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がん罹患死亡寄与率Cancer Incidence risi contribution to Mortality Risk

全がん罹患リスク 対 死亡リスク
All types of
Cancers
Incidence Risk Contribution to Mortality Risk

死亡時にその原因がどの程度膵臓がんに罹患したことが原因になっているのかを見てみましょう。
これは、乳がんによる死亡率とは、少々違い、死亡というイヴェントが発生した場合のその原因として乳がんの占める平均割合です。これは、あくまでも全てが平均的な日本人がいた場合のその平均余命を厚生労働省の統計データよりとり、その余命にがん情報サービス、がん登録・統計の年代別死亡率と罹患率を用いて計算し、それにベイズの定理を適応し、罹患後の死亡リスクの事後確率を求めたものになります。
これにより、乳がんに罹患することがどの程度、死亡につながるかのおおよその傾向を得ることができます。罹患率、死亡率などを換算しますので、罹患率が高く、罹患後の死亡割合が高いものが数値が大きくなります。ざっくり言えば、死亡リスクの中で全てのがんによる死亡リスクがどの程度占めているかを表しており、どの程度心配すべきものかの簡単な指標となりえます。

寄与率は、子宮頸がん(上皮内がん含)は、その寄与度はおおよそ0.6%で、、肺がん4.5%、膵臓がん3.3%、胃がん3.8%、大腸がん4.6%、膵臓がん3.3%、胆嚢・胆管がん3%、子宮がん1.4%、肝臓がん2.7%となっています。
一方、死亡時罹患寄与率は、おおよそ年齢とともに低くなっており、実際には高齢になるとがんでの死亡の可能性が低くなるということででょうか。

実際には個性があり、様々な要因によりそのリスクは変化するため、この値が出発点であり、この値から個人のリスクを推測していくことになります。

ようこそ、米順医療統計情報クリニックホームページへ。 あなたは 訪問者カウンター 番目の訪問者です!


全がん死亡リスク、罹患リスク、死亡時罹患寄与率

男性 女性
年齢 平均
余命
死亡
リスク
(%)
罹患
リスク
(%)
死亡時
罹患
寄与率
平均
余命
死亡
リスク
(%)
罹患
リスク
(%)
死亡時
罹患
寄与率
0 80.50 21.48% 55.89% 41.205% 86.83 16.90% 42.64% 32.882%
1 79.67 21.85% 56.53% 41.056% 86.00 17.14% 42.96% 32.663%
2 78.70 21.91% 56.62% 41.067% 85.03 17.18% 43.00% 32.650%
3 77.71 21.93% 56.62% 41.099% 84.05 17.21% 43.02% 32.651%
4 76.73 21.98% 56.70% 41.120% 83.06 17.22% 43.03% 32.667%
5 75.74 22.00% 56.72% 41.153% 82.07 17.24% 43.04% 32.682%
6 74.74 21.99% 56.71% 41.157% 81.07 17.23% 43.03% 32.684%
7 73.75 22.01% 56.73% 41.149% 80.08 17.25% 43.04% 32.670%
8 72.76 22.04% 56.82% 41.161% 79.08 17.24% 43.03% 32.672%
9 71.77 22.05% 56.79% 41.135% 78.09 17.26% 43.05% 32.659%
10 70.77 22.05% 56.78% 41.139% 77.09 17.26% 43.04% 32.660%
11 69.78 22.07% 56.81% 41.131% 76.10 17.27% 43.05% 32.646%
12 68.78 22.07% 56.80% 41.135% 75.10 17.27% 43.04% 32.647%
13 67.79 22.09% 56.83% 41.127% 74.11 17.28% 43.05% 32.634%
14 66.80 22.11% 56.86% 41.120% 73.11 17.28% 43.04% 32.634%
15 65.81 22.13% 56.89% 41.112% 72.12 17.29% 43.05% 32.621%
16 64.82 22.15% 56.91% 41.117% 71.12 17.29% 43.04% 32.625%
17 63.83 22.17% 56.94% 41.122% 70.13 17.30% 43.05% 32.616%
18 62.85 22.21% 57.00% 41.116% 69.14 17.31% 43.05% 32.606%
19 61.87 22.25% 57.06% 41.109% 68.15 17.33% 43.06% 32.596%
20 60.90 22.31% 57.17% 41.092% 67.16 17.34% 43.06% 32.586%
21 59.92 22.35% 57.22% 41.105% 66.17 17.35% 43.06% 32.582%
22 58.96 22.43% 57.36% 41.095% 65.19 17.38% 43.07% 32.563%
23 57.99 22.49% 57.45% 41.097% 64.20 17.39% 43.07% 32.558%
24 57.02 22.55% 57.55% 41.099% 63.22 17.41% 43.08% 32.540%
25 56.05 22.62% 57.64% 41.100% 62.23 17.43% 43.08% 32.535%
26 55.09 22.70% 57.77% 41.092% 61.25 17.45% 43.06% 32.515%
27 54.12 22.76% 57.86% 41.095% 60.27 17.47% 43.05% 32.496%
28 53.15 22.82% 57.95% 41.098% 59.28 17.48% 43.01% 32.490%
29 52.18 22.88% 58.04% 41.101% 58.30 17.51% 43.00% 32.470%
30 51.21 22.94% 58.13% 41.104% 57.32 17.53% 42.99% 32.451%
31 50.25 23.02% 58.25% 41.096% 56.34 17.55% 42.93% 32.427%
32 49.28 23.08% 58.33% 41.099% 55.36 17.57% 42.87% 32.403%
33 48.31 23.13% 58.40% 41.102% 54.38 17.59% 42.81% 32.380%
34 47.35 23.21% 58.52% 41.094% 53.40 17.61% 42.75% 32.356%
35 46.38 23.27% 58.60% 41.096% 52.42 17.63% 42.69% 32.333%
36 45.41 23.32% 58.65% 41.108% 51.44 17.63% 42.57% 32.298%
37 44.45 23.40% 58.74% 41.109% 50.47 17.66% 42.47% 32.250%
38 43.48 23.45% 58.79% 41.120% 49.49 17.66% 42.35% 32.216%
39 42.52 23.52% 58.89% 41.121% 48.52 17.69% 42.25% 32.168%
40 41.57 23.62% 59.01% 41.112% 47.55 17.71% 42.15% 32.121%
41 40.61 23.68% 59.06% 41.121% 46.58 17.72% 41.92% 32.062%
42 39.66 23.76% 59.15% 41.120% 45.61 17.72% 41.69% 32.003%
43 38.71 23.85% 59.23% 41.119% 44.64 17.73% 41.46% 31.945%
44 37.76 23.93% 59.32% 41.118% 43.68 17.75% 41.25% 31.874%
45 36.82 24.03% 59.45% 41.107% 42.72 17.78% 41.03% 31.803%
46 35.89 24.13% 59.52% 41.096% 41.76 17.77% 40.68% 31.708%
47 34.95 24.21% 59.55% 41.095% 40.81 17.78% 40.34% 31.601%
48 34.02 24.31% 59.62% 41.084% 39.85 17.77% 39.98% 31.507%
49 33.10 24.43% 59.73% 41.064% 38.91 17.79% 39.66% 31.390%
50 32.18 24.55% 59.84% 41.043% 37.96 17.80% 39.32% 31.285%
51 31.27 24.63% 59.79% 41.000% 37.02 17.79% 38.95% 31.136%
52 30.36 24.71% 59.74% 40.958% 36.08 17.77% 38.57% 30.988%
53 29.46 24.81% 59.72% 40.906% 35.14 17.75% 38.19% 30.840%
54 28.57 24.93% 59.75% 40.845% 34.21 17.75% 37.83% 30.683%
55 27.68 25.06% 59.77% 40.785% 33.28 17.75% 37.48% 30.528%
56 26.80 25.08% 59.49% 40.656% 32.36 17.70% 37.01% 30.308%
57 25.93 25.12% 59.24% 40.519% 31.43 17.64% 36.52% 30.099%
58 25.07 25.19% 59.03% 40.374% 30.51 17.60% 36.05% 29.883%
59 24.21 25.26% 58.82% 40.231% 29.60 17.57% 35.60% 29.659%
60 23.36 25.35% 58.65% 40.082% 28.68 17.52% 35.13% 29.446%
61 22.52 25.27% 58.00% 39.857% 27.77 17.43% 34.54% 29.191%
62 21.70 25.23% 57.43% 39.618% 26.87 17.36% 33.97% 28.929%
63 20.88 25.19% 56.85% 39.380% 25.97 17.28% 33.40% 28.669%
64 20.08 25.20% 56.36% 39.131% 25.07 17.21% 32.83% 28.412%
65 19.29 25.23% 55.90% 38.878% 24.18 17.15% 32.28% 28.149%
66 18.51 25.01% 54.81% 38.474% 23.30 17.02% 31.61% 27.829%
67 17.74 24.82% 53.75% 38.066% 22.42 16.89% 30.94% 27.511%
68 16.98 24.64% 52.74% 37.655% 21.54 16.79% 30.31% 27.242%
69 16.23 24.69% 51.81% 36.914% 20.67 16.65% 29.62% 26.877%
70 15.49 24.79% 50.92% 36.162% 19.81 16.55% 28.99% 26.555%
71 14.76 24.63% 49.39% 35.410% 18.95 16.35% 28.17% 26.212%
72 14.04 24.51% 47.89% 34.666% 18.10 16.16% 27.38% 25.600%
73 13.33 24.41% 46.44% 33.933% 17.25 15.97% 26.59% 24.877%
74 12.63 24.35% 45.03% 33.214% 16.42 15.81% 25.83% 24.126%
75 11.94 24.32% 43.65% 32.512% 15.60 15.66% 25.10% 23.379%
76 11.27 23.83% 41.68% 31.792% 14.79 15.32% 24.14% 22.602%
77 10.62 23.40% 39.79% 31.060% 13.99 15.00% 23.20% 21.823%
78 9.99 23.04% 37.97% 30.323% 13.21 14.71% 22.30% 21.027%
79 9.37 22.70% 36.20% 29.593% 12.45 14.44% 21.44% 20.223%
80 8.79 22.49% 34.59% 28.861% 11.71 14.21% 20.62% 19.422%
81 8.22 21.61% 32.49% 28.381% 10.99 13.71% 19.64% 18.670%
82 7.69 20.86% 30.54% 27.867% 10.29 13.25% 18.69% 17.900%
83 7.18 20.18% 28.68% 26.821% 9.62 12.83% 17.81% 17.110%
84 6.70 19.58% 26.94% 24.915% 8.97 12.44% 16.97% 16.321%
85 6.24 19.04% 25.28% 23.129% 8.35 12.09% 16.18% 15.534%
86 5.82 17.76% 23.58% 21.666% 7.75 11.22% 15.02% 14.696%
87 5.41 16.51% 21.92% 20.179% 7.18 10.40% 13.91% 13.810%
88 5.03 15.35% 20.38% 18.665% 6.64 9.62% 12.87% 12.888%
89 4.68 14.28% 18.96% 17.156% 6.13 8.88% 11.88% 11.730%
90 4.35 13.28% 17.63% 15.683% 5.66 8.20% 10.97% 10.064%
91 4.04 12.33% 16.37% 15.591% 5.22 7.56% 10.12% 9.277%
92 3.76 11.47% 15.23% 14.007% 4.82 6.98% 9.34% 8.464%
93 3.49 10.56% 14.02% 12.411% 4.45 6.44% 8.62% 7.657%
94 3.25 9.92% 13.17% 11.123% 4.11 5.95% 7.96% 6.876%
95 3.02 9.22% 12.24% 9.851% 3.78 5.47% 7.33% 6.137%
96 2.81 8.58% 11.39% 9.816% 3.47 5.03% 6.72% 6.137%
97 2.61 7.97% 10.58% 9.851% 3.19 4.62% 6.18% 5.907%
98 2.43 7.42% 9.85% 9.053% 2.92 4.23% 5.66% 5.089%
99 2.25 6.87% 9.12% 7.715% 2.67 3.87% 5.17% 4.356%
100 2.09 6.38% 8.47% 6.575% 2.44 3.53% 4.73% 3.711%
101 1.95 5.95% 7.90% 6.575% 2.23 3.23% 4.32% 3.711%
102 1.81 5.52% 7.33% 6.575% 2.03 2.94% 3.93% 3.711%
103 1.68 5.13% 6.81% 6.575% 1.85 2.68% 3.59% 3.711%
104 1.56 4.76% 6.32% 6.575% 1.68 2.43% 3.26% 3.711%
105 1.45 4.43% 5.88% 6.575% 1.52 2.20% 2.95% 3.711%




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