がん死亡リスク 対 罹患リスクCancer Mortality Risk vs Incidence Ris Cancer Prevensti
ようこそ、米順医療統計情報クリニックホームページへ。 あなたは 番目の訪問者です!
胃がん死亡リスク 対 罹患リスク
Gastric Cancer Mortality Risk vs Incidence Risk
胃がんに罹患した場合、死亡する平均リスクを見てみましょう。これは、あくまでも全てが平均的な日本人がいた場合のその平均余命を厚生労働省の統計データよりとり、その余命にがん情報サービス、がん登録・統計の年代別死亡率と罹患率を用いて計算し、その比を計算したものです。これにより、罹患した場合の回復しやすさを推定することができます。このデータは、一生涯のリスクであり、よく使われる5年生存率ではありません。また、実際には個性があり、胃がんの場合は特に、ピロリ菌感染とペプシノーゲンの反応の組み合わせである、ABC検査や、塩分の摂取量、喫煙の有無、そしてストレス等様々な要因によりそのリスクは変化するため、この値が出発点であり、この値から個人のリスクを推測していくことになります。
興味深いことに 男性は、死亡リスクは、60歳(3.89％)が最もリスクが高く、罹患リスクは、50歳(11.08％)、女性は死亡リスクは、60歳(2.12%)、罹患は、35歳(5.21%)が最もリスクが高くなっています。
一方、死亡リスク対罹患リスクの比は、男女間で大きな差は、ありません。まず、男性が罹患リスクが高い理由が、喫煙率、肉体的なストレスがなどが候補として上がりますが、明確に解明される必要があります。また、年齢とともに高くなっており、現状のがん治療が基本的には体力勝負になっているということででょうか。
先日、がん情報センターが５年生存率が平均で64.3％で、胃がんの場合は71.2％であるとの報告をしていましたが、こちらのデータを見ると、５年生存率が必ずしも完治を表しているわけではないとの認識をする必要性を感じます。特に、年齢が上がるごとにその数値とは離れていき、５年生存率のみで治癒の良し悪しを判断することには疑問を感じます。
| 男性 | 女性 | |||||
| 年齢 | 死亡 リスク |
罹患 リスク |
死亡リスク 対 罹患リスク |
死亡 リスク |
罹患 リスク |
死亡リスク 対 罹患リスク |
| 0 | 3.31% | 10.18% | 32.47% | 1.93% | 5.08% | 37.98% |
| 1 | 3.36% | 10.30% | 32.62% | 1.96% | 5.13% | 38.31% |
| 2 | 3.37% | 10.32% | 32.65% | 1.97% | 5.13% | 38.37% |
| 3 | 3.38% | 10.33% | 32.67% | 1.97% | 5.14% | 38.41% |
| 4 | 3.38% | 10.34% | 32.68% | 1.98% | 5.14% | 38.43% |
| 5 | 3.38% | 10.35% | 32.69% | 1.98% | 5.15% | 38.45% |
| 6 | 3.38% | 10.35% | 32.69% | 1.98% | 5.15% | 38.45% |
| 7 | 3.39% | 10.36% | 32.70% | 1.98% | 5.15% | 38.46% |
| 8 | 3.39% | 10.37% | 32.71% | 1.98% | 5.15% | 38.46% |
| 9 | 3.39% | 10.37% | 32.71% | 1.98% | 5.15% | 38.48% |
| 10 | 3.39% | 10.37% | 32.71% | 1.98% | 5.15% | 38.48% |
| 11 | 3.40% | 10.38% | 32.72% | 1.98% | 5.15% | 38.50% |
| 12 | 3.40% | 10.38% | 32.72% | 1.98% | 5.15% | 38.50% |
| 13 | 3.40% | 10.39% | 32.73% | 1.99% | 5.16% | 38.52% |
| 14 | 3.40% | 10.39% | 32.74% | 1.99% | 5.16% | 38.52% |
| 15 | 3.41% | 10.40% | 32.75% | 1.99% | 5.16% | 38.54% |
| 16 | 3.41% | 10.41% | 32.76% | 1.99% | 5.16% | 38.54% |
| 17 | 3.41% | 10.42% | 32.77% | 1.99% | 5.16% | 38.56% |
| 18 | 3.42% | 10.43% | 32.78% | 1.99% | 5.17% | 38.58% |
| 19 | 3.43% | 10.44% | 32.80% | 2.00% | 5.17% | 38.60% |
| 20 | 3.44% | 10.47% | 32.83% | 2.00% | 5.17% | 38.62% |
| 21 | 3.44% | 10.48% | 32.84% | 2.00% | 5.17% | 38.64% |
| 22 | 3.45% | 10.51% | 32.88% | 2.00% | 5.18% | 38.68% |
| 23 | 3.46% | 10.53% | 32.90% | 2.01% | 5.18% | 38.70% |
| 24 | 3.47% | 10.55% | 32.93% | 2.01% | 5.19% | 38.74% |
| 25 | 3.48% | 10.57% | 32.96% | 2.01% | 5.19% | 38.76% |
| 26 | 3.50% | 10.60% | 32.99% | 2.02% | 5.19% | 38.80% |
| 27 | 3.50% | 10.62% | 33.01% | 2.02% | 5.20% | 38.84% |
| 28 | 3.51% | 10.64% | 33.04% | 2.02% | 5.20% | 38.87% |
| 29 | 3.52% | 10.66% | 33.06% | 2.02% | 5.20% | 38.91% |
| 30 | 3.53% | 10.68% | 33.08% | 2.03% | 5.20% | 38.96% |
| 31 | 3.54% | 10.70% | 33.12% | 2.03% | 5.20% | 39.00% |
| 32 | 3.55% | 10.72% | 33.14% | 2.03% | 5.21% | 39.05% |
| 33 | 3.56% | 10.74% | 33.16% | 2.04% | 5.21% | 39.10% |
| 34 | 3.57% | 10.76% | 33.19% | 2.04% | 5.21% | 39.14% |
| 35 | 3.58% | 10.78% | 33.22% | 2.04% | 5.21% | 39.19% |
| 36 | 3.59% | 10.80% | 33.24% | 2.04% | 5.21% | 39.24% |
| 37 | 3.60% | 10.82% | 33.26% | 2.05% | 5.21% | 39.31% |
| 38 | 3.61% | 10.84% | 33.28% | 2.05% | 5.20% | 39.36% |
| 39 | 3.62% | 10.86% | 33.31% | 2.05% | 5.20% | 39.43% |
| 40 | 3.63% | 10.89% | 33.35% | 2.06% | 5.20% | 39.51% |
| 41 | 3.64% | 10.90% | 33.39% | 2.06% | 5.20% | 39.58% |
| 42 | 3.65% | 10.92% | 33.44% | 2.06% | 5.20% | 39.66% |
| 43 | 3.67% | 10.95% | 33.49% | 2.06% | 5.20% | 39.73% |
| 44 | 3.68% | 10.97% | 33.54% | 2.07% | 5.20% | 39.82% |
| 45 | 3.69% | 10.99% | 33.60% | 2.07% | 5.20% | 39.92% |
| 46 | 3.71% | 11.01% | 33.69% | 2.08% | 5.18% | 40.07% |
| 47 | 3.72% | 11.02% | 33.77% | 2.08% | 5.17% | 40.23% |
| 48 | 3.74% | 11.04% | 33.86% | 2.08% | 5.16% | 40.38% |
| 49 | 3.76% | 11.06% | 33.95% | 2.09% | 5.16% | 40.57% |
| 50 | 3.77% | 11.08% | 34.05% | 2.10% | 5.15% | 40.73% |
| 51 | 3.79% | 11.07% | 34.19% | 2.10% | 5.13% | 40.92% |
| 52 | 3.80% | 11.06% | 34.33% | 2.10% | 5.11% | 41.11% |
| 53 | 3.81% | 11.06% | 34.47% | 2.11% | 5.10% | 41.31% |
| 54 | 3.83% | 11.06% | 34.62% | 2.11% | 5.08% | 41.52% |
| 55 | 3.85% | 11.07% | 34.78% | 2.12% | 5.07% | 41.73% |
| 56 | 3.85% | 11.01% | 35.00% | 2.12% | 5.04% | 42.00% |
| 57 | 3.86% | 10.95% | 35.22% | 2.12% | 5.01% | 42.27% |
| 58 | 3.87% | 10.91% | 35.46% | 2.12% | 4.98% | 42.55% |
| 59 | 3.88% | 10.86% | 35.70% | 2.12% | 4.95% | 42.86% |
| 60 | 3.89% | 10.82% | 35.95% | 2.12% | 4.92% | 43.15% |
| 61 | 3.88% | 10.70% | 36.24% | 2.12% | 4.87% | 43.52% |
| 62 | 3.87% | 10.59% | 36.54% | 2.12% | 4.82% | 43.92% |
| 63 | 3.86% | 10.48% | 36.85% | 2.12% | 4.77% | 44.33% |
| 64 | 3.86% | 10.39% | 37.18% | 2.11% | 4.72% | 44.75% |
| 65 | 3.87% | 10.30% | 37.52% | 2.11% | 4.68% | 45.19% |
| 66 | 3.83% | 10.12% | 37.88% | 2.11% | 4.61% | 45.77% |
| 67 | 3.80% | 9.94% | 38.25% | 2.10% | 4.54% | 46.36% |
| 68 | 3.77% | 9.76% | 38.65% | 2.10% | 4.47% | 47.01% |
| 69 | 3.79% | 9.60% | 39.45% | 2.09% | 4.39% | 47.63% |
| 70 | 3.81% | 9.44% | 40.33% | 2.09% | 4.33% | 48.32% |
| 71 | 3.78% | 9.14% | 41.41% | 2.08% | 4.22% | 49.19% |
| 72 | 3.77% | 8.85% | 42.58% | 2.07% | 4.12% | 50.11% |
| 73 | 3.75% | 8.56% | 43.85% | 2.05% | 4.02% | 51.08% |
| 74 | 3.75% | 8.28% | 45.24% | 2.05% | 3.92% | 52.13% |
| 75 | 3.74% | 8.01% | 46.73% | 2.04% | 3.83% | 53.25% |
| 76 | 3.67% | 7.62% | 48.11% | 2.01% | 3.68% | 54.67% |
| 77 | 3.60% | 7.26% | 49.66% | 1.99% | 3.54% | 56.22% |
| 78 | 3.55% | 6.90% | 51.42% | 1.97% | 3.40% | 57.92% |
| 79 | 3.50% | 6.56% | 53.38% | 1.95% | 3.27% | 59.79% |
| 80 | 3.47% | 6.24% | 55.63% | 1.94% | 3.14% | 61.84% |
| 81 | 3.35% | 5.83% | 57.51% | 1.89% | 2.99% | 63.41% |
| 82 | 3.26% | 5.45% | 59.72% | 1.85% | 2.84% | 65.17% |
| 83 | 3.17% | 5.09% | 62.27% | 1.81% | 2.70% | 67.13% |
| 84 | 3.10% | 4.75% | 65.24% | 1.78% | 2.57% | 69.30% |
| 85 | 3.03% | 4.42% | 68.66% | 1.75% | 2.45% | 71.72% |
| 86 | 2.83% | 4.12% | 68.66% | 1.63% | 2.27% | 71.72% |
| 87 | 2.63% | 3.83% | 68.66% | 1.51% | 2.10% | 71.72% |
| 88 | 2.45% | 3.56% | 68.66% | 1.39% | 1.95% | 71.72% |
| 89 | 2.28% | 3.31% | 68.66% | 1.29% | 1.80% | 71.72% |
| 90 | 2.12% | 3.08% | 68.66% | 1.19% | 1.66% | 71.72% |
| 91 | 1.96% | 2.86% | 68.66% | 1.10% | 1.53% | 71.72% |
| 92 | 1.83% | 2.66% | 68.66% | 1.01% | 1.41% | 71.72% |
| 93 | 1.68% | 2.45% | 68.66% | 0.93% | 1.30% | 71.72% |
| 94 | 1.58% | 2.30% | 68.66% | 0.86% | 1.20% | 71.72% |
| 95 | 1.47% | 2.14% | 68.66% | 0.79% | 1.11% | 71.72% |
| 96 | 1.37% | 1.99% | 68.66% | 0.73% | 1.02% | 71.72% |
| 97 | 1.27% | 1.85% | 68.66% | 0.67% | 0.93% | 71.72% |
| 98 | 1.18% | 1.72% | 68.66% | 0.61% | 0.86% | 71.72% |
| 99 | 1.09% | 1.59% | 68.66% | 0.56% | 0.78% | 71.72% |
| 100 | 1.02% | 1.48% | 68.66% | 0.51% | 0.71% | 71.72% |
| 101 | 0.95% | 1.38% | 68.66% | 0.47% | 0.65% | 71.72% |
| 102 | 0.88% | 1.28% | 68.66% | 0.43% | 0.59% | 71.72% |
| 103 | 0.82% | 1.19% | 68.66% | 0.39% | 0.54% | 71.72% |
| 104 | 0.76% | 1.10% | 68.66% | 0.35% | 0.49% | 71.72% |
| 105~ | 0.71% | 1.03% | 68.66% | 0.32% | 0.45% | 71.72% |
