0.847       (0.080 < PARPD = 0.161 < 0.241)

‘î•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.62806      

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.08335

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.000      

‘ŠŒÝ/‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F5.1198%

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.91665  

‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F8.335%

 

50Αã

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

220 :a

180 :c

400 :n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

15 :b

55 :d

 70 :n0

¬Œv

235

235

470 :T

1.625 < RR = 2.567 < 4.055           0.301 < RD = 0.336 < 0.374)

(1.130 < RRD = 1.222 < 1.322)      (0.160 < RDD = 0.170 < 0.181)

2.450 < OR = 4.481 < 8.198

0.347 < PARP = 0.571 < 0.722       (0.061 < PARPD = 0.100 < 0.139)

‘î•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.5637        

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.03444

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.000      

‘ŠŒÝ/‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F2.7782%

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.95656  

‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F4.344%

 

60Αã

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

186 :a

151 :c

337 :n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

13 :b

48 :d

61 :n0

¬Œv

199

199

398 :T

1.584 < RR = 2.590 < 4.235           0.302 < RD = 0.339 < 0.380

(1.130 < RRD = 1.232 < 1.343)      (0.164 < RDD = 0.176 < 0.188)

2.376 < OR = 4.548 < 8.706

0.331 < PARP = 0.574 < 0.733       (0.061 < PARPD = 0.104 < 0.146)

‘î•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.5726        

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.0453

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.000      

‘ŠŒÝ/‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F2.8815%

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.9547    

‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F4.5316%

 

MH•â³

1.987 < RRMH = 2.709 < 3.692     0.326 < RDMH = 0.350 < 0.376

1.182 < RRDMH = 1.248 < 1.319  0.178 < RDDMH = 0.186 < 0.194

3.676 < ORMH = 4.841 < 6.377

0.454 < PARP = 0.590 < 0.694       0.083 < PARPD = 0.110 < 0.137

SRM•W€‰»

1.992 < RRSRM = 2.715 < 3.701   0.326 < RDSRM = 0.350 < 0.376

1.118 < RRDSRM = 1.248 < 1.319 0.178 < RDDSRM = 0.186 < 0.194

0.454 < PARP = 0.591 < 0.695       0.083 < PARPD = 0.110 < 0.137

‘î•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.578          

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.04967

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.0          

‘ŠŒÝ/‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F3.1463%

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.9503    

‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F4.967%

 

„’è•êW’c‚Ìê‡

 

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚̔䗦‚ª•êW’c‚łଂ藧‚‚Ƃµ‚ĉðÍ‚µ‚Ă݂܂·B

 

                                          40‘ã                    50‘ã                    60‘ã

œëгŽÀŽ¿l”                    77/511                 235/511               199/511

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ&œëг          72/511: 0.14090  220/511: 0.43053 186/511: 0.36400

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ/œëг            72/77: 0.9351      220/235: 0.9362  186/199: 0.9347

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ/”ñœëг         52/77: 0.675        180/235: 0.766    151/199: 0.759

•êW’cl”                        3911                    11938                  10109                  25958

                                         

‚±‚ÌŠ„‡‚ðŽŸ‚ÌŒ³‚Ì•ªŠ„•\‚É“K‰ž‚·‚邯A

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

478 :a

19073 :c

19551 :n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

33 :b

6374 :d

6407 :n0

¬Œv

511: m1

25447: m0

25958 :T

 

”N‘ã•ÊŠ„‡‚Ì“K‰ž

 

•êW’c40Αã‚Ì•ªŠ„•\

40

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

72 :a

2589 :c

2661 :n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

5 :b

1245 :d

1250 :n0:

¬Œv

77

3834

3911:T

2.739 < RR = 6.764 < 16.704                       0.023 < RD = 0.023 < 0.023

1.300 < RRD = 1.385 < 1.474        0.245 < RDD = 0.260 < 0.275

2.790 < OR = 6.925 < 17.186

0.542 < PARP = 0.797 < 0.914       0.006 < PARPD = 0.008 < 0.009

‘î•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.03805

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.005590

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.1397

‘ŠŒÝ/‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.5385%

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.1341    

‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F4.00185%

 

50‘ã•ªŠ„•\

50

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

220 :a

8964 :c

9184 :n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

15 :b

2739 :d

2754 :n0

¬Œv

235

11703:

11938 :T@

2.611 < RR = 4.398 < 7.407           0.018 < RD = 0.018 < 0.018

1.180 < RRD = 1.222 < 1.266        0.165 < RDD = 0.170 < 0.176

2.652 < OR = 4.481 < 7.574

0.553 < PARP = 0.723 < 0.831       0.004 < PARPD = 0.004 < 0.005

‘î•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.91595      

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.0029346

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.13967

‘ŠŒÝ/‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.32089%

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.13673  

‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F2.1011%

 

60‘ã•ªŠ„•\

60

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

186 :a

7520 :c

7706 :n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

13 :b

2390 :d

2403 :n0

¬Œv

199

9910

10109 :T@

2.547 < RR = 4.462 < 7.814           0.019 < RD = 0.019 < 0.019

1.185 < RRD = 1.232 < 1.280        0.170 < RDD = 0.176 < 0.182

2.587 < OR = 4.547 < 7.994

0.541 < PARP = 0.725 < 0.839       0.005 < PARPD = 0.005 < 0.005

‘î•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.9278        

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.003062

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.1397

‘ŠŒÝ/‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.3300%

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.1366    

‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F2.192%

 

”N‘ã•Ê‘w•ʉ»‰ðÍ‚ÌMH•Ⳃ̌‹‰Ê

3.343 < RRMH < 4.747 < 6.742     0.019 < RDMH = 0.019 < 0.019

1.219 < RRDMH=1.248 < 1.278    0.182 < RDDMH = 0.186 < 0.190

3.899 < ORMH=4.841 < 6.896

0.638 < PARP = 0.738 < 0.812       0.004 < PARPD = 0.005 < 0.005

”N‘ã•Ê‘w•ʉ»‰ðÍ‚ÌSMR•Ⳃ̌‹‰Ê

3.363 < RRSMR=4.782 < 6.799     0.019 < RDSRM = 0.019 < 0.019

1.219 < RRDSMR=1.248 < 1.278  0.182 < RDDSMR = 0.186 < 0.190

0.640 < PARP = 0.740 < 0.814       0.004 < PARPD = 0.005 < 0.005

‘î•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.9425        

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.0033484

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.1397

‘ŠŒÝ/‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.35527%

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.13632  

‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F2.3974%

 

Œ‹‰Ê‚̂܂Ƃß


‚܂Ƃ߂܂·‚ÆŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

 

RR

RD

OR

ƒIƒŠƒWƒiƒ‹‚T‚P‚PƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹

(1.986 < 2.709 < 3.693)

(0.326 < 0.350 < 0.376)

3.227 < 4.841 < 7.262

•êW’c

3.340 < 4.747 < 6.747

0.019 < 0.019 < 0.019

3.398 < 4.841 < 6.896

•êW’c’j«ƒOƒ‹[ƒv

4.219 < 7.067 < 11.839

0.030 < 0.030 < 0.030

4.335 < 7.286 < 12.245

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹’j«ƒOƒ‹[ƒv

(2.276 < 3.646 < 5.841)

(0.373 < 0.405 < 0.439)

3.937 < 6.986 < 12.397

•êW’c—«ƒOƒ‹[ƒv

1.706 < 2.776 < 4.519

0.009 < 0.010 < 0.010

1.717 < 2.803 < 4.577

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹—«ƒOƒ‹[ƒv

(1.282 < 1.922 < 2.881)

(0.232 < 0.263 < 0.299)

1.677 < 3.044 < 5.525

•êW’c’j«—«HM•â³

3.328 < 4.732 < 6.728

0.019 < 0.019 < 0.019

3.387 < 4.824 < 6.871

•êW’c’j«—«SMR•â³

3.326 < 4.727 < 6.718

0.014 < 0.014 < 0.014

 

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹’j«—«HM•â³

(1.996 < 2.728 < 3.728)

(0.326 < 0.350 < 1.376)

3.692 < 4.867 < 6.417

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹’j«—«SMR•â³

(1.992 < 2.705 < 3.675)

(0.326 < 0.350 < 0.376)

 

•êW’cƒOƒ‹[ƒv40‘ã

2.739 < 6.764 < 16.704

0.023 < 0.023 < 0.023

2.790 < 6.925 < 17.186

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒOƒ‹[ƒv40‘ã

(1.544 < 3.484 < 7.863)

(0.353 < 0.414< 0.485)

2.486 < 6.923 < 19.282

•êW’cƒOƒ‹[ƒv50‘ã

2.611 < 4.398 < 7.407

0.018 < 0.018 < 0.018

2.652 < 4.481 < 7.574

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒOƒ‹[ƒv50‘ã

(1.625 < 2.567 < 4.055)

(0.301 < 0.336 < 0.374)

2.450 < 4.481 < 8.198

•êW’cƒOƒ‹[ƒv60‘ã

2.547 < 4.462 < 7.814

0.019 < 0.019 < 0.019

2.587 < 4.547 < 7.994

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒOƒ‹[ƒv60‘ã

(1.584 < 2.590 < 4.235)

(0.302 < 0.339 < 0.380)

2.376 < 4.548 < 8.706

•êW’c”N‘ã•ÊHM•â³

3.343 < 4.747 < 6.742

0.019 < 0.019 < 0.019

3.899 < 4.841 < 6.896

•êW’c”N‘ã•ÊSMR•â³

3.363 < 4.782 < 6.799

0.019 < 0.019 < 0.019

 

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”N‘ã•ÊHM•â³

(1.987 < 2.709 < 3.692)

(0.326< 0.350 < 0.376)

 

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”N‘ã•ÊSMR•â³

(1.992 < 2.715 < 3.701)

(0.326 < 0.350 < 0.376)

3.676 < 4.841 < 6.377

 

ƒIƒbƒY”ä‚Ì”äŠr

ƒIƒŠƒWƒiƒ‹ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹3.227 < 4.841 < 7.262A„’è•êW’c3.398 < 4.841 < 6.896‚±‚Ì’l‚ð”äŠr‚·‚邯A•êW’c‚Ì„’è‚ͳ‚µ‚¢‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚æ‚è•êW’c‚̉ðÍŒ‹‰Ê‚ðŽQƂɂ·‚邱‚Ƃɂµ‚Ü‚·B


ƒIƒbƒY”䂯ƒŠƒXƒN”ä

ƒIƒŠƒWƒiƒ‹ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒIƒbƒY”ä3.227 < 4.841 < 7.262A•êW’cƒŠƒXƒN”ä3.340 < 4.747 < 6.747‚±‚Ì“ñ‚‚̒l‚ð”äŠr‚·‚邯ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒx[ƒX‚̃IƒbƒY”ä‚Ì„’è‚Í•êW’c‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN”䂯‚½‚¢‚Ö‚ñ‹ß‚­AƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ð‘z’èŠëŒ¯“x‚Æ‚µ‚ÄŽg‚¤‚±‚Ƃ͖â‘è‚È‚¢‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚é‚̂ŃƒWƒXƒeƒBƒbƒN‰ð͂͒ˆÓ[‚­—p‚¢‚ê‚Ζâ‘è‚È‚¢‚Æ”»’f‚µ‚Ü‚·B

‚Ü‚½A511ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ÍA1.986 < 2.709 < 3.693‚Å‚ ‚èA‘w•ʉðÍ‚Å‚à‚¾‚¢‚½‚¢“¯‚¶’l1.996 < 2.728 < 3.728‚ð‚µ‚Ä‚µ‚Ä‚¨‚èA‚±‚ê‚Í•êW’c‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN”äA511ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚̃IƒbƒY”䂯”ä‚ׂĂ©‚È‚èˆá‚Á‚Ä‚¨‚èA‚±‚ê‚Í•êW’c‚̃sƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õŠ„‡‚ðƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚ª³Šm‚É”½‰f‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚È‚¢‚½‚߂ɋN‚±‚Á‚Ä‚¨‚èA‰ü‚߂ă‰ƒ“ƒ_ƒ€ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚Ìd—v«‚ÆAÇ—á‘ÎÆŒ¤‹†‚Å‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚Ì‚µ‚悤‚̊댯«‚ð•\‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

’j—‘w•ʉðÍ


‚Pj@•êW’c‚Ìê‡

•êW’cƒŠƒXƒN”ä                 3.340 < 4.747 < 6.747

’j«ƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒŠƒXƒN”ä      4.219 < 7.067 < 11.839A

—«ƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒŠƒXƒN”ä     1.706 < 2.776 < 4.519A

’j«—«HM•â³            3.328 < 4.732 < 6.728A

’j«—«SMR•â³           3.326 < 4.727 < 6.718A

 

’j«ƒOƒ‹[ƒv‚ª‘å‚«‚­A—«ƒOƒ‹[ƒv‚ª¬‚³‚­AM—Š‹æŠÔ‚Í‚©‚낤‚¶‚Äd‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·BŽÀÛ‚Ì­•{”­•\‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦’j—•ʃf[ƒ^(Œã‚Ù‚ÇŽQÆ‚µ‚Ü‚·)‚Å‚à—«‚ªˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚É‚©‚©‚è‚É‚­‚¢‚±‚Ƃ͂͂Á‚«‚è‚Æ•\‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚æ‚èA‚±‚̃f[ƒ^‚Í’j—‘w•ʉðÍ‚·‚ׂ«‚Å‚ ‚èA‚»‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê’j—•ÊX‚ÉƒŠƒXƒN‚ðŒŸ“¢‚·‚ׂ«‚Å‚ ‚邯”»’f‚µ‚Ü‚·B‚Ü‚½HM•â³ASMR•ⳂƂà‘w•ʉ»‚µ‚È‚¢‚à‚̂ƒl‚Æ‚½‚¢‚Ö‚ñ‹ß‚¢‚Å‚·‚ªA‚±‚ê‚Í‚ ‚­‚܂Œj—“¯ˆê‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN‚ðŽ‚Â‚Æ‰¼’肵‚½ê‡‚É‘w‚ð‡‚킹‚½Œ‹‰Ê‚Å‚·‚Ì‚ÅAˆê’è‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN‚ł͂Ȃ¢‚Æ”»’f‚³‚ê‚éꇂ͂±‚̕ⳂðŽÀs‚·‚邱‚ÆŽ©‘Ì‚ª„§‚³‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñB

 

‚Qj@511ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚Ìê‡

’j«ƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒIƒbƒY”ä                    3.937 < 6.986 < 12.397A

—«ƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒŠƒXƒN”ä                   1.677 < 3.044 < 5.525A

’j«—«ƒIƒbƒY”äHM•â³            3.692 < 4.867 < 6.417A

ƒIƒŠƒWƒiƒ‹ƒIƒbƒY”ä                        3.227 < 4.841 < 7.262

 

511ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒf[ƒ^‚Å”äŠr‚µ‚Ä‚à‚æ‚¢‚̂̓IƒbƒY”ä‚Å‚·B’j«‚̃IƒbƒY”䂪‚©‚È‚è‘å‚«‚­A—«‚̃IƒbƒY”ä‚©‚©‚Ȃ謂³‚­A‚Ü‚½‚»‚ê‚ç‚Ì’l‚Í•êW’c‚©‚焒肳‚ê‚郊ƒXƒN”䂯‹ß‚¢’l‚ƂȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·BHM•Ⳃ̓IƒŠƒWƒiƒ‹‚Æ‚©‚È‚¢‹ß‚¢’l‚ðo‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚ªA‚±‚ê‚àæ‚Ù‚Ç‚ÌlŽ@‚̂悤‚É’j—‚ª“¯ˆê‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN‚Å‚ ‚邯‰¼’肵‚½ê‡‚̕Ⳃł·‚Ì‚ÅA‚»‚̕Ⳏ©‘Ì‚ª–â‘è‚Æ‚È‚è‚Ü‚·‚̂ŎÀs‚·‚ׂ«•Ⳃł͂Ȃ¢‚Æ”»’f‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·B

‚±‚ê‚É‚æ‚èAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚݂̈ª‚ñ‚ւ̉e‹¿‚Í’j—•ÊX‚Å„’è‚·‚邱‚Ƃɂµ‚Ü‚·B

 

”N—î•Ê‘w•ʉðÍ

’j—•ʂ̌‹‰Ê‚æ‚èA’j—•ÊX‚É”N—î‘w•ʉðÍ‚ð‚µ‚½‚¢‚̂ł·‚ªA‚»‚̃Oƒ‹[ƒv•ª‚¯‚ðs‚¦‚邾‚¯‚Ì\•ª‚Èî•ñ‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚±‚ÅA’j—ˆê‚Æ‚µ‚Ä”N—î‘w•ʉðÍ‚ðs‚Á‚Ă݂܂·B


‚S|‚Pj•êW’c

•êW’c40‘ãƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒŠƒXƒN”ä                     2.739 < 6.764 < 16.704

•êW’c50‘ãƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒŠƒXƒN”ä                     2.611 < 4.398 < 7.407

•êW’c60‘ãƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒŠƒXƒN”ä                     2.547 < 4.462 < 7.814

•êW’c”N‘ã•ÊƒŠƒXƒN”äHM•â³                   3.362 < 4.776 < 6.784

•êW’c”N‘ã•ÊƒŠƒXƒN”äSMR•â³                 3.343 < 4.747 < 6.742

•êW’cƒŠƒXƒN”ä                                             3.363 < 4.782 < 6.799

 

Še”N‘ã‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN”äA‹y‚Ñ‚»‚ÌHM•â³ASMR•â³ƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ÍAƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”N‘ã•ʂ̃IƒbƒY”䂯‚©‚È‚è‹ß‚­‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍAœëг—¦‚ª’á‚¢‚±‚Æ‚ðl‚¦‚邯•êW’c‚Ì„’肪‚æ‚¢ü‚ðŒ¾‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚邱‚Æ‚ðˆÓ–¡‚µ‚Ü‚·B‚»‚±‚ÅAŠî–{“I‚ɂ͂±‚Ì•êW’c‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚ð—Dæ‚·‚邱‚Ƃɂµ‚Ü‚·B‚½‚¾‚µA’j—•ʉðÍ‚Åà–¾‚µ‚Ü‚µ‚½‚悤‚É–{—ˆ’j—•ʂʼnðÍ‚·‚ׂ«‚Å‚·B‚»‚̉”\«‚ÍŒã‚Ù‚Ç’T‚Á‚Ă݂½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

40‘ã‚݂̂ª‘å‚«‚È’l‚ƂȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚½‚¾‚µAM—Š‹æŠÔ‚͑傫‚­d‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¨‚èAƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”‚ª­‚È‚¢‚ª‚½‚ß‚ÉM—Š‹æŠÔ‚àL‚­‚±‚̃f[ƒ^‚¾‚¯‚Å‚Í40‘ã‚̂ݷ‚ª‚ ‚邯‚ÍŒ¾‚¦‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚½‚¾ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒTƒCƒY‚Í‚©‚Ȃ葽‚¢(3911)‚½‚ßA‘S‚­–³Ž‹‚·‚邱‚Æ‚à–â‘肪‚ ‚è‚»‚¤‚Å‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÌŒ¾‚í‚ñ‚Æ‚·‚邱‚Æ‚ÍAŽá‚¢‚قǃsƒƒŠ‹Û‚̉e‹¿‚ň݂ª‚ñ‚É‚È‚é‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃł·B‚È‚ñ‚ƂȂ­”[“¾‚Å‚«‚é•”•ª‚à‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B‚æ‚Á‚ÄAŒã‚قLjႤŒ`‚ÅlŽ@‚µ‚Ă݂½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

‚S|‚Qj511ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹

‰º‚̂悤‚ɃTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚Æ„’è•êW’c‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚Í‚©‚Ȃ莗’Ê‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚±‚ÅAŠî–{“I‚ɂ̈́’è•êW’c‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚ð—D悵‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹40‘ãƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒIƒbƒY”ä                  2.486 < 6.923 < 19.282

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹50‘ãƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒIƒbƒY”ä                  2.450 < 4.481 < 8.198

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹60‘ãƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒIƒbƒY”ä                  2.376 < 4.548 < 8.706

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”N‘ã•ʃIƒbƒY”äHM•â³               3.676 < 4.841 < 6.377

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒIƒbƒY”ä                                         3.227 < 4.841 < 7.262

 

•êW’c40‘ãƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒŠƒXƒN”ä                     2.739 < 6.764 < 16.704

•êW’c50‘ãƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒŠƒXƒN”ä                     2.611 < 4.398 < 7.407

•êW’c60‘ãƒOƒ‹[ƒvƒŠƒXƒN”ä                     2.547 < 4.462 < 7.814

•êW’c”N‘ã•ÊƒŠƒXƒN”äHM•â³                   3.362 < 4.776 < 6.784

•êW’c”N‘ã•ÊƒŠƒXƒN”äSMR•â³                 3.343 < 4.747 < 6.742

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚݂̈ª‚ñ‚ւ̉e‹¿‚Ì”N—î•â³

 

‚±‚ê‚æ‚èA”N—î‚É‚æ‚é•â³A«•ʂɂæ‚é•ⳂÍs‚킸AˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN‚ɑ΂µA’j—‚Ì‘w•ʉ»‚Ís‚Á‚½‚¤‚¦‚ÅAƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ߊ´õ‚ň݂ª‚ñ‚ɂȂéâ‘Εp“x‚ð15”N‚Å0.019(0.1267%/”N)‚Æ‚µA’j«‚Í‚»‚ê‚ÉA0.030 – 0.019 = 0.011(0.0733%/”N)‚̃vƒ‰ƒX(0.2%/”N)A—«‚Í‚»‚ê‚©‚ç0.010 – 0.019 = -0.009A‚‚܂è0.009(0.06%/”N)Œ¸ŽZ‚·‚é‚à‚Ì(0.0667%/”N)‚Æ‚µ‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ç‚Ì’l‚ÍŒã‚Ù‚Ç‘¼‚̘_•¶Aî•ñ‚Æ”äŠr‚¯ŒŸ“¢‚µ‚½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

‚Ü‚½1681/85394=0.019685223(1.9685%)A1968.522379/10–œl‚ª‘S‘̂̒lA‚‚܂èƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚Ì—L–³‚ª‚í‚©‚ç‚È‚¢ê‡‚ɊƂµ‚Ü‚·B

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦‚Íŋߌ¸‚Á‚Ä‚«‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚̂ł»‚ÌlŽ@‚ÍŒã‚Ù‚Ç‚µ‚Ü‚·B

œ‹Û‚ÌŒø‰Ê‚ɂ‚¢‚Ă͂±‚̃Œƒ|[ƒg‚©‚ç‚Í•s–¾‚ÅA‘¼‚ÌƒŠƒ\[ƒX‚ð’T‚·•K—v‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B

 

lŒûŠñ—^Š„‡A‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[A‘ŠŒÝ^޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[‚̂܂Ƃß

 

PARP (RiskRatio)

lŒûŠñ—^Š„‡

PARP (Odds Ratio)

lŒûŠñ—^Š„‡

‘ŠŒÝî•ñ

ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[

‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñ

ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[

ƒIƒŠƒWƒiƒ‹‚T‚P‚PƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹

(0.454 < 0.590 < 0.694)

0.646 < 0.742 < 0.807

0.04967

4.967%

•êW’c

0.639 < 0.739 < 0.813

0.660 < 0.742 < 0.800

0.0023764

2.248%

•êW’c’j«ƒOƒ‹[ƒv

0.606 < 0.733 < 0.820

0.634 < 0.738 < 0.806

0.004334

2.493%

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹’j«ƒOƒ‹[ƒv

(0.522 < 0.694 < 0.806)

0.713 < 0.819 < 0.879

0.006315

6.315%

•êW’c—«ƒOƒ‹[ƒv

0.552 < 0.751 < 0.864

0.585 < 0.752< 0.840

0.0012274

2.060%

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹—«ƒOƒ‹[ƒv

(0.187 < 0.429 < 0.605)

0.361 < 0.600 < 0.732

0.03118

3.118%

•êW’c’j«—«HM•â³

0.638 < 0.738 < 0.812

0.660 < 0.742 < 0.800

0.0023764

2.248%

•êW’c’j«—«SMR•â³

0.638 < 0.738 < 0.812

 

0.0023764

2.248%

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹’j«—«HM•â³

(0.456 < 0.593 < 0.697)

0.647 < 0.743 < 0.808

0.04967

4.967%

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹’j«—«SMR•â³

(0.455 < 0.590 < 0.693)

 

0.04967

4.967%

•êW’cƒOƒ‹[ƒv40‘ã

0.542 < 0.797 < 0.914

0.600 < 0.800 < 0.881

0.005590

4.002%

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒOƒ‹[ƒv40‘ã

(0.304 < 0.667 < 0.847)

0.559 < 0.800 < 0.887

0.08335

8.335%

•êW’cƒOƒ‹[ƒv50‘ã

0.553 < 0.723 < 0.831

0.583 < 0.727< 0.813

0.0029346

2.101%

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒOƒ‹[ƒv50‘ã

(0.347 < 0.571 < 0.722)

0.554 < 0.727 < 0.822

0.03444

4.344%

•êW’cƒOƒ‹[ƒv60‘ã

0.541 < 0.725 < 0.839

0.574 < 0.729 < 0.818

0.003062

2.193%

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒOƒ‹[ƒv60‘ã

(0.331 < 0.574 < 0.733)

0.541 < 0.729 < 0.827

0.0453

4.5316%

•êW’c”N‘ã•ÊHM•â³

0.638 < 0.738 < 0.814

0.657 < 0.740 < 0.814

0.0033484

2.3974%

•êW’c”N‘ã•ÊSMR•â³

0.640 < 0.740 < 0.814

 

0.0033484

2.3974%

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”N‘ã•ÊHM•â³

(0.454 < 0.590 < 0.694)

0.646< 0.742 < 0.807

0.04967

4.967%

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”N‘ã•ÊSMR•â³

(0.454 < 0.591 < 0.695)

 

0.04967

4.967%

 

‚Pj˜_•¶‚Å‚ÍAlŒûŠñ—^Š„‡‚Í0.633<0.75.2<83.2‚ƂȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍAƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚ªƒ‰ƒ“ƒ_ƒ€‚ƂȂç‚È‚©‚Á‚½‹Ö‰Œ^‹i‰ŒA–ìØ‚â‰Ê•¨‚ÌÛŽæ—Ê‚È‚Ç‚Å•â³‚ð‚©‚¯‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚ª‚»‚Ìî•ñ‚ªÚ‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚È‚¢‚½‚߂Ƃ肢‚ê‚邱‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚Ü‚½Aœëг—¦‚ª’á‚¢‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚ƂŃIƒbƒY”äƒx[ƒX‚ÌlŒûŠñ—^Š„‡‚ðŒvŽZ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·Bã‚ÌŒvŽZ‚æ‚èA

511ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒIƒbƒY”älŒûŠñ—^Š„‡              0.646 < 0.742 < 0.807

„’è•êW’cƒŠƒXƒN”älŒûŠñ—^Š„‡                0.639 < 0.739 < 0.813

„’è•êW’cƒIƒbƒY”älŒûŠñ—^Š„‡                0.660 < 0.742 < 0.800

 

–{—ˆ‚Ì•êW’cƒŠƒXƒN”älŒûŠñ—^Š„‡‚ª‚»‚Ì‘¼‚Ì’l‚Æ”ñí‚ɋ߂¢‚½‚ßAƒIƒbƒY”älŒûŠñ—^Š„‡‚͂悭ƒŠƒXƒN”äƒx[ƒX‚Ì‚à‚Ì‚ð‘ã•\‚µ‚Ä‚¨‚èA‚Ü‚½„’è•êW’c‚à‚©‚È‚è‚æ‚¢„’è‚Æ‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚¢‚邯l‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B‚»‚ê‚È‚ç‚ÎAƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒx[ƒX‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚æ‚è‚à„’è•êW’c‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚ðŽg—p‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚«‚½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

‚QjlŒûŠñ—^Š„‡‚Í75%’ö“x‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·‚ªAŽÀۂɉe‹¿‚ðŽó‚¯‚é‚͖̂ñ1.4“‚Ìl‚Å‚µ‚½B@75%‚Å‚·‚Æ”ñí‚É—LŒø‚Ȃ悤‚ÉŠ´‚¶‚Ä‚µ‚Ü‚¢‚Ü‚·‚ªA‚±‚ꂪ‘Š‘ÎŠëŒ¯“xA“Á‚É‘Š‘ÎƒIƒbƒY”ä‚Ì’ˆÓ‚ð—v‚·‚邯‚±‚ë‚Å‚·B•K‚¸‰½‚ç‚©‚Ìâ‘Ί댯“x‚𓯎ž‚É”äŠr‚·‚ׂ«‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B

 

‚Rj•\‚ð”ä‚ׂ邯‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[‚ª‚æ‚­ŽÀî‚ð•\‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚邿‚¤‚Å‚·B¡Œã‚±‚Ì’l‚à’–Ú‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚«‚½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ƃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚ÆGagA

 

‚±‚̘_•¶‚Å‚ÍX‚ÉCagA‚Ìó‘ԂƃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚Ìó‘Ô‚ð‡‚킹‚ÄŒŸ“¢‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B¡“x‚Í‚»‚¿‚ç‚ðŒ©‚Ä‚Ý‚Ü‚·B

CagAF ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û‚ª•ª”å‚·‚éˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚Ì•aŒ´ˆöŽq‚̂ЂƂ‚ł ‚é’`”’‚ÅAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ÌÅ‘å‚̊댯ˆöŽq‚ÆŒ¾‚í‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ð—L‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚邯A‚æ‚è‹­‚¢‰ŠÇ‚Ƃ̊֘A‚ª‚ ‚邯‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·BCagA‚͈Ýã”ç×–E“à‚Ń`ƒƒVƒ“ƒŠƒ“Ž_‰»‚ðŽó‚¯A‚»‚ÌƒŠƒ“Ž_‰»‚³‚ꂽCagA‚Í×–E‘B‚â×–E‰^“®A×–EŽ€—}§‚ȂǑ½—l‚È×–E‰ž“š‚ðˆø‚«‹N‚±‚·‚±‚Æ‚ª•ñ‚³‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‰¢•Ăɔä‚ׂēú–{‚ł͑½‚­‚̃sƒƒŠ‹Û‚ªCagA‚ð—L‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚邯‚¢‚í‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚éB

 

ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ (PG)F ˆÝ”S–Œ‚©‚番”傳‚ê‚éƒyƒvƒVƒ“‚Ì‘O‹ì•¨Ž¿‚Ì‚±‚Æ‚ÅAŒŒ´’†‚Ɋ܂܂ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·BˆÝ‚̂ǂ̕ӂè‚Å•ª”傳‚ê‚é‚©‚É‚æ‚èAƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‡T‚ƇU(PGI, PGII)‚É•ª—Þ‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·B—¼ŽÒ‚̈ݓà‚Ì•ª•z‚̈Ⴂ‚ªˆÝ”S–Œ‚Ìó‘Ԃ𔽉f‚µAŒŒ’†”Z“x‚à•ω»‚·‚邱‚Æ‚©‚çˆÝ”S–ŒˆÞk‚ÌŽw•W‚Æ‚µ‚Ä—p‚¢‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·BŒŒ‰t’†‚̃yƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚̇U‚ɑ΂·‚é‡T‚ÌŠ„‡‚ð’²‚×‚é‚ÆAˆÝ”S–Œ‚̈Þk‚ÌL‚ª‚è‚Æ‚»‚Ì’ö“xAˆÝ‰t‚Ì•ª”å‹@”\AˆÝ”S–Œ‚̉ŠÇ‚Ì—L–³‚ª•ª‚©‚è‚Ü‚·Bŋ߈݂ª‚ñ‚̃XƒNƒŠ[ƒjƒ“ƒOŒŸ¸‚Æ‚µ‚Ä—L—p‚Å‚ ‚邱‚Æ‚ª–¾‚ç‚©‚ƂȂèŽn‚߂Ă¢‚Ü‚·B‚‚܂èAŒŒ‰tŒŸ¸‚É‚æ‚éˆÝ‚ª‚ñƒŠƒXƒNŒŸf‚Å‚·B

 

CagA‰ðÍ

 

‚³‚ÄŒ³‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ÍŽŸ‚Ì—l‚Å‚µ‚½B‚±‚ê‚ðŠî‚ɂ܂¸CagA‚̊댯“x‚ð‰ðÍ‚µ‚Ă݂܂·B

•êW’cƒŠƒXƒN”ä/·            3.340 < 4.747 < 6.747       0.019 < 0.019 < 0.019

•êW’c’j«ƒŠƒXƒN”ä/·     4.219 < 7.067 < 11.839     0.030 < 0.030 < 0.030

•êW’c—«ƒŠƒXƒN”ä/·     1.706 < 2.776 < 4.519       0.009 < 0.010 < 0.010

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹ƒIƒbƒY”ä             3.227 < 4.841 < 7.262

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹’j«ƒIƒbƒY”ä      3.937 < 6.986 < 12.397

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹—«ƒIƒbƒY”ä      1.677 < 3.044 < 5.525

 

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‰ðÍ

 

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

CagA+

390: a

358: c

748: n1

CagA|

121: b

153: d

274: n0

¬Œv

511: m1

511: m0

1022: T

1.016 < RR = 1.181 < 1.371           0.074 < RD = 0.080 < 0.085

1.011 < RRD = 1.089 < 1.174         0.059 < RDD = 0.063 < 0.066

1.043 < OR = 1.377 < 1.174

0.012 < PARP = 0.117 < 0.214       0.006 < PARPD = 0.043 < 0.080

‘î•ñ—ʃGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.835 (Max2.0)

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.00361

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 1.0

‘ŠŒÝ^‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 0.196

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(–\˜I|„޾г): 0.9964

‘ŠŒÝ^޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 0.361%

 

„’è•êW’c‰ðÍ

 

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

CagA+

390: a

17828: c

18218: n1

CagA|

121: b

7619: d

7740: n0

¬Œv

511: m1

25447: m0

25958 :T

1.119 < RR = 1.369 < 1.676           0.006 < RD = 0.006 < 0.006

1.037 < RRD = 1.089 < 1.144        0.060 < RDD = 0.063 < 0.065

1.121 < OR = 1.377 < 1.692

0.077 < PARP = 0.206 < 0.322       0.001 < PARPD = 0.002 < 0.003

0.083 < PARPOR = 0.209 < 0.312 0.002 < PARPDOR = 0.006 < 0.009

‘î•ñ—ʃGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.0184 (Max2.0)

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.0002724

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[: 0.13967

‘ŠŒÝ^‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 0.02675

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(–\˜I|„޾г): 0.13940

‘ŠŒÝ^޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[(%): 0.19505%

 

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚̃IƒbƒY”ä1.043 < OR = 1.377 < 1.174‚Æ„’è•êW’c‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN”ä1.119 < RR = 1.369 < 1.676‚ÍA‚½‚¢‚Ö‚ñŽ—’Ê‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚±‚Å„’è•êW’c‚Ì’l‚ªŽg‚¦‚é‚à‚̂Ƃµ‚Ü‚·B

Šî€‚ÍA•êW’c‚݂̈ª‚ñƒŠƒXƒN 511/25958 ‚Å‚·B

‚»‚µ‚ÄACagA|‚݂̈ª‚ñƒŠƒXƒN‚Í121/7740 ‚»‚µ‚ÄCagA+‚݂̈ª‚ñƒŠƒXƒN‚Í390/18218‚Å‚·B

‚»‚±‚ÅA

CagA|‘ΕêW’c‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN”ä/·‚Í

(121/7740)/(511/25958) = 0.794135732       (121/7740) - (511/25958) = -0.004052571

CagA{‘ΕêW’c‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN”ä/·‚Í

(390/18218)/(511/25958) = 1.087462369     (390/18218) - (511/25958)= 0.001721753

‚±‚ê‚æ‚èACagAî•ñ‚ª‚í‚©‚Á‚½ê‡‚É‚Í|‚ÌŽž‚ÍA|0.4%A{‚ÌŽž‚Í{0.17“‚ðƒIƒŠƒWƒiƒ‹‚æ‚艺ŒÀ‚·‚ׂ«‚Æl‚¦‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ÆCagA‚Ì‘g‚݇‚킹‰ðÍ

 

IgG & CagAƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‰ðÍ

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

IgG + CagA+

363: a4

281: c4

644: n14

IgG + CagA|

115: a3

102:c3

217: n13

IgG|CagA+

27: a2

77: c2

104: n12

IgG|CagA|

6: a1

51: c1

57: n11

¬Œv

511: m1

511: m0

1022: T

IgG|CagA|‚ðŠî€‚Æ‚µ‚Ä(1.0)A‘¼‚ÌRelative Risk‚ðŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ÉŒvŽZ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

RelativeR1 = 6/51 = 0.11765 -> 1.0‚É‹KŠi‰»

RelativeR2 = 27/77 = 0.35065 -> ‹KŠi‰» (27/77) / (51/6) = 2.9805

RelativeR3 = 115/102 = 1.12745 -> ‹KŠi‰» (115/102) / (51/6) = 9.5833

RelativeR4 = 363/281 = 1.2918 -> ‹KŠi‰» (363/281) / (51/6) = 10.9804

‚±‚±‚ÅAIgG|CagA|‚ðŠî€‚É‚µ‚Ä‚à‚ ‚Ü‚èŽg‚¢“¹‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚±‚ÅA‚±‚ê‚à„’è•êW’c‚ÉŠg’£‚µ‚Ă݂܂·B

 

IgG & CagA„’è•êW’c‰ðÍ

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

IgG + CagA+

363: a4

13993: c4

14356: n14

IgG + CagA|

115: a3

5079:c3

5194: n13

IgG|CagA+

27: a2

3835: c2

3862: n12

IgG|CagA|

6: a1

2540: c1

2546: n11

¬Œv

511: m1

25447: m0

25958 :T

R1 = 6/2546        RelativeR1 = (6/2546) / (511/25958) = 0.1197135

R2 = 27/3862     RelativeR2 = (27/3862) / (511/25958) = 0.355141835

R3 = 115/5194    RelativeR3 = (115/5194) / (511/25958) = 1.124724675

R4 = 363/14356 RelativeR4 = (363/14356) / (511/25958) = 1.284468634

‚±‚±‚Ŋð•êW’c‚݂̈ª‚ñƒŠƒXƒN511/25958‚ðŽg—p‚µ‚Ü‚·B

‚±‚ê‚ÍARelativeR1‚ðŠî€‚É‚·‚邯æ‚قǂ̒l‚Æ‚½‚¢‚Ö‚ñ‹ß‚­‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚±‚Å„’è•êW’c‚ª—LŒø‚Å‚ ‚邯l‚¦A‚±‚¿‚ç‚Ì’l‚ðŽg—p‚µ‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“Žw•W(ˆÝ‚̈Þk‹ï‡)

 

ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚àŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɃNƒ‰ƒX•ª‚¯‚µ‚Ä‚»‚ÌRisk Ratio‚ðƒIƒbƒY”ä‚©‚çŒvŽZ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ó‘Ԃ̃Tƒ“ƒvƒ‹‰ðÍ

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

Pepsinogen 3+

227: a4

136: c4

363: n14

Pepsinogen 2+

171: a3

141:c3

312: n13

Pepsinogen +

21: a2

18: c2

29: n12

Pepsinogen |

92: a1

216: c1

308: n11

¬Œv

511: m1

511: m0

1022: T

RelativeR1 = 92/216 = 0.425925925 -> 1.0‚É‹KŠi‰»

RelativeR2 = 21/18 = 1.1667 -> ‹KŠi‰» (21/18) / (92/216) = 2.739

RelativeR3 = 171/141 = 1.212765957 -> ‹KŠi‰» (171/141) / (92/216) = 2.847

RelativeR4 = 227/136 = 1.669117647-> ‹KŠi‰» (227/136) / (92/216) = 3.919

 

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

Pepsinogen + ~3+

419: a

295: c

714: n14

Pepsinogen |

92: b

216: d

308: n11

¬Œv

511: m1

511: m0

1022: T

1.638 < RR = 1.965 < 2.356           0.271 < RD = 0.288 < 0.307

1.305 < RRD = 1.420 < 1.546        0.230 < RDD = 0.243 < 0.256

2.506 < OR = 3.335 < 4.438

0.308 < PARP = 0.403 < 0.487       0.132 < PARPD = 0.174 < 0.214

‘î•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.8314

‘ŠŒÝî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.05153

޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F1.000

‘ŠŒÝ/‘ƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F2.8138%

ðŒî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F0.9485    

‘ŠŒÝ/޾гî•ñƒGƒ“ƒgƒƒs[F5.1533%

 

ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ó‘Ô„’è•êW’c‰ðÍ

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

Pepsinogen 3+

227: a4

6773: c4

7000: n14

Pepsinogen 2+

171: a3

7022:c3

7193: n13

Pepsinogen +

21: a2

896: c2

917: n12

Pepsinogen |

92: a1

10756: c1

10848: n11

¬Œv

511: m1

25447: m0

25958 :T

‚±‚±‚ŊÍĂѕêW’c‚݂̈ª‚ñƒŠƒXƒN511/25958‚ðŽg—p‚µ‚Ü‚·B

R1 = 92/10848    RelativeR1 = (92/10848) / (511/25958) = 0.430812681

R2 = 21/917       RelativeR2 = (21/917) / (511/25958) = 1.163322926

R3 = 171/7193   RelativeR3 = (171/7193) / (511/25958) = 1.207636909

R4 = 227/7000   RelativeR4 = (227/7000) / (511/25958) = 1.64732066

R234 = 419/15110 RelativeR234 = (419/15110) / (511/25958) =1.408639579

ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚ª{‚Å‚ ‚邯‚¨‚¨‚æ‚»1.4”{‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN‚ƂȂ邱‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ƃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ó‘Ô‚Ì‘g‚݇‚킹

ŽŸ‚ɃsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ƃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚Ìó‘Ô‚Ì‘g‚݇‚킹‚𒲸‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚ÌWŒv‚ÍŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ƃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ó‘Ԃ̃Tƒ“ƒvƒ‹‰ðÍ

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

D: H.P.| PG+

17: a2

20: c2

37: n14

C: H.P.+  PG+

402: a4

275: c4

677: n13

B: H.P.+  PG|

76: a3

108:c3

184: n13

A: H.P.| PG|

16: a1

108: c1

124: n11

¬Œv

511: m1

511: m0

1022: T

RelativeRA = 16/108 = 0.148148148 -> 1.0‚É‹KŠi‰»

RelativeRB = 76/108 = 0.703703703 -> ‹KŠi‰» (76/108) / (16/108) = 4.75

RelativeRC = 402/275 = 1.461818182 -> ‹KŠi‰» (402/275) / (16/108) = 9.867

RelativeRD = 17/20 = 0.85 -> ‹KŠi‰» (17/20) / (16/108) = 5.7375

RelativeBCD = (495/403) / (16/108) = 8.291

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ƃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ó‘Ô‚Ì„’è•êW’c‰ðÍ

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

D: H.P.| PG+

17: a2

996: c2

1013: n14

C: H.P.+  PG+

402: a4

13695: c4

14097: n13

B: H.P.+  PG|

76: a3

5378:c3

5454: n13

A: H.P.| PG|

16: a1

5378: c1

5394: n11

¬Œv

511: m1

25447:m0

25958 :T

‚±‚±‚ŊÍĂѕêW’c‚݂̈ª‚ñƒŠƒXƒN511/25958(131.2376‘Î10–œl/”N)‚ðŽg—p‚µ‚Ü‚·B

RA = 16/5378 = 19.8339(‘Î10–œl/”N)       RelativeRA = (16/5378) / (511/25958) = 0.151129593

RB = 76/5378 = 94.2110(‘Î10–œl/”N)       RelativeRB = (76/5378) / (511/25958) = 0.717865566

RC = 402/13695 = 195.69185(‘Î10–œl/”N)             RelativeRC = (402/13695) / (511/25958) = 1.491126006

RD = 17/996 = 113.7885(‘Î10–œl/”N)       RelativeRD = (17/996) / (511/25958) = 0.867041551

RBCD = 495/20564

= 160.4746(‘Î10–œl/”N)              RelativeRBCD = (495/20564) / (511/25958) =1.222778888

 

‚»‚µ‚ÄA

RBCD = 495/20564 = 0.02407 (2.4%) = 2407(‘Î10–œl)@

              = 160.475(‘Î10–œl/”N)

‚»‚µ‚ÄA•½‹Ï”N—î57.3΂ł ‚邱‚Æ‚ðl‚¦‚»‚ꂪ15”N’ÇÕ’²¸‚³‚ꂽ‚̂ł·‚©‚ç57.3 – 72.3΂ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚»‚Ì•êW’c‚Ì•½‹ÏˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгƒŠƒXƒN‚ÍA(131.2376‘Î10–œl/”N)‚Å‚µ‚½B

’nˆæ‚ª‚ñ“o˜^‘S‘„Œv’l8)  (¡Œã‚±‚̃f[ƒ^‚ð‚±‚Ì‚æ‚¤‚ɌĂт܂·) ‚Ì2003”N‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦‚ðŒ©‚Ü‚·‚ÆŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

2003@ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦(‘Î10–œl/”N)

55-59Î60-64Î65-69Î70-74Î

’j—Œv   103.2    148.1    218.4    302.3

’jŒv@   148.4    230.5    342.4    483.5

—Œv@   59.2      70.4      106.5    150.5

 

‚±‚ê‚Æ”ä‚ׂĂ̂â‚â’á‚¢‚Å‚·‚ªA“Á•Ê‚¨‚©‚µ‚È„’è‚Æ‚Íl‚¦‚É‚­‚­‚È‚è‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚ê‚æ‚èA‚¹‚¢‚º‚¢ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ƃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ó‘ԂŃOƒ‹[ƒv•ª‚¯‚µ‚½ƒŠƒXƒN‚Ì‘‰Á‚Í‚¹‚¢‚º‚¢2”{’ö“x‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍA‘S‘݂̂̈ª‚ñ‚̜늳—¦‚É”ä‚ב巂 ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‘½•ªƒ‰ƒ“ƒ_ƒ€ƒTƒ“ƒvƒŠƒ“ƒO‚ª‚¤‚Ü‚­Œ¾‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚È‚¢‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Æ‚É‚È‚é‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚Ì511–¼‚̃f[ƒ^‚Å•êW’cA“ú–{l‘S‘̂ɓK‰ž‚·‚邱‚Ƃɂ͖â‘肪‚ ‚邱‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ꂪA‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN‚̊댯‚ȂƂ±‚ë‚Å‚·B•K‚¸â‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN‚àŽQÆ‚µ‚½‚¢‚Æ‚±‚ë‚Å‚·B

 

‚»‚±‚ÅA‚©‚Ȃ葼‚ÅŒ¾‚í‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚邱‚ƂƷ‚ª‚ ‚邿‚¤‚ÉŠ´‚¶‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅA‚»‚Ì‘¼‚̃f[ƒ^‚àŽQÆ‚µ‚Ă݂܂·B‚Ü‚¸AYoshida“™@9)‚ðŒ©‚Ä‚Ý‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚̘_•¶‚ðŽQƂɂ·‚邯

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ÆCAG‚Ì‘g‚݇‚킹

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

D: H.P.|CAG+

4: a2

29: c2

33: n14

C: H.P.+ CAG+

44: a4

1285: c4

1329: n13

B: H.P.+ CAG|

37: a3

2291:c3

2328: n12

A: H.P.|CAG|

2: a1

963: c1

965: n11

¬Œv

87: m1

4568: m0

4655: T

IgG|CagA|‚ðŠî€‚Æ‚µ‚Ä(1.0)A‘¼‚ÌRrelative Risk‚ðŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ÉŒvŽZ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

RelativeR1 = 2/965 = 0.0020725 -> 1.0‚É‹KŠi‰»

RelativeR2 = 37/2328 = 0.01589 -> ‹KŠi‰» (37/2328) x (965/2) = 7.6686

RelativeR3 = 44/1329 = 0.03311 -> ‹KŠi‰» (44/1329) x (965/2) = 15.9744

RelativeR4 = 4/33 = 0.1212 -> ‹KŠi‰» (4/33) x (965/2) = 58.48485

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгƒŠƒXƒN(’ÇÕ16”N)‚ÍA48.4 – 64.3΂Å

87/4655 = 116.8099 (‘Î10–œl/”N)

‚±‚ê‚ÍAæ‚Ù‚Ç‚Ì(131.2376‘Î10–œl/”N)F57.3 – 72.3΂Ƒ傫‚­ˆá‚¢‚Ü‚¹‚ñB”N—î·‚ðl‚¦‚邯‘Ó–‚¾‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B

 

‚µ‚©‚µ‚±‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚ÍA‘O‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚ÆAŒQABŒQACŒQADŒQ‚̔䗦‚ª‚©‚È‚èˆá‚¢‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅA‚»‚ÌŒŸ’è•û–@‚ª‚ǂ̒ö“x³Šm‰»‚ðŠm”F‚·‚邽‚߂ɂ¢‚ë‚¢‚ë‚ȃf[ƒ^‚ðW‚߂Ă݂܂·B

 

AABACADŒQ‚̔䗦”äŠr

 

 

A

B

C

D

Total

ìèˆã‰È‘åŠw

lŠÔƒhƒbƒO

ˆäãŽ10)

33.816%

(2802)

40.97%

(3395)

25.21%

(2089)

8286

1995/2009

“Œ‹àŒ’Nf’f

11)

56%

(1504)

14%

(372)

27%

(728)

3%

(91)

2695

H23:

2011

“Œ‹à’j« 11)

48%

17%

31%

4%

724

 

“Œ‹à—« 11)

59%

13%

25%

3%

1971

 

˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§’j«9)

20.730%

(965)

50.01%

(2328)

28.55%

(1329)

0.7089%

(33)

4655

1994/1995

age40-59

‹T“c’†‰›‘¼12)

47.60%

(3324)

30.56%

(2134)

15.495%

(1082)

6.344%

(443)

6983

1995/1997

‹T“c’j«12)

47.26%

(2260)

31.14%

(1489)

14.91%

(713)

6.69%

(320)

4782

1995/1997

‹T“c—«12)

48.34%

(1064)

29.305%

(645)

16.765%

(369)

5.59%

(123)

2201

1995/1997

‹T“c60–¢–ž

’j«12)

49.95%

2103

31.045%

1307

13.37%

563

5.63%

237

4210

 

‹T“c60ˆÈã

’j«12)

27.45%

157

31.82%

182

31.47%

180

14.51%

83

572

 

‹T“c60–¢–ž

—«12)

49.71%

971

29.24%

571

16.33%

319

4.71%

92

1953

 

‹T“c60ˆÈã

—«12)

37.5%

93

29.84%

74

20.16%

50

6.45%

31

248

 

“Œ‹ž“sŒŸf 14)

70.651%

10628

19.363%

2911

9.134%

1374

0.8642%

130

15043

2007

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ12

¼“Œ‹žŽsŒŸf@15)

57.226%

8830

18.94%

2923

19.96%

3080

3.87%

597

15430

H23/H24

2011/2013

–k—¢•a‰@

’èŠúŒ’Nf’f16)

73.8%

1098

12.6%

188

11.8%

175

1.8%

27

1488

2011/6

E55–¼‚ðAŒQ‚©‚眊O

–k—¢40‘ã16)

81.34%

667

10.24%:

84

7.68%:

63

0.73%:

6

820

 

–k—¢50‘ã16)

71.43%

400

12.50%:

70

13.75%:

77

2.32%:

13

560

 

–k—¢60‘ã16)

52.94%

81

20.915%: 32

21.57%:

33

4.575%:

7

153

 

–k—¢70‘ã16)

50.0%

5

20.0%:

2

20.0%:

2

10.0%:

1

10

 

“¡Ž}ŽsŒŸf17)

58.588%

3974

18.1925%

1234

19.6815%

1335

3.538%

240

6783

H25

2013

“¡Ž}ŽsŒŸf17)

39Î

88.191%

351

9.045%

36

2.764%

11

0%

0

398

 

“¡Ž}ŽsŒŸf17)

40Î

85.054%

313

9.7826%

36

4.0761%

15

1.087%

4

368

 

“¡Ž}ŽsŒŸf17)

45Î

80.1887%

255

13.522%

43

4.717%

15

1.572%

5

318

 

“¡Ž}ŽsŒŸf17)

50Î

77.224%

217

16.726%

47

5.694%

16

0.356%

1

281

 

“¡Ž}ŽsŒŸf17)

55Î

67.062%

226

20.178%

68

10.979%

37

1.7804%

6

337

 

“¡Ž}ŽsŒŸf17)

60Î

62.828%

311

20.0%

99

15.1515%

75

2.020%

10

495

 

“¡Ž}ŽsŒŸf17)

65Î

54.172%

448

22.491%

186

21.282%

176

2.0556%

17

827

 

“¡Ž}ŽsŒŸf17)

70Î

50.906%

337

20.544%

136

25.3776%

168

3.172%

21

662

 

“¡Ž}ŽsŒŸf17)

75Î

51.440%

250

18.519%

90

25.926%

126

4.115%

20

486

 

“¡Ž}ŽsŒŸf17)

76Î~

48.487%

1266

18.882%

493

26.6565%

696

5.975%

156

2611

 

‰¡{‰êŽsŒŸf18)

53.00%

11539

27.0026%

5879

16.999%

3701

2.999%

653

21772

H24: 2012

108ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ

‹ž“s•{ 19)

22.591%

647

38.198%

1094

36.802%

1054

2.409%

69

2864

1987

 

ã‚Ì’²¸‚ÍŽå‚ÉA1995”N ‚Æ2010”N ‚É“ñ•ª‰»‚µ‚Ü‚·B‚»‚ê‚ÍA‰º‚Ì}‚ÅŒ¾‚¤‚ÆÔ‚Ìü‚ƃIƒŒƒ“ƒW‚Ìü‚ɑГ–‚µ‚Ü‚·B‚Ü‚½A2008-2010‚Ì–¼ŒÃ‰®‚ł̒²¸‚Å‚ÍAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦ ‚Í35`39Î19.6%A40`49Î25.8%A50`59Î39.4%A60`69Î50.3%‚ÅA‘S‘̂łÍ36.4%‚Å‚µ‚½B‚±‚ê‚ðŽQƂɂµ‚Ä‚à”N—Žá‚¢‚Ù‚ÇA’²¸”N‚ªV‚µ‚¢‚Ù‚ÇAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—¦‚àƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“—z«—¦‚à’á‚­‚È‚éŒXŒü‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·Bˆê•û’j—ŠÔ‚ł̖¾Šm‚È·‚ÍŒ©‚ç‚ê‚È‚¢‚悤‚Å‚·B

ƒOƒ‹[ƒvAABACAD‚ÌŠ„‡‚Ì’²¸”N‘ã‚Æ‚Ì‘ŠŠÖ‚ðŒ©‚Ä‚Ý‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒOƒ‹[ƒvAABACAD‚Ì‘ŠŠÖ

‘ŠŠÖŒW”@0.821155079

‘ŠŠÖŒW”@-0.82037

‘ŠŠÖŒW”@-0.584084829

‘ŠŠÖŒW”@-0.001533636

 

ƒOƒ‹[ƒvA‚ÍA”N‘ã‚Æ‚Ì‘ŠŠÖŒW”0.82‚Æ‚©‚Ȃ苭‚­‘ŠŠÖ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·BB‚à-0.82‚Æ‚©‚Ȃ苭‚­•‰‚É‘ŠŠÖ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ç‚ÍA’²¸”N“x‚ªV‚µ‚¢‚قǂ܂½”N—Žá‚¢‚قǃsƒƒŠ‹Û‚ÌŠ´õ—¦‚͉º‚ª‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅA‚©‚È‚èˆÓ–¡‚Ì‚ ‚éŠÖŒW‚ł܂³‚É‚»‚Ì‚±‚Æ‚ð•\‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·Bˆê•ûƒOƒ‹[ƒvC‚͂ǂ¿‚ç‚©‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚Æ•‰‚Ì‘ŠŠÖ‚ðŽ¦‚µ‚Ä‚¨‚èA‚±‚ê‚Í”NXƒsƒƒŠ‹Û‚̜늳—¦‚ª‰º‚ª‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚邱‚ƂƌXŒü‚Æ‚µ‚Ă͈ê’v‚µ‚Ü‚·‚ªA–¾Šm‚È•ûŒü«‚ªo‚Ä‚¢‚邯‚ÍŒ¾‚¦‚È‚¢ó‘Ô‚Å‚·B‘¼‚Ì—vˆö‚ª”wŒã‚É‚ ‚邱‚Æ‚ð”Û’è‚Å‚«‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚Ü‚½ƒOƒ‹[ƒvD‚ÍA‘ŠŠÖ‚ª‚Ù‚Ú‚ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚±‚ê‚à­‚µ–Ê”’‚¢ŠÖŒW‚Å‚·‚ªA‰½‚ç‚©‚̈Ó}‚ª‚ ‚è”NXƒsƒƒŠ‹Û‚̜늳—¦‚ª‰º‚ª‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚邱‚Æ‚ð’ Á‚µ‚É‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚é‚Ì‚©‚à‚µ‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñBƒOƒ‹[ƒvAAB‚̓f[ƒ^‚Æ‚µ‚ĈÀ’肵‚Ä‚¢‚邪ACAD‚͂܂¾ˆÀ’肵‚Ä‚¢‚È‚¢‚Æ‚àŒ¾‚¦‚é‚©‚à‚µ‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚±‚ê‚ÍAƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚Ìó‘Ô‚¾‚¯‚ŃOƒ‹[ƒv•ª‚¯‚·‚邱‚Æ‚ðŽ¦´‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚é‚Ì‚©‚à‚µ‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñB

‚»‚±‚ÅAŽŽ‚µ‚ÉCD‚ðˆê‚‚̃Oƒ‹[ƒv‚É‚µ‚Ă݂܂µ‚傤B

 

‘ŠŠÖŒW”@-0.583495703

 

–¾Šm‚È‘ŠŠÖ‚ÍŽ¦‚µ‚Ă͂¢‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚µ‚©‚µAƒIƒtƒZƒbƒg‚ª‚©‚©‚Á‚½‰ñ‹A’¼ü‚͈ø‚¯‚»‚¤‚ÈŒ`‚ð‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍAƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚Ìó‘Ô‚ªƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ—L–³‚Æ‚»‚êˆÈŠO‚Ì‘¼‚Ì—vˆö‚Ì—¼•û‚ÉŠÖ˜A‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚é‚Ì‚©‚à‚µ‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚Ü‚½A‰º‚̃Oƒ‰ƒt‚ð‚݂ĂàˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг‚Æ‘ŠŠÖ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚é‚̂͊ԈႢ‚ª‚È‚¢‚ÆŽv‚í‚ê‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅAŒã‚قǃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚݂̂̉ðÍ‚ðs‚Á‚Ă݂½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

 

21)

 

 

20)

 

ã‚Ì•\‚Å‚àAƒsƒƒŠ‹Û‚̜늳—¦‚ª’j—‚Ɉˑ¶‚µ‚È‚¢‚±‚Æ‚ðŒ©‚Ü‚µ‚½‚ª‚±‚̃Oƒ‰ƒt‚à‚»‚Ìl‚¦‚ðŽxŽ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚邯l‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚ê‚ðl‚¦‚邯A‚¨‚¨‚Þ‚Ëã‚ɂ܂Ƃ߂½’²¸‚͑Ó–‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚é‚©‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

‚½‚¾A˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§’j«‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚ÅAD‚ÌŠ„‡‚ª‘¼‚Æ”ä‚×”¼•ªˆÈ‰º‚ƂȂÁ‚Ä‚¨‚èA‚»‚ê‚Ì‚¹‚¢‚à‚ ‚é‚Ì‚©‰º‚ÉŽ¦‚·ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг‚ÉŠÖ‚µ‚Ä‚ÌD‚ÌA‚É”ä‚ׂ½‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN”䂪‘¼‚Æ”ä‚׋ɒ[‚ɑ傫‚­‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚Ü‚½A‘¼‚Ì’l‚à’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚ª’Z‚­AœëгŽÒ‚ª0‚Å‚ ‚é“™‚Ü‚¾\•ª‚ȃf[ƒ^‚ª‚ ‚邯‚ÍŒ¾‚¦‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚µ‚ÄA–{—ˆ‹^Ž—•ª—Þ‚à‚ ‚é‚Í‚¸‚Å‚·‚ª‚»‚Ì’²¸‚ª‚³‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚µ‚ÄA‚»‚ꂼ‚ê‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦‚ð‚Ü‚Æ‚ß‚é‚ÆŽŸ‚Ì•\‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

ABCDŒQ‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг’ÇÕ’²¸

 

A

B

C

D

Total

’ÇÕŠúŠÔ

ìèˆã‰È‘åŠw

lŠÔƒhƒbƒO

ˆäãŽ10)

0% (0/260)

2.1%

(12/571)

5.77%

(18/312)

2.625%

(30/1143)

12”N

0%

0/2802

0.21%

7/3395

1.87%

39/2089

0.555%

46/8286

14”N

˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§’j«9)

0.207%

(2/965)

1.589%

(37/2328)

3.311%

(44/1329)

12.121%

(4/33)

1.869%

87/4655

16”NŠÔ

40]59

˜a‰ÌŽR 13)

0%

0/967

0.81%

19/2341

1.8%

24/1316

6.45%

2/31

0.97%

45/4655

7.7”NŠÔ

‹T“c’†‰›‘¼12)

0.2106%

7/3324

0.2812%

6/2134

1.6636%

18/1082

2.709%

12/443

0.6158%

43/6983

4.7”N

‹T“c’j«12)

0.3097%

7/2260

0.2686%

4/1489

2.3843%

17/713

3.125%

10/320

0.79465%

38/4782

4.7”N

‹T“c—«12)

0%

0/1064

0.3101%

2/645

0.2710%

1/369

1.6260%

2/123

0.22716%

5/2201

4.7”N

‹T“c60–¢–ž

’j«12)

0.238%

5/2103

0.0765%

1/1307

1.954%

11/563

1.688%

4/237

0.50%

21/4210

4.7”N

‹T“c60ˆÈã

’j«12)

1.274%

2/157

1.648%

3/182

3.333%

6/180

7.229%

6/83

2.972%

17/572

4.7”N

‹T“c60–¢–ž

—«12)

0%

0/971

0.175%

1/571

0%

0/319

0%

0/92

0.051%

1/1953

4.7”N

‹T“c60ˆÈã

—«12)

0%

0/93

1.35%

1/74

2%

1/50

6.45%

2/31

1.61%

4/248

4.7”N

‹ž“s•{ 19)

0.31%

2/647

0.14%

15/1094

3.8%

41/1054

4.34%

3/69

2.13%

61/2864

1987-1996

10”NŠÔ

A‚ÍA‚Ù‚ÚS”z‚È‚µACD‚ª—v’ˆÓ‚Ƃ̌XŒü‚ÍŒ©‚ÄŽæ‚ê‚Ü‚·‚ªA‚Æ‚­‚ÉD‚͂΂ç‚‚«‚ª‘å‚«‚­A‚±‚ꂾ‚¯‚ł͖¾Šm‚ÈŒXŒü‚ÍŒ©‚ÄŽæ‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñ‚Ì‚ÅA‚Ü‚½A’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚ÌŠÖŒW‚©œëгŽÒ‚O‚Ì—“‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B‚»‚±‚ÅA‚à‚¤­‚µÚ‚µ‚­Œ©‚Ă݂܂·B

 

March/1995-Feb/1997 12)

Œ’Nf’f@‹T“c’†‰›•a‰@@&@–‹’£ƒNƒŠƒjƒbƒN@6983/9293@4.7”N’ÇÕ’²¸

H.pylori & CAG (ˆÝ”S–Œ‚̈Þk) •½‹Ï”N—î@48.9 (SD=8.5)

A: 47.1 (8.1), B: 49.2 (8.3), C: 52.0 (8.5), D: 53.3 (8.8)

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

D: H.P.|CAG+

12: a2

431: c2

443: n14

C: H.P.+ CAG+

18: a4

1064: c4

1082: n13

B: H.P.+ CAG|

6: a3

2128:c3

2134: n12

A: H.P.|CAG|

7: a1

3317: c1

3324: n11

¬Œv

43: m1

6940: m0

6983: T

RA = 7/3324 = 44.8063(‘Î10–œl/”N)         RelativeRA = (7/3324) / (43/6983) = 0.341987798

RB = 6/2134 = 59.8217(‘Î10–œl/”N)         RelativeRB = (6/2134) / (43/6983) = 0.456594232

RC = 18/1082 = 353.95446(‘Î10–œl/”N)   RelativeRC = (18/1082) / (43/6983) = 2.70158621

RD = 12/443 = 576.3412(‘Î10–œl/”N)       RelativeRD = (12/443) / (43/6983) = 4.398971075

RBCD = 36/3659

= 209.3352(‘Î10–œl/”N)              RelativeRBCD = (36/3659) / (43/6983) =1.597767849

‚±‚Ì’²¸‘S‘݂̂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦‚ÍA43/6983 = 0.131017(131.0173‘Î10–œl/”N)‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ðŠî€‚É‘Š‘Î”ä‚ðŒvŽZ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

ˆê•û’nˆæ‚ª‚ñ“o˜^‘S‘„Œv’l‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦‚ÍA2000”N‚Å

50|54΂ÅA’j—Œv64.3 (–œl/”N)A’j«88.7 (–œl/”N)A—«40.0 (–œl/”N)

‚ƂȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍA‚©‚È‚èˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦‚ªˆá‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍA‰½‚É‹Nˆö‚·‚é‚̂łµ‚傤B’nˆæ·‚̉”\«‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅAç—tŒ§‚̃f[ƒ^‚ð‘S‘‚ª‚ñœëгƒ‚ƒjƒ^ƒŠƒ“ƒOWŒv22) ‚É‚æ‚邯2003”N‚ÅA”N—î’²®•½‹Ï’j—Œv37.5(–œl/”N) 50|54΂Œj«55.7(–œl/”N) —«28.4(–œl/”N)

ç—tŒ§‚Í‘S‘•½‹Ï‚É”ä‚×’á‚¢•û‚Å‚·‚ªA‚±‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚Í‚‚­o‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA“Á‚É–Ú‚ðˆø‚­‚Ì‚ªƒOƒ‹[ƒvD‚̜늳—¦‚Ì‚‚³‚Å‚·BŒ»ó‚ł͂»‚̈Ⴂ‚Í–¾”’‚Å‚·‚ªŒ´ˆö‚Í•s–¾‚Å‚·B

‚±‚ê‚ÍA•ªŠ„•\‚ð—˜—p‚µ‚½‚±‚ƂɋNˆö‚·‚é‚Ì‚©‚à‚µ‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñB•ªŠ„•\‚ÍA’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚ª‚݂ȓ¯‚¶ê‡‚ÉŽg—p‚·‚邱‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚·B‚»‚±‚ÅA’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚𖾎¦“I‚ÉŽæ‚è“ü‚ê‚ÄŒvŽZ‚µ‚Ă݂܂·B

 

”­¶—¦‹y‚Ñ‚»‚Ì”ä

 

ƒŠƒXƒN”äAƒIƒbƒY”ä‚ÍŠÏŽ@ŠúŠÔ‚ª“¯‚¶‚Å‚ ‚邯‚Ì‘O’ñ‚ÅŒvŽZ‚·‚é‚à‚̂ł·B‚»‚±‚ÅA‚±‚ê‚ç‚ÌAABACADA(‚d)•]‰¿‚Å’†‚ɂ͈݂ª‚ñ‚̜늳ƒŠƒXƒN‚Æ‚µ‚ÄA”­¶—¦‚Ì”äŠr‚ð‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚é‚à‚Ì‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍÅ[‚Ì’ˆÓ‚ª•K—v‚È•û–@‚ðŽg—p‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚̂ł»‚Ì–â‘è“_‚ðq‚ׂ½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚Ì”­¶—¦‚Æ‚ÍA

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

l‚˜”N

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

478: a

S1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

33: b

S0

¬Œv

511: m1

S1+S0

 

•ªŠ„•\‚ð‚±‚Ì‚æ‚¤‚É–\˜I‘”n1A”ñ–\˜I‘”n0‚Ì‘ã‚í‚è‚ÉAl”‚˜’ÇÕŽžŠÔ‚ð•Ï”S1AS0‚Æ‚µAƒŠƒXƒNa/n1Ab/n0‚Ì‘ã‚í‚è‚ÉA”­¶—¦a/S1Ab/S0‚ð‹‚ßA”ä‚â·‚ÌŒvŽZ‚ð‚·‚é‚à‚̂ł·B”­¶—¦‚Í’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚ÌŽžŠÔ‚ÉŠñ‚炸ƒCƒxƒ“ƒg‚Ì”­¶‘¬“x‚ªˆê’è‚Å‚ ‚邯‚̉¼’è‚Ì‚à‚Æ‚ÉŒvŽZ‚³‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚Ä”­¶—¦‚ÍAl”^(l”‚˜ŽžŠÔ)‚ÌŒvŽZ‚ð‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅAŽžŠÔ‚Ì‹t”‚ÌŽŸŒ³‚ð‚à‚‚±‚Æ‚ðˆÓ}‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚‚܂葬“x‚ð•\‚»‚¤‚Æ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

‚µ‚©‚µA‚±‚ê‚ÍÅ[‚Ì’ˆÓ‚ª•K—v‚Å‚·B‚È‚º‚È‚ç‚΂±‚ê‚ÍƒŠƒ“ƒS‚Ì”‚ƃ~ƒJƒ“‚Ì”‚ð”äŠr‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚é‚̂ƂɂȂ邩‚ç‚Å‚·B‚±‚ê‚Í—L–¼‚È–â‘è‚ŃGƒ‹ƒS[ƒh«A‚Ü‚½‚̓Gƒ‹ƒS[ƒh‰¼à‚Æ‚¢‚í‚ê‚é‚à‚̂ł·B‚»‚ê‚ÍAŽžŠÔ•½‹Ï‚ªƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹•½‹Ï‚É“™‚µ‚¢A‚‚܂èAœëгŽÒ‚ÌŽžŠÔ‚ð’Ç‚Á‚Ä‹‚ß‚½Œ‹‰Ê‚Ɯ늳ŽÒ”‚ð‘‚₵‚½Œ‹‰Ê‚ª“¯‚¶‚É‚È‚é‚Æ‚̉¼’è‚ÉŠî‚¢‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‰¼à‚Æ‚¢‚í‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚é——R‚ÍØ–¾‚Å‚«‚È‚¢‚©‚ç‚ÅA‚±‚ê‚͈ê”Ê“I‚É”M•½t‚É‚ ‚é’èí‰ß’ö‚łͳ‚µ‚¢‚Æ‚³‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚µ‚©‚µA”ñ”M•½tAƒI[ƒvƒ“ŒnA”ñ’èí‰ß’ö‚ł͂»‚ê‚ͳ‚µ‚­‚È‚¢‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚Ì‚ªˆê”Ê“I‚Å‚·BlŠÔ‚Í”ñüŒ`A”ñ”M•½tAƒI[ƒvƒ“Œn‚Ì“®“I¶‚«•¨‚Å‚·B

‚±‚ê‚ÍAŒ¾‚¢Š·‚¦‚ê‚ÎŽžŠÔ‚ð’Ç‚Á‚Ä’²¸‚µ‚½ŠúŠÔ‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN‚Ì‘‚¦•û‚ÆAƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”‚ð‘‚₵‚½Û‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN‚Ì‘‚¦•û‚ª“¯‚¶‚Ƃ̉¼à‚ÉŠî‚¢‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚µ‚©‚µA‚ª‚ñ‚̜늳—¦‚Í”N—î‚ðd‚˂邲‚Ƃɑ‚¦‚Ä‚¢‚«‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅAƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹‚ð‘‚₵‚½ê‡‚Ƃ͖¾‚ç‚©‚ɈႢ‚Ü‚·B‚æ‚Á‚ÄAœëг—¦‚̕ω»‚âA¶–½‹Èü‚Ì•]‰¿‚É‚±‚ÌŽw•W‚ð‚±‚Ì‚Ü‚ÜŽg‚¤‚±‚Ƃ̈́§‚Å‚«‚Ü‚¹‚ñB

 

ŒvŽZ‚·‚邱‚Ƃ͉”\‚Å‚·‚Ì‚ÅAˆê—á‚ðŽæ‚è’l‚ÌŒvŽZ‚µ‚Ă݂½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§’j«‚Ì—á9)‚ðŽg—p‚µ‚Ă݂܂·B

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

l‚˜”N

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

81: a

40909: S1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

6: b

13231: S0

¬Œv

87: m1

S=S1+S0

 

”­¶—¦IR = a/S1/c/S0 = 81/40909 /6/13231=  (81x13231) / (6x40909) = 4.366

CI = IR x exp(}1.96 x ã( 1/a + 1/b)) = IR x exp(}0.8293) =10.01/1.905

IR = 4.366 (1.905/10.01)

 

‚±‚Ìhl‚˜”Nh‚ÍAœëг‚µ‚È‚©‚Á‚½•û‚ÍA‚»‚Ì’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚·‚ׂÄAœëг‚µ‚½•û‚͜늳‚·‚é‚܂ł̎žŠÔ‚ð‰Á‚¦‚½‚à‚̂ɂȂè‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅA‰º‹L•\‚Ìl”‚Æ’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚ð‚©‚¯‚½‚à‚̂ɂ͂ȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚µ‚©‚µAÚ×î•ñ‚ª‚È‚¢‚½‚ß‚»‚Ìhl‚˜”Nh‚Ì’l‚ð‚»‚Ì‚Ü‚ÜŽg—p‚µ‚Ü‚·B

 

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

l”

’ÇÕŠúŠÔ

l‚˜”N

”N—î

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

81: a

3657: n1

11.2: t1

40909: S1

49.8: Y1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

6: b

998: n0

13.3: t0

13231: S0

48.3:Y0

¬Œv

87: m1

4655: n

11.6: t

54140: S

49.5: Y

 

‚±‚ê‚©‚ç•ªŠ„•\‚ð쬂µA‚»‚ê‚æ‚胊ƒXƒN”ä‚ȂǂðŒvŽZ‚·‚é‚ÆŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñ”ñœëг

¬Œv

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

81: a

3576: c

3657: n1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

6: b

992: d

998: n0

¬Œv

87: m1

4568: m0

4655: T

RR = 3.684 (1.612/8.418): ‘Δ•W€Œë·0.4216      

RD = 0.016 (0.016/0.016): ‘Δ•W€Œë·0.00347

OR = 3.745 (1.629/8.608) : ‘Δ•W€Œë·0.4246

lŒûŠñ—^Š„‡ = 0.678 (0.325/0.854)

 

ƒŠƒXƒN”ä3.684‚ƃIƒbƒY”ä3.745‚Í‚©‚È‚è‹ß‚¢‚Å‚·‚ªA”­Ç—¦4.366‚Í‚ ‚Ü‚è‹ß‚­‚ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚±‚ê‚ÍŽå‚ÉAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õŽÒ‚Ì’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚ª11.2”N‚Å‚ ‚Á‚½‚̂ɑ΂µAƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õŽÒ‚Ì’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚ª13.3”N‚Æ’·‚¢‚¹‚¢‚Å‹N‚±‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚©‚Æ‚¢‚Á‚ÄA’ÇÕ”N”A‰Šú”N—î‚̈Ⴄ‚à‚Ì‚ÉƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚ð‚»‚Ì‚Ü‚ÜŽg‚¤‚±‚Æ‚à–â‘肪‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B

‚µ‚©‚à•½‹Ï”N—î49΂ł·‚Ì‚Å13”N’ÇÕ’²¸‚µ‚Ü‚·‚Æ61΂ł·‚Ì‚ÅAˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚̜늳—¦‚ª‹}Œƒ‚Éオ‚é”N‘ã‚Å‚·‚Ì‚ÅAƒGƒ‹ƒS[ƒh‰¼à‚‚܂莞ŠÔ•½‹Ï‚ƃTƒ“ƒvƒ‹•½‹Ï‚ª“¯‚¶‚É‚È‚é‚Æ‚ÍŒ¾‚¦‚¸A”­¶—¦‚ð“K‰ž‚·‚邱‚Ƃɖâ‘肪‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B

 

’ÇÕ’²¸ŠúŠÔ‚ÌlŽ@

 

’ÇÕ’²¸ŠúŠÔ‚ªˆá‚Á‚½ê‡‚̳‚µ‚¢ˆµ‚¢•û‚ðlŽ@‚µ‚Ă݂½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

l”

’ÇÕŠúŠÔ

l‚˜”N

”N—î

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

81: a

3657: n1

11.2: t1

40909: S1

49.8: Y1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

6: b

998: n0

13.3: t0

13231: S0

48.3:Y0

¬Œv

87: m1

4655: n

11.6: t

54140: S

49.5: Y

‚±‚±‚ŃsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õŽÒ‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNR1‚ÍA81/40909 = 198.00044 (‘Î\–œl/”N)

‚±‚±‚ŃsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õŽÒ‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNR0‚ÍA6/13231 = 45.34805 (‘Î\–œl/”N)

‚±‚±‚Å‘S‘Ì‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNRt‚ÍA87/54140 = 160.69450 (‘Î\–œl/”N)

‚ªo”­“_‚Å‚·B

æ‚Ù‚Çà–¾‚µ‚Ü‚µ‚½‚悤‚É‚±‚Ì•\‚Å‚ÍAl”‚˜’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚ª³Šm‚É‚Íl‚˜”N‚ɂ͂Ȃè‚Ü‚¹‚ñ‚ªA‚©‚È‚è‹ß‚¢‚̂ł±‚Ì’l‚ðŽg‚Á‚ÄlŽ@‚µ‚Ă݂½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

’nˆæ‚ª‚ñ“o˜^‘S‘„Œv’l8)‚Ì2011”N‚݂̈ª‚ñ‚̜늳—¦‚ÍŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

”N—î

48

49

50

51

52

53

54

œëг—¦

0.00033

0.00033

0.000746

0.000746

0.000746

0.000746

0.000746

—ÝϜ늳—¦

0.256177

0.289135

0.363494

0.437797

0.512045

0.586238

0.660375

—ÝϜ늳—¦·•ª

0

0.032957

0.107316

0.18162

0.255868

0.33006

0.404198

—ÝϜ늳—¦”ä

1

1.12865

1.418914

1.70896

1.998791

2.288405

2.577803

55

56

57

58

59

60

61

62

0.00146

0.00146

0.00146

0.00146

0.00146

0.00236

0.00236

0.00236

0.80539

0.950193

1.094784

1.239165

1.383335

1.616099

1.848313

2.07998

0.549212

0.694015

0.838607

0.982987

1.127157

1.359921

1.592136

1.823802

3.143875

3.709119

4.273539

4.837135

5.399908

6.308513

7.214973

8.119294

 

48΂ðŠî€‚Æ‚µ‚½‘Š‘Î—ÝϜ늳—¦‚Íã‚̂悤‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚±‚ÅAƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õŽÒ‚ÍA48΂©‚ç’ÇÕ‚ª‚Í‚¶‚Ü‚èA61΂܂łÌ13”NŠÔ’ÇÕ‚³‚êAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õŽÒ‚Í50΂©‚çŽn‚Ü‚èA61΂܂ŒÇÕ‚³‚ꂽ‚±‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚±‚±‚Å’ˆÓ‚ª•K—v‚Ȃ̂ÍA‚»‚ꂼ‚ꂪ48.3 + 13.3 = 61.6‚Æ 49.8 + 11.2 = 61.0‚Å‚ ‚邱‚Ƃł·B‚»‚±‚ÅAƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õŽÒ‚Ì48.3΂̒ÇÕ‚Í0.7”N‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA61΂̒ÇÕ‚Í0.6”NB‚Ü‚½AƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õŽÒ‚Ì49.8΂̒ÇÕ‚Í0.2”NA61΂̒ÇÕ‚Í0”N‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚æ‚Á‚ÄA48΂ðŠî€‚Él‚¦‚邯A

 

S0f = n0 x 14(1 + 0.7 x 0.0(48Î) + 0.00033(49Î) + 0.00107(50Î) + 0.00182(51Î) + 0.00256(52Î) + 0.00330(53Î) + 0.00404(54Î) + 0.00549(55Î) + 0.00694(56Î) + 0.00839(57Î) + 0.00983(58Î) + 0.01127(59Î) + 0.01360(60Î) + 0.3 x 0.01592(61Î))

   = 998 x 14 x 1.078192

   = 14050.04

S1f = n1 x 12 (1 + 0.2 x 0.00033 + 0.00107 + 0.00182 + 0.00256 + 0.00330 + 0.00404 + 0.00549 + 0.00694 + 0.00839 + 0.00983 + 0.01127 + 0.01360 + 0.0 x 0.01592)

= 3657 x 12x 1.06863919

= 44135.01

 

ƒŠƒXƒN·‚Ìꇂ͂±‚¿‚ç‚ðŽg‚¤‚ׂ«‚Æl‚¦‚Ü‚·Bâ‘Εp“x‚Å‚·‚©‚炱‚̜늳—¦‚Ìâ‘炪•K—v‚Å‚·B‚µ‚©‚µAƒŠƒXƒN”ä‚Ü‚½‚Í”­¶—¦”ä‚ÍA”ä‚Å‚·‚̂ł»‚̜늳—¦‚Ì”ä‚Å’²®‚³‚ê‚é‚ׂ«‚Æ„’肳‚ê‚Ü‚·‚̂ł»‚ê‚ÅŒ‹‰Ê‚ðŒ©‚Ä‚Ý‚Ü‚µ‚傤B

 

S0ff = n0 x (0.7 x 1 + 1.128650337 + 1.418913522 + 1.708960244 + 1.998790666

+ 2.288404948 +2.577803251 + 3.143874503 + 3.709119411 + 4.273539182

+ 4.837135021 + 5.39990813 + 6.308513006 + 0.3 x 7.214973311)

= n0 x 43.8226

= 998 x 43.8226

= 43734.95

 

S1ff = n1 x (0.2 x 1.128650337 + 1.418913522 + 1.708960244 + 1.998790666 + 2.288404948

 + 2.577803251 + 3.143874503 + 3.709119411 + 4.273539182 + 4.837135021 + 5.39990813

+ 6.308513006 + 0.0 x 7.214973311)

= 3657 x 37.89069

= 138566.3

C³•\‚Í

 

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг

l”

’ÇÕŠúŠÔ

l‚˜”N

”N—î

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ

81: a

3657: n1

11.2: t1

138566.3: S1

49.8: Y1

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ

6: b

998: n0

13.3: t0

43734.95: S0

48.3:Y0

¬Œv

87: m1

4655: n

11.6: t

182301.25: S

49.5: Y

 

‚±‚ê‚æ‚èAC³”­¶—¦‚Í

IRff = a/S1ff/c/S0ff = 81/164125.923 /6/46914.56836

= (81x46914.56836) / (6x164125.923)

= 4.260935

CI ef= IR x exp(}1.96 x ã( 1/a + 1/b)) = IR x exp(}0.8293) =9.7646/1.8593

IRff = 4.2609 (1.8593/9.7646)

‚»‚µ‚ÄA

‚±‚±‚ŃsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õŽÒ‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNR1‚ÍA81/138566.3 = 58.45577171

‚±‚±‚ŃsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õŽÒ‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNR0‚ÍA6/43734.95 = 13.71900505

‚±‚±‚Å‘S‘Ì‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNRt‚ÍA87/182301.25 = 47.72320541

R1/Rt = 1.2249

R0/Rt = 0.2875

R1/R0 = 4.2609

 

‚±‚ê‚ÍARR = 3.693 (1.616/8.439)‚ÆOR = 3.745 (1.633/8.629)‚ɋ߂«‚Ü‚µ‚½B”N—オ‚é‚Ù‚Ç‚±‚ÌC³‚ª‘å‚«‚­‚È‚è‚Ü‚·‚̂ł܂¸‚±‚ÌC³‚ð‚·‚×‚«‚Å‚·B‚½‚¾A“¯‚¶‚ɂȂÁ‚½‚Ƃ͌¾‚¢Ø‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚Ü‚¾‘¼‚Ì—vˆö‚ª‚ ‚邯l‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B

 

ã( 1/a + 1/b)@‚Í•W€Œë·(SE)‚Å‚µ‚½B¡‚Ìê‡ASE = 0.4231‚Å‚·B³Šm‚ɂ͂»‚Ìexp‚ðŽæ‚Á‚ÄA•W€Œë·(SE)‚Í@SE = 1.5267‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA•W€Œë·‚Ì1.96”{‚ª95%‚ÌM—Š‹æŠÔ‚ƂȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ÍA•ê”ä—¦‚Å‚ ‚éIR‚Ì’l‚ª‘½”‰ñ(—Ⴆ‚Î100‰ñ)ƒTƒ“ƒvƒŠƒ“ƒO‚µ‚ÄŒJ‚è•Ô‚µ‹‚ß‚½ê‡‚É‚»‚Ì95%(95‰ñ)‚±‚ÌM—Š‹æŠÔ‚É“ü‚邯‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃł·B

‚‚܂èAIR‚Ì’l‚̌뷂ª‚±‚Ì’ö“x‚ÅAIR‚̕ꕽ‹Ï‚±‚Ì’ö“x‚΂ç‚‚­‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃł·B‚±‚ê‚ÍAƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”‚ª4655‚Æ‘½‚¢‚̂ł΂ç‚‚«‚ª¬‚³‚¢‚Å‚·‚ªA’–Ú‚·‚ׂ«“_‚̓Tƒ“ƒvƒ‹”‚Ì㕪‚̈ê‚̕ꕽ‹Ï‚̸“x‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃł·B

 

•W€•η‚Æ•W€Œë·

 

—Ⴆ‚΃IƒbƒY”ä‚Å‚·‚Æ‚à‚¤­‚µ–¾Šm‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

81: a      3567: c  3657: n1

6: b        992: d    998: n0

‚Å‚µ‚½‚Ì‚ÅA

OR = (a/b)/(c/d) = (ad)/(bc) = (81x992)/(6x3567) = 3.754

 

M—Š‹æŠÔ(CI)@

exp(}1.96xã(1/a + 1/b + 1/c + 1/d) )

= exp(}1.96xã(1/81 + 1/6 + 1/3567 + 1/992) )

= exp (}1.96 x 0.4246)

= 2.2984/0.4351

‹æŠÔ„’è

OR = 3.754 (1.633/8.629) : ‘Δ•W€Œë·0.4246

 

•W€•η‚Ƃ̓f[ƒ^‚̃oƒ‰‚‚«‚ÌŽw•W‚Å‚µ‚½A}2SD (t•ª•z‚Ìê‡)‚͈̔͂Ƀf[ƒ^‚ª“ü‚éŠm—¦95%‚ƂȂé‚̂ł·B‚»‚±‚ÅAˆê”Ê“I‚Ƀf[ƒ^‚̃oƒ‰‚‚«‚ðŽ¦‚µ‚½‚¢C‚ ‚é‚¢‚Í”ä‚ׂ½‚¢Žž‚Í•W€•η‚ðŽg‚¤‚ׂ«‚Å‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA•W€•η‚̓Tƒ“ƒvƒ‹”‚ÉŠî–{“I‚ɂ͈ˑ¶‚µ‚È‚¢’l‚Å‚·B

ˆê•û‚ÅC•W€Œë·‚Æ‚ÍC•ꕽ‹ÏA•ê”ä—¦‚Ì’l‚Ì‹æŠÔ„’è—ʂłµ‚½D•ꕽ‹Ï(•ê”ä—¦)}2SE(t•ª•z‚Ìê‡)‚͈̔͂ɕꕽ‹Ï(•ê”ä—¦)‚ª“ü‚éŠm—¦‚ª95% ‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B•ꕽ‹ÏA•ê”ä—¦‚Ì„’è‚ð‚µ‚½‚¢C‚ ‚é‚¢‚Í”ä‚ׂ½‚¢‚Æ‚¢‚¤Žž‚Í•W€Œë·‚ðŽ¦‚·‚ׂ«‚Å‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA•W€Œë·‚̓Tƒ“ƒvƒ‹”‚Ɉˑ¶‚µƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”‚ª‘½‚­‚È‚é‚قǬ‚³‚È’lAŒ¾‚¢Š·‚¦‚ê‚ÎM—Š‹æŠÔ‚ª‹·‚Ü‚è‚Ü‚·B¡‚Ìꇂ͔­Ç—¦IR‚Ì’l‚ð‹‚߂Ă¢‚Ü‚·‚̂ł»‚Ì’l‚͈̔͂ð’m‚肽‚¢‚̂ŕW€Œë·‚ðŠî‚É‚µ‚½M—Š‹æŠÔ(ˆê”Ê“I‚É95%)‚ðŽg‚¤‚Ì‚ª‚æ‚¢‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚ê‚ðŒ©‚Ä‚à’Pƒ‚Èhl‚˜”Nh‚É‚æ‚é”­¶—¦‚ɂ͖â‘肪‚ ‚èA”N‘ゲ‚Ƃ̜늳—¦‚É‚æ‚éd‚݂¯‚ð‚·‚×‚«‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒnƒU[ƒh”ä‰ðÍ

 

‘¼‚Ì——R‚ð’T‚éˆ×‚ɃnƒU[ƒh‚ðlŽ@‚µ‚Ă݂܂·BƒnƒU[ƒh‚Ƃ͂ ‚éuŠÔ‚É‚¨‚¯‚é”­¶—¦‚Ì‚±‚Ƃł·B‚‚܂èA‚¢‚Ü‹‚ß‚½”­Ç—¦‚ÌuŠÔ‚Ì’l‚Å‚·B‘½‚­‚Ìê‡uŠÔŽ€–S—¦‚ð‹‚ß¶‘¶ŽžŠÔ‚̉ð͂Ɏg‚í‚ê‚Ü‚·‚ªAƒCƒxƒ“ƒg‚ÍŽ€–S‚łȂ­‚Ä‚à”­ÇAœëг‚Å‚àŽg‚¤‚±‚Æ‚Ío—ˆ‚Ü‚·B

HR:ƒnƒU[ƒh”ä‚ÍŽŸ‚ÌŽ®‚Å‹‚ß‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B

HR = h(t)/h0(t)

‚±‚±‚ÅA

h(t)FƒnƒU[ƒhŠÖ”i–\˜IŒQ‚̃nƒU[ƒhj

h0(t)FŠî€ƒnƒU[ƒhŠÖ”i”ñ–\˜IŒQ‚̃nƒU[ƒhj

ƒnƒU[ƒhŠÖ”‚ÍAu’ÇÕŽžŠÔtŒã‚ÌuŠÔ”­¶—¦v

 

ƒnƒU[ƒhŠÖ”‚ÍtŽž‚ÌuŠÔ”­Ç—¦‚Å‚·‚Ì‚ÅA‚ ‚鎞“_‚©‚烢tŒã‚܂łɜ늳‚·‚éŠm—¦‚ðƒ¢t‚ÅŠ„‚Á‚½‚à‚̂ł·B

¡‚Ìꇂ͖\˜IŒQ‚ðl‚¦‚邯A49.8΂ªƒXƒ^[ƒg’n“_‚Å‚·‚̂ł»‚ÌŽž“_‚Ì”ñœëгŽÒ‚Ìl”‚ðN(49.8)‚Æ‚µ‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄAtŽžŠÔŒã‚Ì”ñœëгŽÒ‚Ìl”‚ðN(t)‚Æ‚µ‚Ü‚·BtŽž‚ł̶‘¶Š„‡‚ðN(t)/N(49.8)‚Å•\‚·‚±‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚ðеK‚É]‚¢S(t)‚Æ•\‚µ‚Ä‚¨‚«‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄAƒnƒU[ƒh(ŠÖ”)‚Æ‚ÍAt‚©‚çt+ƒ¢t‚܂łÌðŒ•t‚«œëг—¦A‚‚܂è”ñœëгŽÒ‚ªœëг‚·‚éŠm—¦‚Å‚·‚Ì‚Å{S(t) – S(t+ƒ¢t)} / S(t)@‚Ì‚±‚Ƃł·‚ªA‚±‚ê‚ÍuŠÔœëг—¦‚ł͂Ȃ­Aƒ¢t‚̊Ԃ̜늳—¦‚Å‚·‚̂ł»‚Ì•½‹Ï‚ðŽæ‚è‚Ü‚·B‚·‚邯

{S(t) – S(t+ƒ¢t)} /{ S(t) ƒ¢t}

‚±‚ꂪuŠÔœëг—¦A‚‚܂èƒnƒU[ƒh‚Å‚·B”Šw“I‚ɂ̓¢t¨0‚̋ɌÀ‚ðŽæ‚Á‚Ä”÷•ªŒ`Ž®‚É‚µ‚ÄA(dS(t)/dt)/S(t)‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA‚±‚ê‚͜늳‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚È‚¢l”‚𔂦‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚̂Ō¸­‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚­‚½‚ßAˆê”Ê“I‚ɂ̓}ƒCƒiƒX‚ð•t‚¯‚Ä

h(t) = ](dS(t)/dt)/S(t)

‚±‚ꂪƒnƒU[ƒh‚Ì’è‹`‚Å‚·B

‚±‚±‚ÅA{S(t) – S(t+ƒ¢t)} /{ S(t) ƒ¢t}‚É–ß‚è‚Ü‚·‚ÆA

{S(t) – S(t+ƒ¢t)} /{ S(t) ƒ¢t}

= {N(t)/N(49.8) – N(t+ƒ¢t) /N(49.8)} /{ N(t) ƒ¢t /N(49.8) }

= {N(t) – N(t+ƒ¢t) } /{ N(t)ƒ¢t}

 

‚±‚ꂱ‚»uŠÔ”­Ç—¦‚Å‚·B‚‚܂èAuŠÔ”­Ç—¦‚̓nƒU[ƒh‚Æ“¯‚¶‚±‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚æ‚Á‚ÄA‚±‚ê‚É‚æ‚èƒnƒU[ƒh(”ä)‚ð‹‚ßAƒRƒbƒNƒX”ä—áƒnƒU[ƒh‰ñ‹Aƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚ÉŽ‚¿ž‚Þ‚±‚Æ‚à‚Å‚«‚Ü‚·B‚µ‚©‚µAŒ‹‹Ç‚Í”­Ç—¦‚ðŽg—p‚µ‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅAƒGƒ‹ƒS[ƒ‹ƒh«‚ª–ž‚½‚³‚ê‚È‚¢ŒÀ‚行©‚½”­Ç—¦‚ÌŒvŽZ‚Æ“¯‚¶–â‘è‚ð“à‘ ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·BƒnƒU[ƒh‚ɕϔ•ÏŠ·‚µ‚Ä‚à‰½‚Ì‰ðŒˆ‚É‚Í‚È‚ç‚È‚¢‚±‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚±‚Å”­¶—¦‚ðI‚Æ‚¨‚¢‚ÄA

I = {N(t) – N(t+ƒ¢t) } /{ N(t)ƒ¢t} ‚æ‚èA

Iƒ¢t = {N(t) – N(t+ƒ¢t) } /N(t)        ‚±‚ê‚ÍA”­ÇŠm—¦

Iƒ¢t N(t)= {N(t) – N(t+ƒ¢t) }          ”­Çl”

‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

ŽÀÛ‚ÉŒvŽZ‚µ‚Ă݂܂µ‚傤B‚µ‚©‚µA‚¢‚œ늳‚µ‚½‚©‚̃f[ƒ^‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚±‚ÅA‘SŠúŠÔ‚Å”­Ç—¦AƒnƒU[ƒh‚ª“¯‚¶‚Å‚ ‚邯‚µ‚Ä‹‚߂Ă݂܂·B

–\˜IŒQ‚ɑ΂µ‚Ä

I = {N (49.8) – N (61.0)} / {N (49.8) x 11.2}

= (3657 – 3576) / (3657 x 11.2)

= 0.001977616

h(t) ={N(t) / N(49.8) – N(t+ƒ¢t) / N(49.8)} /{N(t) / N(49.8) x ƒ¢t}

    = {N (49.8) / N (49.8) – N (61.0) /N (49.8)} / {N (49.8) x11.2 / N (49.8)}

    = {1 - 3576 / 3657} / {11.2}

    = 0.001977616

 

”ñ–\˜IŒQ‚ɑ΂µ‚Ä

I = {N (48.3) – N (61.6)} / {N (48.3) x 13.3}

= (998 – 992) / (998 x 13.3)

= 0.000452031

h(t) ={N(t) / N(48.3) – N(t+ƒ¢t) / N(48.3)} / {N(t) / N(48.3) x ƒ¢t}

    = {N (48.3) / N (48.3) – N (61.6) / N (48.3)} / {N (48.3) x 13.3 / N (48.3)}

    = {1 – 992 / 998} / {13.3}

    = 0.000452301

 

‚æ‚Á‚ÄA’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚ňê’è‚Ì”­Ç—¦AƒnƒU[ƒh‚Æ‚µ‚½ê‡‚Ì’l‚Í

I(–\˜I)   =  H(–\˜I)  = 0.001977616

I(”ñ–\˜I) =  H(”ñ–\˜I) = 0.000452301

‚±‚ê‚æ‚èAƒnƒU[ƒh”äA”­Ç—¦‚Í

I(–\˜I)/ I(”ñ–\˜I)

= H(–\˜I)/ H(”ñ–\˜I)

= 0.001977616 / 0.000452301

= 4.372345657

‚±‚ê‚ÍAæ‚Ù‚Ç‹‚ß‚½‰º‚̜늳—¦‚É‚½‚¢‚Ö‚ñ‹ß‚¢’l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚µ‚½B

IR = 4.366 (1.905/10.01)

 

ƒnƒU[ƒh”äC³

 

‚±‚ê‚àæ‚Ù‚Ç‚Ì‚æ‚¤‚É”N‚Ì’·‚³‚ðƒf[ƒ^‚Ì”N‘ã•ʜ늳—¦‚ÅC³‚µ‚Ă݂܂µ‚傤B

–\˜IŒQ‚ÍA37.89069”NA”ñ–\˜IŒQ‚Í43.8226”N‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B

I(–\˜I) = (3657 – 3576) / (3657 x 37.89069)

= 0.000584557

I (”ñ–\˜I)= (998 – 992) / (998 x 43.8226)

= 0.00013719

 

ƒnƒU[ƒh”ä = 4.260930097

‚±‚ê‚àæ‚Ù‚Ç‚Ì‰º‚ÌC³”­¶—¦‚ɋ߂¢‚à‚̂ɂȂè‚Ü‚µ‚½B

IRff = 4.2609 (1.8593 / 9.7646)

 

‚Ü‚½ƒnƒU[ƒh‚ÌC³’l‚Í”ä‚ðŽæ‚ç‚È‚¢‚̂ő«‚µŽZ‚ÌŽžŠÔC³‚ðÌ—p‚·‚邯

I(–\˜I) = (3657 – 3576) / (3657 x 12 x 1.06863919)

= 0.00172722

I (”ñ–\˜I)= (998 – 992) / (998 x 14 x 1.078192)

= 0.000398287

‚±‚ê‚ç‚ÌC³‚ðŽÀۂ̜늳ŽÒ‚͜늳‚܂ł̎žŠÔA”ñœëгŽÒ‚Í‘S’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚Ŝ늳—¦ƒx[ƒX‚ÉŽžŠÔA‚Ü‚½‚Íl‚˜ŽžŠÔ‚ðC³‚·‚ê‚ÎŽÀÛ‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN‚Ì”ä‚ɋ߂­‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B‚»‚ê‚ÍA

3.684‚Æ4.2609‚ÌŠÔ‚ÌŽžŠÔ‚Æ„‘ª‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚ê‚ç‚ð‚Ü‚Æ‚ß‚é‚ÆA

R1/Rt = 1.2249

R0/Rt = 0.2875

R1/R0 = 4.2609

‚±‚±‚ŃsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õŽÒ‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNR1‚ÍA‚¨‚¨‚æ‚»198 (‘Î\–œl/”N)

‚±‚±‚ŃsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õŽÒ‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNR0‚ÍA‚¨‚¨‚æ‚» 45 (‘Î\–œl/”N)

‚±‚±‚Å‘S‘Ì‚ÌƒŠƒXƒNRt‚ÍA‚¨‚¨‚æ‚»161 (‘Î\–œl/”N)

R1 – Rt = 27 (‘Î\–œl/”N)AR0 – Rt = -116 (‘Î\–œl/”N)

‚±‚ê‚æ‚èƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚É‚æ‚éˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN‚Í‚¨‚¨‚æ‚»ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û‚Ì”ñœëг‚Ì4”{‚ɂȂèA‚»‚ê‚Í‚¾‚¢‚½‚¢1.6“‚Ìâ‘Εp“x‚Ì‘‰Á‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õŽÒ‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦‚ÍA‘S‘݂̂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦‚Ì1.2249”{‚ÅAƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õŽÒ‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦‚Í‘S‘݂̂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦‚Ì0.2875”{‚Å‚·‚̂ł±‚ê‚ðÌ—p‚µ‚Ü‚·B‚æ‚Á‚ÄAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õŽÒ‚ÍA•½‹Ïœëг—¦‚É27 (‘Î\–œl/”N)‚ð‰Á‚¦AƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õŽÒ‚Í116 (‘Î\–œl/”N)‚ðˆø‚¢‚ÄŽg—p‚·‚邱‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

Žc”O‚È‚ª‚çABCD‚̃Oƒ‹[ƒv•ª‚¯‚ł̓¯—l‚ÈŒvŽZ‚ð‚·‚éƒf[ƒ^‚ªŒ©‚‚©‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñ‚Ì‚ÅAABCDƒOƒ‹[ƒv•ª‚¯‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚é‚à‚Ì‚ðW‚߂Ă݂܂·B

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ƃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ó‘Ô‚Ì‘g‚݇‚킹Œ‹‰Ê‚̂܂Ƃß

 

                            Ohata“™13)       Yoshida“™9)       Watabe“™12)     Mizuno“™19)              Sasazuki“™5)

   ”­•\”N            2004                    2014                    2005                    2009                    2006

   ƒTƒ“ƒvƒŠƒ“ƒO”N

1994-1995           1994-1995         1995-1997           1987                    1990/1993

ŽÀŽ{ꊠ       ˜a‰ÌŽR                 ˜a‰ÌŽR                 ç—t                     ‹ž“s                     “ú–{Še’n

   ‘’²¸l”     4655                    4655                    6983                    2859                    99808

   ’j/               4655/0                 4655/0                 3320/2260           1011/1848          47525/52283

   ”N—î               48.3 (•½‹Ï)          48.3(•½‹Ï)           48.9 (•½‹Ï)          ≥ 35                     57.4

   ’ÇÕŠúŠÔ (”N) 7.7 (•½‹Ï)            16.0(•½‹Ï)           4.7 (•½‹Ï)            10 (Å‘å)              15.0

@ ÅI”N—î        56.0(•½‹Ï)           64.3(•½‹Ï)           53.6(•½‹Ï)           •s–¾                     72.4

   HP—z«—¦(%) 78.6                     78.6                     46.1                     75                        73.5

   PG—z«—¦(%) 28.9                     29.26                   21.8                     39.2                     58.2

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгl”          

45                        87                        43                        61                        1681

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦ (/10–œl)           

967                      186.9                   616                      213                      196.85

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦ (%)       

0.967                   1.869                   0.616                   2.13                     1.9685

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦

(10–œl/”N)  125.6                   116.8                   131.0                   213.0                   131.24

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦(%/”N)    

0.1256                 0.1168                 0.131                   0.213                   0.131

A:B:C:D(%)    21:50:28:0.7        21:50:29:0.7        48:31:15:6.3        23:38:37:2.4        21:21:54:3.9

HP+                                 

   ‘l”            3657                    3657                    3216                    2148                    19475

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгl”          

43                   81                        24                     56                        478

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦ (/10–œl)           

1175.8                 2214.93               746.27                 2607.08               2454.43

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦ (%)       

1.1758                 2.21493               0.74627               2.607                   2.4544

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦

(10–œl/”N)  152.705               138.43                 158.78                 260.71                 163.63

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦(%/”N)    

0.1527                 0.13843               0.15878               0.2607                 0.1636

ƒŠƒXƒN”ä

(/‘S‘݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦)    

1.2158                 1.1852                 1.2121                 1.2240                 1.2468

PG+                                  

   ‘l”            1347                    1362                    1525                    1123                    19491

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгl”          

26                   48                        30                     44                        418

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦ (/10–œl)           

1930.215             3524.23               1967.21               3918.08               2144.58

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦ (%)       

1.9302                 3.524                   0.1967                 3.918                   2.144

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦

(10–œl/”N)  250.677               220.264               418.556               391.81                 142.97

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦(%/”N)    

0.251                   0.220                   0.4186                 0.3918                 0.1430

ƒŠƒXƒN”ä

(/‘S‘݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦)    

1.2158                 1.1886                 3.195                   1.8395                 1.089

 

HP-/PG-                                         

   ‘l”            967                      965                      3324                    647                      5394

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгl”          

0                     2                          7                       2                          16

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦ (/10–œl)           

-                           207.25                 211                      309                      296.6

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦ (%)       

-                           0.20725               0.211                   0.309                   0.2966

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦

(10–œl/”N)  -                           12.95                   44.9                     30.9                     19.8

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦(%/”N)    

-                           0.01295               0.0449                 0.0309                 0.0198

ƒŠƒXƒN”ä

(/‘S‘݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦)    

-                           0.111                   0.343                   0.145                   0.151

HP+/PG-                                        

   ‘l”            2341                    2328                    2134                    1094                    5378

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгl”          

19                        37                        6                          15                        76

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦  (/10–œl)

                            812                      1589                    281                      1371                    1413

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦ (%)       

0.812                   1.589                   0.281                   1.371                   1.413

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦

(10–œl/”N)  105.45                 99.3                     59.8                     137.1                   94.2

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦(%/”N)    

0.10545               0.0993                 0.0598                 0.1371                 0.0942

ƒŠƒXƒN”ä

(/‘S‘݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦)    

0.8396                 0.850                   0.4565                 0.6437                 0.718

HP+/PG+                                       

   ‘l”            1316                    1329                    1082                    1054                    14097

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгl”          

24                     44                        18                     41                        402

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦ (/10–œl)

                            1824                    3311                    1664                    3890                    2935

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦ (/%)      

1.824                   3.311                   1.664                   3.89                     2.935

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦

(10–œl/”N)  236.9                   206.9                   354.0                   389                      195.7

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦(%/”N)    

0.2369                 0.2069                 0.3540                 0.389                   0.1957

ƒŠƒXƒN”ä

(/‘S‘݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦)    

1.886                   1.771                   2.702                   1.826                   1.491

HP-/PG+                                        

   ‘l”            31                        33                        443                      69                        5394

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëгl”          

2                        4                          12                      3                          16

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦(/10–œl)

                            6452                    12121                  2709                    4348                    1760

   ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦ (/%)      

6.452                   12.121                 2.709                   4.348                   1.760

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦

(10–œl/”N)  837.9                   757.56                 578.4                   434.8                   113.8

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦(%/”N)    

0.8379                 0.75756               0.5764                 0.4348                 0.1138

ƒŠƒXƒN”ä

(/‘S‘݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦)    

6.671                   6.486                   4.4                       2.041                   0.867

 

‚±‚ê‚ðA‚Ý‚é‚Ææ‚Ù‚Ç‹‚ß‚½•½‹ÏˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦160.69450 (‘Î\–œl/”N)‚ÍA‚æ‚¢ü‚ðŒ¾‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚邱‚Æ‚ªŒ¾‚¦‚é‚©‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚Ü‚½AƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚É‚æ‚é‘S‘݂̂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦‚ɑ΂·‚郊ƒXƒN”ä‚ÍA1.2158A1.1852A1.2121A1.2240A1.2468‚Æ‚©‚È‚èˆÀ’肵‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

ƒOƒ‹[ƒvA‚ÍA‚»‚Ì‘S‘̂ł̊„‡‚Æ‚»‚̜늳—¦‚ª‚©‚Ȃ葊ŠÖ‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·(‘ŠŠÖŒW”0.881)A‚‚܂èƒOƒ‹[ƒvA‚ÉŠÖ‚µ‚Ä‚ÍA‚»‚ÌŒXŒü‚ðã‹L‚Ì•\‚©‚猩‚ĂƂê‚邱‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA‚»‚ê‚͜늳—¦‚ª’á‚­S”z‚Ì•K—v«‚ª‚Ù‚Æ‚ñ‚ǂȂ¢‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚Ƃł·B

‚»‚ê‚ɑ΂µƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ó‘Ô‚Ì‘S‘݂̂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦‚ɑ΂·‚郊ƒXƒN”ä‚ÍA1.2158A1.1886A3.195A1.8395A1.089‚Ƃ΂ç‚‚«‚ª‘å‚«‚­AƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õˆÈŠO‚É‚àŠÖ˜A‚·‚é—vˆö‚ª‚ ‚邯„‘ª‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·B‚»‚ê‚à‚ ‚èAƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ƃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ó‘Ô‚Ì‘g‚݇‚킹‚‚܂èAABCD‚̃Oƒ‹[ƒv‚²‚Ƃ̌‹‰Ê‚à‚ ‚Ü‚èˆÀ’肵‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚¹‚ñB“Á‚ÉAƒOƒ‹[ƒvD‚͉º‚̂悤‚É‚©‚È‚è‚΂ç‚‚¢‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒOƒ‹[ƒvDŒ‹‰Ê‚̂΂ç‚‚«

 

                                                                      13)         9)           12)         19)         5)

ƒOƒ‹[ƒvDˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦(‘Î10–œl/”N)      837.9     757.6     576.4     434.8     111.9

ƒOƒ‹[ƒvDƒŠƒXƒN”ä(/‘S‘݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦)     6.671     6.486     4.4         2.041     0.85250

 

“Á‚ÉA5)‚Ì—á‚Æ‘¼‚Ì3(4)—á‚ő傫‚­ˆá‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B”N‘ã“I‚ɂ͂¾‚¢‚½‚¢Ž—’Ê‚Á‚Ä‚¨‚è(1995”N )A3(4)—Ⴊ1Œ§‚ł̃f[ƒ^‚Å‚ ‚Á‚½‚̂ɑ΂µA‚±‚¿‚ç‚Í‘½”Œ§(ŠâŽèŒ§“ñŒËAH“cŒ§‰¡ŽèAˆï錧…ŒËAVŠƒŒ§’·‰ªA’·–쌧²‹vA‘åã•{“cA‚’mŒ§’†‰›“ŒA’·èŒ§ãŒÜ“‡A‰«“ꌧ’†•”A‰«“ꌧ‹{ŒÃ)‚Ås‚í‚ê‚Ä‚¨‚è‚Ü‚·BNested Case-Control Study‚ðs‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚邽‚ßA•êW’c‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä–¾Šm‚È‚±‚Æ‚Íq‚ׂç‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñ‚ªAƒOƒ‹[ƒvD‚ªˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг‚ÌÅIƒXƒeƒbƒv‚Å‚ ‚邯‚̉¼’è‚ðà–¾‚µ‚½‚¢‚Ƃ̃oƒCƒAƒX‚ª‚©‚©‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚é‚Ì‚©‚à‚µ‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚±‚̂悤‚Él‚¦‚邯A‚±‚̃sƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ƃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ó‘Ô‚É‚æ‚èƒOƒ‹[ƒv•ª‚¯‚·‚éA,B,C,D‚ÉŠî‚­—\–h‚Í­XŽžŠú‚ª‘‚·‚¬‚邯Œ¾‚¦‚é‚Å‚µ‚傤B‚à‚¤­‚µƒf[ƒ^‚ª®‚¤‚̑҂Á‚½•û‚ª‚æ‚¢‚Å‚µ‚傤B‚±‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚àæ‚Ù‚Ç‚Ì‘ŠŠÖŒW”‚©‚ç‚ÌlŽ@‚Æ“¯‚¶•ûŒü«‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚µ‚½B

ƒOƒ‹[ƒvA‚ÉŠÖ‚µ‚Ü‚µ‚Ä‚ÍAƒf[ƒ^‚͈À’肵‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚̂ł»‚̜늳—¦‚Í‚¨‚¨‚æ‚»A‚ÌŠ„‡‚P““–‚½‚è1l(‘Î\–œl/”N)‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚ê‚ç‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚ð”äŠr‚·‚邯Aã‚Å‹c˜_‚µ‚Ä“_ˆÈŠO‚É‚àŽ—’Ê‚Á‚½•”•ª‚ƈá‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚é•”•ª‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B

Ž—’Ê‚Á‚½‰ÓŠ

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒŠƒ“ƒO”NA

ˆá‚¤‚à‚Ì

”N—îAA:B:C:D”ä—¦A’j—”äA’ÇÕŠúŠÔAƒsƒƒŠ‹Û—z«—¦AƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“—z«—¦

                      

‚±‚ê‚ç‚Ì·ˆÙ‚ª‚ ‚é‚Ì‚ÅA‚±‚ê‚ðƒƒ^‰ðÍ‚·‚邱‚Ƃ̈́§‚³‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñBŒ³ƒf[ƒ^‚ð‚±‚ê‚ç‚̈Ⴂ‚ðl—¶‚·‚é‚È‚ç‚΂܂¾­‚µ‚Í—LˆÓ‚ÈŒ‹‰Ê‚ª“±‚«o‚¹‚é‰Â”\«‚Í‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·‚ªA‚½‚¾’P‚ɃIƒbƒY”ä‚̃ƒ^‰ð͂őS‘̂̃IƒbƒY”ä‚ðo‚µ‚Ä‚à‚Ù‚Æ‚ñ‚LjӖ¡‚ªŒ©‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚¹‚ñBƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ªÅ‘å‚Ì—vˆö‚Ȃ̂ÉA‚»‚ê‚Ì—z«—¦‚ª‘å‚«‚­ˆá‚¢‚Ü‚·B—«‚Ì•û‚ª‚͂邩‚Ɉ݂ª‚ñ‚̜늳—¦‚ª’á‚¢‚É‚àŠÖ‚í‚炸A’j—\¬‚ɑ傫‚ȈႢ‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚·B–¾Šm‚É”N—オ‚ê‚Μ늳—¦‚ªã‚ª‚é‚Ì‚ÉÅI”N—‘å‚«‚­ˆá‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚Ì‚ ‚½‚è‚ðl—¶‚µ‚È‚¢ƒƒ^‰ð͂ɂ͈Ӗ¡‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB

 

‚»‚ê‚ł͂±‚ê‚ç‚̃f[ƒ^‚©‚ç“à‚ð„˜_‚·‚ê‚΂悢‚Å‚µ‚傤‚©B

‚·‚ׂĂɋ¤’Ê‚µ‚ÄŒ¾‚¦‚邱‚Ƃ͉½‚Å‚µ‚傤B

HP-/PG-‚Í‚½‚¢‚Ö‚ñˆÝ‚ª‚ñ‚̜늳—¦‚ª’á‚­‚È‚è‚Ü‚·B

1)‚Æ3)‚ÍA’ÇÕ”N‘ã‚ªŽ—‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA”N‚ ‚½‚è‚݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦‚à0.1256‚Æ0.131‚ÆŽ—‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA1)‚Ì•û‚ªÅI”N—îA’ÇÕŠúŠÔ‚ª’·‚¢A’j«‚΂©‚èA‚»‚µ‚Ĉ݂ª‚ñ‚̜늳—¦‚Ì‚‚¢˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§‚Ås‚í‚ꂽ‚É‚àŠÖ‚í‚炸A’á‚­‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚ǂ̂悤‚ɉðŽß‚·‚é‚Ì‚ª‚æ‚¢‚Å‚µ‚傤B

‚µ‚©‚à‚»‚Ì16”N’ÇÕ‚µ‚½ƒŠƒ|[ƒg‚Ì•û‚ªAX‚É0.1168‚Ɯ늳—¦‚ª’á‚­‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

‚±‚ê‚ÌŒ´ˆö‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚é‚̂͂±‚̃Oƒ‹[ƒv‚ÌD‚ÌŠ„‡‚ª‘¼‚Æ”ä‚ׂđ½‚¢‚±‚Ƃł·B     

‚±‚Ì‚ ‚½‚è‚ð’T‚éˆ×‚É“s“¹•{Œ§•ʂ݂̈ª‚ñœëг—¦‚̃f[ƒ^‚ðŽQÆ‚µ‚Ă݂܂·B

 

‚ª‚ñœëг—¦’nˆæ·

 

‘S‘‚ª‚ñœëгƒ‚ƒjƒ^ƒŠƒ“ƒOWŒv22)‚É‚æ‚邯F

ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦@Œ§•Ê(‘Î10–œl)

2003                    ’j—       ’j          50-54     55-59     60-64               50-54     55-59              60-64

‘S‘                     103.3     118.4     89.0       148.4     230.5     55.9       36.8       59.2              70.4

‘S‘(”N—î’²®)    53.4       81.1       -             -             -             31.2       -             -             -

ç—t                     55.5       74.4       55.7       78.2       135.5     36.5       28.4       48.3              48.6

ç—t(”N—î’²®)    37.5       55.6       -             -             -             22.8       -             -             -

‹ž“s                     54.9       72.8       44.1       74.9       130.2     38.3       22.1       26.3              38.0

‹ž“s(”N—î’²®)    32.7       49.1       -             -             -             20.0       -             -             -

˜a‰ÌŽR                 -             -             -             -             -             -             -             -            

˜a‰ÌŽR(”N—î’²®) -            -             -             -             -             -             -             -            

2009                    ’j—       ’j          50-54     55-59     60-64               50-54     55-59              60-64

‘S‘                     96.2       136.1     79.2       145.4     226.1     58.2       35.6       50.0              70.1

‘S‘(”N—î’²®)    51.0       78.9       -             -             -             27.9       -             -             -

ç—t                     74.9       104.0     61.2       96.8       174.2     46.0       30.8       44.8              63.2

ç—t(”N—î’²®)    41.9       62.9       -             -             -             24.0       -             -             -

‹ž“s                     89.6       124.7     71.9       111.6     182.2     57.2       25.6       44.2              76.0

‹ž“s(”N—î’²®)    46.0       70.6       -             -             -             26.6       -             -             -

˜a‰ÌŽR                 130.8     184.6     68.0       174.3     253.9     83.1       34.0       90.7              91.6

˜a‰ÌŽR(”N—î’²®) 59.7      90.5       -             -             -             35.7       -             -            

2010                    ’j—       ’j          50-54     55-59     60-64               50-54     55-59              60-64

‘S‘                     98.2       139.1     75.1       147.5     236.0     59.3       34.2       52.4              73.2

‘S‘(”N—î’²®)    51.5       79.7       -             -             -             28.2       -             -             -

ç—t                     72.6       100.8     49.9       101.1     161.2     44.7       25.7       33.9              52.2

ç—t(”N—î’²®)    39.2       59.2       -             -             -             21.9       -             -             -

‹ž“s                     -             -             -             -             -             -             -             -             -

˜a‰ÌŽR                 137.4     193.3     85.9       145.8     336.7     87.8       43.6       95.5              141.8

˜a‰ÌŽR(”N—î’²®) 63.1      95.6       -             -             -             37.0       -             -            

2011                    ’j—       ’j          50-54     55-59     60-64               50-54     55-59              60-64

‘S‘                     103.3     144.9     74.6       146.0     236.0     63.9       33.9       53.4              77.4

‘S‘(”N—î’²®)    52.6       80.4       -             -             -             29.5       -             -             -

ç—t                     71.1       99.7       35.2       96.1       146.7     42.7       35.9       44.1              48.5

ç—t(”N—î’²®)    37.3       56.4       -             -             -             20.8       -             -             -

‹ž“s                     102.6     145.7     77.8       127.7     207.3     62.9       30.0       42.0              78.9

‹ž“s(”N—î’²®)    52.0       80.5       -             -             -             28.8       -             -             -

˜a‰ÌŽR                 128.7     180.7     71.3       131.3     243.7     82.6       37.9       57.6              96.9

˜a‰ÌŽR(”N—î’²®) 56.0       85.5       -             -             -             32.8       -             -             -             

 

2011      ’j—  ”N—î’²®  50-54    55-59     60-64

‘S‘       103.3     52.6       54.2       99.3       155.2    

ç—t       71.1       37.3       27.9       67.0       97.7      

‹ž“s       102.6     52.0       53.4       83.3       140.2    

˜a‰ÌŽR   128.7     56.0       54.0       93.4       167.5    

 

Ž€–S “s“¹•{Œ§•Ê(‘ÎlŒû10–œl)

”N “s“¹•{Œ§ «•Ê ”N—î •”ˆÊ ”N—î’²®—¦ •W€Œë· ”N—î’²®—¦(¢ŠElŒû) •W€Œë· •W€‰»”ä(‘S‘=100)

2009-2013 ç—tŒ§           ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          27.234 0.32      18.129 0.223               100.591

2013       ç—tŒ§             ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          26.335 0.684    17.462 0.48               104.958

2011       ç—tŒ§             ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          26.323 0.705    17.472 0.492               96.475

2003       ç—tŒ§             ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          34.407 0.936    22.991 0.633               99.095

1995       ç—tŒ§             ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          49.834 1.358    33.771 0.911               109.99

2009-2013 ‹ž“s•{           ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          26.797 0.494    18.01    0.352               97.585

2013       ‹ž“s•{             ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          24.461 1.026    16.4      0.734               96.997

2011       ‹ž“s•{             ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          27.748 1.126    18.587 0.799               100.172

2003       ‹ž“s•{             ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          33.007 1.325    22.174 0.921               95.824

1995       ‹ž“s•{             ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          44.804 1.755    30.123 1.197               99.139

2009-2013 ˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§        ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          29.979 0.827    20.411 0.608               106.41

2013       ˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§         ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          29.964 1.846    20.25    1.346               113.999

2011       ˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§         ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          28.694 1.834    19.576 1.384               100.707

2003       ˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§         ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          37.101 2.155    25.558 1.563               104.098

1995       ˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§         ’j«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          45.572 2.556    31.118 1.785               100.976

2009-2013 ç—tŒ§           —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          10.19    0.192    6.866    0.142               100.826

2013        ç—tŒ§           —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          8.671    0.388    5.775    0.287               94.131

2011        ç—tŒ§           —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          10.877 0.444    7.276    0.326               106.896

2003        ç—tŒ§           —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          13.463 0.544    9.024    0.388               99.973

1995        ç—tŒ§           —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          18.413 0.72      12.75    0.517               99.435

2009-2013 ‹ž“s•{           —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          10.365 0.292    7.007    0.216               101.689

2013        ‹ž“s•{           —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          9.015    0.574    6.042    0.422               98.207

2011        ‹ž“s•{           —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          10.269 0.656    6.949    0.487               99.636

2003        ‹ž“s•{           —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          14.891 0.853    10.28    0.637               106.783

1995        ‹ž“s•{           —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          19.337 1.01      13.493 0.747               102.622

2009-2013 ˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§        —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          11.739 0.492    8.023    0.375               111.004

2013        ˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§       —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          9.59      0.987    6.517    0.792               107.136

2011        ˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§       —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          11.195 1.019    7.492    0.744               108.478

2003        ˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§       —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          11.681 1.038    7.932    0.767               90.159

1995        ˜a‰ÌŽRŒ§       —«      ‘S”N—î ˆÝ          19.284 1.454    13.107 1.053               107.446

 

‚Ü‚¸–ڂɂ‚­‚͔̂N“x‚É‚æ‚Á‚ÄA‚Ü‚½’nˆæ‚É‚æ‚è‚©‚È‚è‚΂ç‚‚«‚ª‚ ‚邱‚Ƃł·B’j—ŠÔ‚Ì·ˆÙ‚à‚©‚È‚è‘å‚«‚­‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B—«‚Í”NXˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг—¦‚ªŒ¸‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚ªA’j«‚Í•K‚¸‚µ‚àˆê—l‚ÉŒ¸‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚邯‚àŒ¾‚¦‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‰º‚Ì}‚ª‚»‚̃Cƒ‰ƒXƒg•\ަ‚Å‚·Bç—t‚Í•½‘S‘‹Ï‚æ‚è’á‚­A‹ž“s‚Ƙa‰ÌŽR‚Í‘S‘•½‹Ï‚æ‚è‚‚­‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

‚±‚ÌŒXŒü‚Ææ‚قǂ̔äŠr‚Í–¾Šm‚ɂ͊֘A‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚â‚͂肻‚Ì‘¼‚Ì—vˆö‚ª‘å‚«‚¢‚±‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·BŒ»ó‚Å‚ÍASasazuki“™5)‚Ì131.240 (10–œl/”N)‚ð’j—‹¤’ʂƂµ‚Ä‚Íl—¶‚É“ü‚ê‚邯‚±‚ë‚Å‚µ‚傤‚©B‚½‚¾A‘O‚É‚àq‚ׂ܂µ‚½‚ª–{—ˆ’j—•ʂɉðÍ‚ð‚µA’j—•ʂɂ»‚Ì’l‚ð‹‚ß‚é‚ׂ«‚Å‚·‚ªŒ»ó“K؂ȃf[ƒ^‚ªŒ©“–‚½‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚Ì“_‚Å‚àABCDƒOƒ‹[ƒv‚É‚æ‚郊ƒXƒN”»’f‚͂܂¾‚»‚ÌŽžŠú‚ł͂Ȃ¢‚Æ“ü‚ê‚é‚̂łµ‚傤‚©B

 

 

ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚̉e‹¿‚̉ðÍA‚»‚µ‚ăsƒƒŠ‹Ûœ‹Ž‚̉e‹¿A‹y‚Ñ‚»‚Ì‘¼‚݂̈ª‚ñ‚Ì—vˆö‚̉ðÍ‚ð‡X‚ɉÁ‚¦‚Ä‚¢‚­—\’è‚Å‚·B

 

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Ûœ‹Û‚ƃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ó‘Ô‚ÌŠÖŒW

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Ûœ‹Û‚ÌŒø‰Ê‚ÍŒ’íŽÒ‚ł̖¾Šm‚ȃf[ƒ^‚ª‚ ‚è‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‘ŠúˆÝŠà‚Ì“àŽ‹‹¾Ž¡—ÃŒã2ŽŸŠà‚Ì—\–h‚ɂ͖¾Šm‚ÈŒø‰Ê24) ‚ªo‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·‚ªA‚»‚ê‚ÍŒ’íŽÒ‚̃sƒƒŠ‹Ûœ‹Û‚É‚æ‚éŒø‰Ê‚ɂ͓–‚Ă͂߂邱‚Æ‚ªo—ˆ‚Ü‚¹‚ñB‚»‚±‚ÅŽŸ‚Ì—á‚ɃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚Ìó‘ԂƃsƒƒŠ‹Ûœ‹Û‚Ì‘g‚݇‚킹‚ÅŒø‰Ê‚ðŒ©‚Ä‚¢‚é‚à‚Ì‚ª‚ ‚è‚܂܂·B‚±‚Ì—á‚ðƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“’P“Ƃł̌ø‰Ê‚ƂƂà‚ɉðÍ‚µ‚Ă݂½‚¢‚ÆŽv‚¢‚Ü‚·B

Wakayama prefecture

1994/Apr – 1997/Mar

 

23)

PG I LEVEL  70 mg/1 AND PG I/II RATIO  3.0

 

Group with H. pylori infection

Group with H. pylori eradication

Total    

PG test

negative

PG test

positive

Total

PG test

negative

PG test

positive

Subjects

3656.0

2327.0

1329.0

473.0

318.0

155.0

Person-years

35101.5

22436.0

12665.5

4263.0

2918.0

1345.0

Age y [mean (SD)]

49.8

(4.6)

49.5

(4.7)

50.4

(4.3)

49.6

(5.5)

49.3

(5.6)

50.9

(5.5)

Current smoking n (%)

2087.0

(57.1)

1242.0

(53.4)

845.0

(63.6)

262.0

(55.4)

169.0

(53.1)

93.0

(60.0)

Alcohol use, n (%)

2432.0

(66.5)

1479.0

(63.6)

953.0

(71.7)

310.0

(65.5)

204.0

(64.2)

106.0

(68.4)

Follow-up y [mean(SD)]

9.6

(1.0)

9.6

(1.1)

9.5

(1.1)

9.1

(1.4)

9.2

(1.3)

8.7

(1.6)

PG I, ng/ml [mean(SD)]

62.0

(32.5)

75.8

(31.1)

37.9

(17.5)

74.2

(34.6)

92.5

(57.0)

36.8

(18.2)

PG II, ng/ml [mean(SD)]

20.0

(11.0)

20.3

(12.4)

19.5

(7.8)

23.1

(14.6)

24.9

(16.5)

19.5

(8.4)

PG I/II [mean(SD)]

3.4

(1.6)

4.3

(1.4)

2.0

(0.7)

3.4

(1.5)

4.1

(1.3)

1.9

(0.7)

Total gastric cancer

Age y

[mean(SD)]

50.8

(3.9)

50.6

(4.3)

50.9

(3.6)

53.4

(5.5)

50.5

(3.5)

55.3

(6.4)

Size of the cancer,

mm [mean(SD)]

12.8

(8.3)

14.4

(10.4)

11.4

(5.3)

12.0

(5.7)

12.5

(3.5)

11.7

(7.6)

Depth of cancer invasion

(m:sm:mp)

41:9:5

15:7:3

26:2:2

5:0:0

2:0:0

3:0:0

Follow-up, y

[mean(SD)]

5.9

(2.5)

4.3

(2.4)

5.6

(2.5)

6.0

(1.0)

5.0

(0)

6.7

(0.6)

Cases/incidence rate

55/157

25/111

30/237

5/117

2/69

3/223

Intestinal gastric cancer

Cases/incidence rate

36/103

14/62

22/174

4/94

1/34

3/223

Diffuse gastric cancer

Cases/incidence rate

19/54

11/49

8/63

   1/23

1/34

0       

IR(total) = 60/39364.5 = 0.01524215 (152.4216‘Î10–œl)

IRHP+ = 55/35101.5 = 0.001566884 (156.6884‘Î10–œl) IRRHP+ 1.0280

              CI = IRRHP+ x exp (}1.96 x ã(1/55 + 1/60)) = 1.028 x exp(}0.365887878) = 1.482/0.713

IRHP-  = 5/4263.0 = 0.001172882 (117.2883‘Î10–œl) IRRHP- 0.7695

IRPG+ = 33/14010.5 = 0.002355376 (235.5376‘Î10–œl) IRRPG+1.5453

IRPG- = 27/25354 = 0.00106492 (106.4921‘Î10–œl) IRRPG- = 0.6987

IRHP+PG+ = 30/12665.5 = 0.002369 (236.8639‘Î10–œl) IRRHP+PG+ = 1.5540

IRHP-PG+ = 3/1345 = 0.002240 (223.0483‘Î10–œl)

IRRHP-PG+ = 1.4634     IRR HP-PG+HP+PG+= 0.9417

IRHP+PG- = 25/22436.0 = 0.0011129 (111.2941‘Î10–œl) IRRHP+PG- = 0.7302

IRHP-PG- = 2/2918 = 0.0006854 (68.5401‘Î10–œl)

IRRHP-PG- = 0.4497 IRRHP-PG-HP-PG+ = 0.6159 CI = 2.600/0.1459

 

˜_•¶‚Å‚ÍAŽŸ‚Ì2ƒ^ƒCƒvAPG Negative HP infection‚ÆPG Negative HP eradication‚ªLog-Rank test‚ð—p‚¢‚Ä—LˆÓ·‚ª‚ ‚邯‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚ÌKamplan-MeierƒJ[ƒu‚ðŒ©‚Ü‚·‚ÆLog-Rank Test‚𓖂Ă͂߂é‚ɂ͂©‚Ȃ薳—‚Ì‚ ‚éŒ`‚ð‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚±‚ÅA‚Ü‚¸Š´õ—¦‚ð‹‚߂Ă݂µ‚傤B

Type

Cases

Persons-years

PG Negative HP eradication

2

2918

PG Negative HP infection

25

22436

IR = (2/2918) / (25/22436) = 0.6151

CI = 0.6151 x exp(}1.96ã(1/2 + 1/25)) = 2.5969/0.1457

‚±‚¿‚ç‚Å‚ÍA1.0‚ð‚Ü‚½‚¢‚Å‚¢‚Ü‚·‚̂ŗLˆÓ·‚È‚µ‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚ƂɂȂè‚Ü‚·B

Type

ˆÝŠàœëг

”ñœëг

Total

PG Negative HP infection

25

2302

2327

PG Negative HP eradication

2

316

318

RR = 0.407/1.708/7.178

OR = 0.404/1.716/7,279

‚±‚ê‚ðŒ©‚Ä‚à“Œv“I—LˆÓ·‚͂Ȃ¢‚ƂȂé‚Å‚µ‚傤B

œëг—¦‚Æ‚µ‚Ä‚Í(68.5401‘Î10–œl)‚Æ (111.2941‘Î10–œl) ‘S‘Ì‚Ì(152.4216‘Î10–œl)œëг—¦‚æ‚èAŠÇ—’á‚­‚È‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B

Type

Cases

Persons-years

PG Negative

33

14010.5

PG Positive

27

25354

IR = (33/14010.5) / (27/25354) = 2.2118

CI = 2.2118 x exp(}1.96ã(1/33 + 1/27)) = 3.6782/1.3300

‚±‚Ì—l‚ɃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚Ìó‘Ô‚É“Œv“I‚È—LˆÓ·‚ª‚ ‚邯l‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ‚ƃyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“ó‘Ô‚Ì‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN

 

‚±‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚Í‚¢‚ë‚¢‚ë‚Èó‘Ô‚Ì‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN‚ðl‚¦‚é‚̂ɂ͎Ql‚ƂȂè‚Ü‚·‚̂ʼnðÍ‚µ‚Ă݂µ‚傤B

IR(total) = 60/39364.5 = 0.01524215 (152.4216‘Î10–œl)

ƒx[ƒX‚Í‚±‚Ì‘S‘̜̂늳—¦‚Å‚·B

æ‚قǂ̉ð͂̕½‹Ï131.240 (10–œl/”N)‚æ‚è‚â‚â‚‚¢‚悤‚Å‚·‚ªA˜_•¶‚É‚à‚ ‚邿‚¤‚ɘa‰ÌŽRŒ§‚Í2005”NA“ú–{‚Å5”ԖڂɈ݊à‚ÌŽ€–S—¦‚ª‚‚¢‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚ƂȂ̂ł±‚Ì’l‚͑Ó–‚È’l‚ł͂Ȃ¢‚Å‚µ‚傤‚©B

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Ûœëг‚ÌƒŠƒXƒN‚ÍŽŸ‚Ì—l‚ɂȂè‚Ü‚·‚Ì‚ÅA

IRHP+ = 55/35101.5 = 0.001566884 (156.6884‘Î10–œl)

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Ûœëг‚É‚æ‚鑊‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN‚Í

(”ä)IRHP+/IR = 1.028@ (·)4.2668 (‘Î10–œl)

“¯—l‚ɃsƒƒŠ‹Ûœ‹Û‚Ì‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN‚Í

(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)117.2883‘Î10–œl@(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)@(”ä) 0.7695 (·)-35.1333

ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“{

(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)235.5376 ‘Î10–œl@(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)@(”ä) 1.5453 (·)83.116

ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“|

(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)106.4921‘Î10–œl@(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)@(”ä) 0.6987 (·)-45.4295

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ@ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“|

(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)111.2941‘Î10–œl@(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)@(”ä) 0.7302 (·)-41.1275

ƒsƒƒŠ‹ÛŠ´õ@ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“{

(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)236.8639‘Î10–œl@(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)@(”ä) 1.5540 (·) 84.4423

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ@ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“|

(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)68.5401‘Î10–œl@(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)@(”ä) 0.4497 (·) -83.8815

ƒsƒƒŠ‹Û”ñŠ´õ@ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“{

(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)223.0483‘Î10–œl@(‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN)@(”ä) 1.4634 (·) 70.6267

‚±‚ê‚ç‚Ì‘Š‘ÎƒŠƒXƒN‚Í—\–h‚ÉŽg‚¦‚»‚¤‚Å‚·B

 

Normali³íˆÝj¨GastritisiˆÝ‰Šj¨AtrophyiˆÏkj¨Intestinal Metaplasiai’°ã”牻¶j¨DysplasiaiˆÙŒ`¬j

‚±‚̇˜‚ªIntesinalƒ^ƒCƒv‚݂̈ª‚ñ‚ɂȂéH’ö‚Å‚ ‚肱‚ê‚ɃsƒƒŠ‹Û‚͑傫‚­‚©‚©‚í‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚邯‚¢‚í‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚»‚µ‚ÄA‘ŠúˆÝŠà‚Ì“àŽ‹‹¾Ž¡—ÃŒã2ŽŸŠà‚Ì—\–h‚ɂ͌ø‰Ê‚ª‚ ‚邯‚¢‚í‚ê‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‰½‚©‚Ü‚¾—vˆö‚ª‘«‚è‚È‚¢‚Æl‚¦‚é‚Ì‚ª‚æ‚¢‚Å‚µ‚傤B¡Œã‚ÌŒ¤‹†‚ª‘Ò‚½‚ê‚Ü‚·B

 

ƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚ÌŒø‰Ê‚ð15”NŠÔ’ÇÕ’²¸‚µ‚½Œ‹‰Ê‚ðŒ©‚Ä‚Ý‚Ü‚µ‚傤B25)

 

‚Ü‚¸AƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“‚Ì—z«—¦‚ðŒ©‚Ä‚Ý‚Ü‚µ‚傤B

ƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”N“x‚Í1995”N‚Å‚·B—z«—¦‚Í’j«754/2861 = 26.354% (45.1}6.5) —«379/24.674% (44.7}6.4)‚ƂȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B21)‚Ìî•ñ‚Æ”ä‚ׂ邯Aꊂª“Á’è‚Å‚«‚È‚¢ã‚ł̘b‚Å‚·‚ªA‚‚¢•”—Þ‚É‘®‚µ‚Ü‚·‚ªA‘Ó–‚Èü‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚Æ‚±‚ë‚Å‚µ‚傤B

 

œëгl”

ŠÏŽ@l”N

•½‹Ï’ÇÕŠúŠÔ

•½‹Ï”N—î

—z«

18

5415.5

4.8}0.7

51.4}4.5

‰A«

9

15859.5

4.8}0.5

49.6}6.1

—z«

27

9673.5

9.2}1.9

51.5}4.4

‰A«

16

29909.5

8.5}2.4

50.8}5.9

—z«

29

12562.5

12.7}3.7

51.9}4.5

‰A«

31

41322.5

11.1}4.3

52.8}5.5

5”N‘S‘Ì

IR = 27/21275 = 126.910  IR+ = 18/5415.5 = 332.379 IR- = 9/15859.5 = 56.748

IR+/IR- = 332.379/56.748 = 5.857 CI = exp (}1.96 x ã(1/18 + 1/9)) = 2.2259/0.44925

2.631< IR5= 5.857 <13.037

10”N‘S‘Ì

IR = 108.632 IR+ = 27/9673.5 = 279.113 IR- = 16/29909.5 = 53.495

IR+/IR- = 279.113/53.495 = 5.2176 CI = 5.2176 * exp (}1.96 x ã(1/27 + 1/16)) =9.6833/2.811

2.811< IR10 = 5.2176 < 9.6833

15”N‘S‘Ì

IR = 111.348 IR+ = 29/12562.5 = 230.846 IR- = 75.017

IR+/IR- = 230.846/75.017 = 3.077 CI = 3.077 * exp (}1.96 x ã(1/29 + 1/31)) =5.1054/1.8544

1.8544 < IR15 = 3.077 < 5.1054

‚±‚ê‚ɑ΂µ˜_•¶‚ł̓RƒbƒNƒX”ä—áƒnƒU[ƒhƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚ðŽg—p‚µ‚Ä‚¨‚è‚»‚Ì’l‚Í

2.19<4.98<11.29 2.49<4.71<8.89 1.64<2.76<4.65‚Ƌ߂¢’l‚ƂȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚·B‚±‚ê‚͉º}‚̂悤‚É”ä—áƒnƒU[ƒh‚ª¬‚è—§‚Á‚Ä‚¢‚é‚̂ɋ߂¢Œ`‚ð‚µ‚Ä‚¢‚邹‚¢‚Å‚ ‚邯l‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·B



25)
‚æ‚è“]ŽÊ

 

ŋ߂͂±‚̃Oƒ‰ƒt‚̂悤‚ɃJƒvƒ‰ƒ“ƒ}ƒCƒ„[ƒJ[ƒu‚ÉM—Š‹æŠÔ‚ðŽ¦‚³‚È‚¢‚à‚Ì‚ª‘½‚¢‚Å‚·‚ªAƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”‚ª‘å‚«‚­Œ¸‚Á‚Ä‚¨‚èA‚»‚Ì—vˆö‚ª’ÇÕ•s‰Â”\‚Ȃ̂©ƒCƒxƒ“ƒg”­¶‚Ȃ̂©‚Í‚Á‚«‚肵‚Ü‚¹‚ñBM—Š‹æŠÔ‚ð•t‚¯‚é‚ׂ«‚Å‚·B‚±‚̃Oƒ‰ƒt‚Í‹°‚ç‚­Œã”¼‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚̓Tƒ“ƒvƒ‹”‚ÌŒ¸‚è•û‚©‚猩‚ÄA‚©‚È‚èM—Š“x‚É‚©‚¯‚邯—\‘z‚³‚ê‚Ü‚·B

IR5 = 126.910     IR10 = 108.632   IR15 = 111.348   ‚±‚ê‚ç‚Í‘O‚Ì131.240 (10–œl/”N)‚Æ”ä‚ׂđÓ–‚Èü‚Æl‚¦‚ç‚ê‚Ü‚·Bˆê•ûA‚T”NŒã‚ªˆê”Ô‚‚­A‚P‚O”N‚ ‚½‚è‚©‚ç—Ž‚¿’…‚¢‚Ä‚­‚é——R‚͂Ȃñ‚Å‚µ‚傤B”N—î‚ðd‚˂܂·‚̂ŒÇÕŠúŠÔ‚ª’·‚¢‚قǜ늳—¦‚ª‚‚­‚Ȃ肻‚¤‚È‚à‚̂ł·‚ªA‚»‚̂悤‚ɂ͂ȂÁ‚Ä‚¢‚Ü‚¹‚ñB

ã‚Ì}‚©‚烃Xƒg‚ðƒJƒEƒ“ƒg‚·‚邯

‰A«       3250(‰ŠúƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”) – 31(ˆÝ‚ª‚ñœëг) – 1748(ÅIƒTƒ“ƒvƒ‹”) = 1471 (45.3%)

—z«       1133 – 29 – 365  = 739 (65.2%)

‚±‚ÌŠ„‡‚ðl‚¦‚邯’ÇÕ•s”\‚ÌŠ„‡‚ª‘½‚­A“Á‚É—z«‚Ì10”N‚©‚ç15”N‚̊Ԃ̃ƒXƒg‚ª‘½‚­A‚»‚Ì‚±‚Ƃ̓Jƒvƒ‰ƒ“ƒ}ƒCƒ„[ƒJ[ƒu‚É–¾Šm‚ÉŒ»‚ê‚Ä‚¨‚èA1133–¼’†‡Œv29–¼‚̜늳‚Å‚ ‚é‚Ì‚ÉA’i·‚ª”ñí‚ɑ傫‚¢A‚±‚ê‚©‚ç„’è‚·‚é‚É‚©‚È‚è15”NˆÈ~‚ÍM—Š‹æŠÔ‚ªL‚ª‚Á‚Ä‚¨M—Š‚ª’u‚¯‚È‚¢‚̂ł͂Ƅ’肳‚ê‚Ü‚·B

 

‚±‚ÌŒ‹‰Ê‚Æ‘Oo‚Ì5|6”N‚Ì’²¸‚ðl—¶‚µ‚Ü‚·‚ÆAŒ»ó‚ ‚é’ö“x‚Í‚Á‚«‚肵‚Ä‚¢‚é‚Ì‚Í5”NŠÔ’ö“x‚Æ‚¢‚¤‚±‚ƂɂȂé‚Å‚µ‚傤B

‚‚܂èAƒyƒvƒVƒm[ƒQƒ“—z«E‰A«‚Å—\‘ª‰Â”\‚Ȃ̂͂»‚ÌŒã5”N’ö“x‚Æ‚È‚é‚Æl‚¦‚ê‚ê‚Ü‚·B

 

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1)
ƒyƒRƒŠ[ƒm‚ª‚ñ‚Ì•ªŽq¶•¨Šw@‘æ2”Å 2014/09 ƒƒfƒBƒJƒ‹ƒTƒCƒGƒ“ƒXƒCƒ“ƒ^[ƒiƒVƒ‡ƒiƒ‹

2) lŒû“®‘Ô“ŒviŒú¶˜J“­È‘åbН–[“Œvî•ñ•”•Òj

3) –kŠC“¹‘åŠw@󳔎Ž@Œ¤‹†•ñ

4) Effect of Helicobacter pylori infection combined with CagA and pepsinogen status on gastric cancer development among Japanese men and women: a nested case-control study.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16835334?dopt=Abstract

5) Leslie E. Daly

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6) –ò܉uŠwŒ¤‹†“ü–å@‚»‚̃fƒUƒCƒ“‚ƉðÍ@(“ú–{»–òH‹Æ‹¦‰ï)

7)  ‰uŠwŒ¤‹†‚É‚¨‚¯‚éŒð—‚ÆŒø‰Ê‚ÌCü@²“¡rÆŽ “Œv”—(1994) 42Šª 1†@83-101

8) ’nˆæ‚ª‚ñ“o˜^‘S‘„Œv’l

Matsuda A, Matsuda T, Shibata A, Katanoda K, Sobue T, Nishimoto H and The Japan Cancer Surveillance Research Group. Cancer Incidence and Incidence Rates in Japan in 2008: A Study of 25 Population-based Cancer Registries for the Monitoring of Cancer Incidence in Japan (MCIJ) Project. Japanese Journal of Clinical Oncology, 44(4): 388-396, 2013

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Cancer development based on chronic active gastritis and resulting gastric atrophy as assessed by serum levels of pepsinogen and Helicobacter pylori antibody titer.

Yoshida T1, Kato J, Inoue I, Yoshimura N, Deguchi H, Mukoubayashi C, Oka M, Watanabe M, Enomoto S, Niwa T, Maekita T, Iguchi M, Tamai H, Utsunomiya H, Yamamichi N, Fujishiro M, Iwane M, Takeshita T, Ushijima T, Ichinose M.

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24009139

10) ˆäã˜a•FŽFGastro-Health Now, 2010

11) ŽRŒûŽ“™@’²¸Œ¤‹†ƒWƒƒ[ƒi[ƒ‹2013 Vol.2 No.1

12) Watabe H, Mitsushima T, Yamaji Y, Okamoto M, Wada R, Kokubo T, Doi H, Yoshida H, Kawabe T, Omata M. Predicting the development of gastric cancer from combining Helicobacter pylori antibodies and serum pepsinogen status: a prospective endoscopic cohort study. Gut. 2005;54:764–76

13) Int J Cancer. 2004 Mar;109(1):138-43.

Progression of chronic atrophic gastritis associated with Helicobacter pylori infection increases risk of gastric cancer.

Ohata H etc.

14) ‚²‘¶‚¶‚Å‚·‚©H‚ª‚ñƒŠƒXƒNŒŸf(‚`‚a‚bŒŸf)@“ú–{Œ’N‘ià’c

15) Gastro-Health Now, 2013 ‘æ28†@‰i“cŽ

16) Gastro-Health Now, 2014 ‘æ33  ’|àVŽ

17) Gastro-Health Now, 2014 ‘æ32  ‰Ô‰ªŽ

18) Gastro-Health Now, 2014 ‘æ31  ¼‰ªŽ

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20) “ú–{Á‰»Ší•aŠw‰ï

21)@ɪŒú¶•a‰@

22) ‘S‘‚ª‚ñœëгƒ‚ƒjƒ^ƒŠƒ“ƒOWŒv

‚ª‚ñî•ñƒT[ƒrƒX

http://ganjoho.jp/professional/statistics/monita.html

 

23)

Yanaoka K etc.

Int J Cancer. 2009 Dec 1;125(11):2697-703. doi: 10.1002/ijc.24591.

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Fukase K etc.

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Effect of eradication of Helicobacter pylori on incidence of metachronous gastric carcinoma after endoscopic resection of early gastric cancer: an open-label, randomised controlled trial.

 

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Okuno etc

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