がん死亡リスク 対 罹患リスクCancer Mortality Risk vs Incidence Ris Cancer Prevensti
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男性部位別がん死亡リスク 対 罹患リスク
Cancer Mortality Risk vs Incidence Risk for Each Par
男性の部位別がんに罹患した場合、死亡する平均リスクを見てみましょう。これは、あくまでも全てが平均的な日本人がいた場合のその平均余命を厚生労働省の統計データよりとり、その余命にがん情報サービス、がん登録・統計の年代別死亡率と罹患率を用いて計算し、その比を計算したものです。これにより、罹患した場合の回復しやすさを推定することができます。このデータは、一生涯のリスクであり、よく使われる5年生存率ではありません。このように比較しますと部位別にかなり差があることが見て取れます。罹患した場合の死亡リスクの高い順に、
膵臓(84%)、肝臓(69%)、胆嚢・胆管(66％)、肺(63％)、胃(32％)、大腸(31％)、甲状腺(13％)、前立腺(9％)
となっています。膵臓がんはほとんど回復しないことを如実に表しています。肝臓、肺、胆嚢・胆管もかなり治りにくいことを表しています。それと比較して甲状腺、前立腺は、治りやすいがんと言えるでしょう。
また、0歳の罹患リスク、死亡リスク、死亡リスク対罹患リスクの順に次のようになります。。
胃(10.2%:50)、前立腺(9.4%:60)、大腸(8.2%:45)、肺(8.1%:60)、肝臓(3.4%:55)、膵臓(1.9%:50)、胆嚢・胆管(1.2%:65)、甲状腺(0.4%:3)
胃(3.3%:60)、前立腺(0.8%:80)、大腸(2.55:60)、肺(5.1%:65)、肝臓(2.3%:55)、膵臓(1.6%:55)、胆嚢・胆管(0.8%:80)、甲状腺(0.05%:60)
胃(32％)、前立腺(9％)、大腸(31％)、肺(63％)、肝臓(69%)、膵臓(84%)、胆嚢・胆管(66％)、甲状腺(13％)、
１）胃がんは最も罹りやすいが治りやすい方で、罹患後平均10年生存している。
２）前立腺は、2番目に罹りやすいが、他と比べ治りやすく罹患後平均20年生存している。
３）大腸は、3番目に罹りやすいが、治りやすい方で、平均15年罹患後生存している。
４）肺は、4番目に罹りやすく、63％が治癒せず、罹患後平均5年生存している。
５）肝臓は、5番目に罹りやすく、69％が治癒せず、罹患後ほとんど生存していない。
６）膵臓は、6番目に罹りやすく、84％が治癒せず、ほとんど治らないが、罹患後平均5年ほど生存している。
７）胆嚢・胆管は、7番目に罹りやすく、66％が治癒せず、罹患後平均15年生存している。
８）甲状腺は、8番目に罹りやすく、87％が回復をし、罹患後平均57年生存している。
全体の傾向は見て取れますが、実際にどのがんにより、どの程度実際死亡に至るのかは明確になりません。それには、その寄与度を見て取る必要がありそうです。
先日、がん情報センターが主要５部位(胃、大腸、肝臓、肺、乳房)の５年生存率が平均で64.3％で、胃がんの場合は71.2％、大腸72.1％、肝臓35.9％、肺39.4％、女性乳房92.2％であるとの報告をしていましたが、こちらのデータを見ると、かなり離れた値となっており、５年生存率が必ずしも完治を表しているわけではないとの認識を新たにするとともに、予防の重要性を認識させる結果になっています。
| 男性部位別死亡リスク対罹患リスク | ||||||||
| 年齢 | 胃がん | 大腸 がん |
肝臓 がん |
肺 がん |
膵臓 がん |
胆嚢 胆管 |
甲状腺 がん |
前立腺 がん |
| 0歳 | 32.47% | 30.81% | 69.00% | 62.60% | 84.27% | 66.31% | 12.97% | 8.75% |
| 1歳 | 32.62% | 30.98% | 69.22% | 62.85% | 84.39% | 66.56% | 13.15% | 8.94% |
| 2歳 | 32.65% | 31.00% | 69.28% | 62.90% | 84.41% | 66.61% | 13.18% | 8.97% |
| 3歳 | 32.67% | 31.03% | 69.36% | 62.92% | 84.43% | 66.67% | 13.61% | 9.00% |
| 4歳 | 32.68% | 31.03% | 69.37% | 62.94% | 84.43% | 66.65% | 13.22% | 9.00% |
| 5歳 | 32.69% | 31.04% | 69.41% | 62.96% | 84.43% | 66.67% | 13.23% | 9.02% |
| 6歳 | 32.69% | 31.04% | 69.41% | 62.95% | 84.43% | 66.67% | 13.23% | 9.02% |
| 7歳 | 32.70% | 31.05% | 69.42% | 62.97% | 84.44% | 66.68% | 13.24% | 9.03% |
| 8歳 | 32.71% | 31.06% | 69.43% | 62.99% | 84.45% | 66.69% | 13.24% | 9.04% |
| 9歳 | 32.71% | 31.07% | 69.44% | 63.00% | 84.45% | 66.71% | 13.27% | 9.05% |
| 10歳 | 32.71% | 31.07% | 69.43% | 63.00% | 84.45% | 66.71% | 13.27% | 9.05% |
| 11歳 | 32.72% | 31.08% | 69.45% | 63.01% | 84.46% | 66.72% | 13.30% | 9.06% |
| 12歳 | 32.72% | 31.08% | 69.45% | 63.02% | 84.46% | 66.72% | 13.31% | 9.06% |
| 13歳 | 32.73% | 31.09% | 69.46% | 63.03% | 84.46% | 66.74% | 13.33% | 9.07% |
| 14歳 | 32.74% | 31.10% | 69.47% | 63.05% | 84.47% | 66.75% | 13.35% | 9.08% |
| 15歳 | 32.75% | 31.11% | 69.49% | 63.07% | 84.48% | 66.77% | 13.37% | 9.09% |
| 16歳 | 32.76% | 31.11% | 69.50% | 63.08% | 84.48% | 66.78% | 13.39% | 9.10% |
| 17歳 | 32.77% | 31.12% | 69.51% | 63.09% | 84.49% | 66.80% | 13.41% | 9.11% |
| 18歳 | 32.78% | 31.14% | 69.53% | 63.12% | 84.50% | 66.82% | 13.44% | 9.13% |
| 19歳 | 32.80% | 31.16% | 69.55% | 63.15% | 84.52% | 66.85% | 13.47% | 9.16% |
| 20歳 | 32.83% | 31.19% | 69.58% | 63.19% | 84.54% | 66.89% | 13.52% | 9.19% |
| 21歳 | 32.84% | 31.20% | 69.60% | 63.23% | 84.55% | 66.92% | 13.63% | 9.21% |
| 22歳 | 32.88% | 31.24% | 69.65% | 63.29% | 84.57% | 66.97% | 13.76% | 9.25% |
| 23歳 | 32.90% | 31.27% | 69.68% | 63.33% | 84.59% | 67.01% | 13.88% | 9.28% |
| 24歳 | 32.93% | 31.29% | 69.72% | 63.38% | 84.61% | 67.05% | 14.01% | 9.31% |
| 25歳 | 32.96% | 31.32% | 69.75% | 63.42% | 84.62% | 67.09% | 14.13% | 9.35% |
| 26歳 | 32.99% | 31.36% | 69.79% | 63.48% | 84.64% | 67.14% | 14.20% | 9.39% |
| 27歳 | 33.01% | 31.40% | 69.82% | 63.53% | 84.66% | 67.19% | 14.25% | 9.42% |
| 28歳 | 33.04% | 31.43% | 69.86% | 63.58% | 84.67% | 67.23% | 14.30% | 9.45% |
| 29歳 | 33.06% | 31.47% | 69.89% | 63.62% | 84.68% | 67.27% | 14.35% | 9.48% |
| 30歳 | 33.08% | 31.50% | 69.92% | 63.67% | 84.70% | 67.31% | 14.40% | 9.51% |
| 31歳 | 33.12% | 31.54% | 69.96% | 63.73% | 84.72% | 67.35% | 14.50% | 9.55% |
| 32歳 | 33.14% | 31.58% | 69.99% | 63.77% | 84.74% | 67.38% | 14.60% | 9.58% |
| 33歳 | 33.16% | 31.61% | 70.02% | 63.82% | 84.76% | 67.42% | 14.69% | 9.61% |
| 34歳 | 33.19% | 31.65% | 70.06% | 63.87% | 84.78% | 67.46% | 14.79% | 9.65% |
| 35歳 | 33.22% | 31.68% | 70.09% | 63.92% | 84.80% | 67.49% | 14.89% | 9.68% |
| 36歳 | 33.24% | 31.72% | 70.13% | 63.97% | 84.82% | 67.54% | 15.13% | 9.71% |
| 37歳 | 33.26% | 31.77% | 70.19% | 64.03% | 84.86% | 67.60% | 15.38% | 9.75% |
| 38歳 | 33.28% | 31.82% | 70.23% | 64.08% | 84.88% | 67.65% | 15.64% | 9.78% |
| 39歳 | 33.31% | 31.87% | 70.29% | 64.15% | 84.91% | 67.71% | 15.91% | 9.82% |
| 40歳 | 33.35% | 31.93% | 70.35% | 64.22% | 84.95% | 67.78% | 16.20% | 9.87% |
| 41歳 | 33.39% | 31.99% | 70.44% | 64.29% | 85.01% | 67.84% | 16.53% | 9.91% |
| 42歳 | 33.44% | 32.06% | 70.55% | 64.36% | 85.07% | 67.91% | 16.88% | 9.96% |
| 43歳 | 33.49% | 32.12% | 70.65% | 64.43% | 85.13% | 67.98% | 17.24% | 10.01% |
| 44歳 | 33.54% | 32.19% | 70.75% | 64.51% | 85.18% | 68.05% | 17.62% | 10.06% |
| 45歳 | 33.60% | 32.27% | 70.87% | 64.59% | 85.25% | 68.13% | 18.02% | 10.11% |
| 46歳 | 33.69% | 32.38% | 71.00% | 64.71% | 85.34% | 68.23% | 18.31% | 10.18% |
| 47歳 | 33.77% | 32.49% | 71.12% | 64.81% | 85.43% | 68.32% | 18.59% | 10.24% |
| 48歳 | 33.86% | 32.60% | 71.25% | 64.92% | 85.53% | 68.42% | 18.89% | 10.31% |
| 49歳 | 33.95% | 32.73% | 71.39% | 65.04% | 85.63% | 68.53% | 19.21% | 10.39% |
| 50歳 | 34.05% | 32.85% | 71.53% | 65.17% | 85.73% | 68.64% | 19.54% | 10.47% |
| 51歳 | 34.19% | 33.01% | 71.70% | 65.36% | 85.79% | 68.84% | 19.99% | 10.57% |
| 52歳 | 34.33% | 33.17% | 71.88% | 65.55% | 85.86% | 69.04% | 20.46% | 10.66% |
| 53歳 | 34.47% | 33.34% | 72.07% | 65.76% | 85.93% | 69.24% | 20.95% | 10.77% |
| 54歳 | 34.62% | 33.52% | 72.26% | 65.97% | 86.01% | 69.46% | 21.49% | 10.89% |
| 55歳 | 34.78% | 33.70% | 72.45% | 66.18% | 86.09% | 69.67% | 22.04% | 11.00% |
| 56歳 | 35.00% | 33.95% | 72.71% | 66.43% | 86.30% | 69.88% | 22.59% | 11.16% |
| 57歳 | 35.22% | 34.21% | 72.97% | 66.70% | 86.53% | 70.09% | 23.19% | 11.33% |
| 58歳 | 35.46% | 34.48% | 73.24% | 66.97% | 86.76% | 70.31% | 23.82% | 11.50% |
| 59歳 | 35.70% | 34.76% | 73.51% | 67.25% | 87.00% | 70.53% | 24.49% | 11.68% |
| 60歳 | 35.95% | 35.04% | 73.79% | 67.53% | 87.24% | 70.76% | 25.21% | 11.86% |
| 61歳 | 36.24% | 35.39% | 74.13% | 67.94% | 87.38% | 71.11% | 25.88% | 12.13% |
| 62歳 | 36.54% | 35.76% | 74.48% | 68.37% | 87.54% | 71.47% | 26.63% | 12.42% |
| 63歳 | 36.85% | 36.14% | 74.85% | 68.81% | 87.69% | 71.83% | 27.44% | 12.71% |
| 64歳 | 37.18% | 36.55% | 75.23% | 69.26% | 87.86% | 72.21% | 28.33% | 13.02% |
| 65歳 | 37.52% | 36.98% | 75.63% | 69.73% | 88.04% | 72.59% | 29.29% | 13.35% |
| 66歳 | 37.88% | 37.37% | 76.32% | 70.28% | 88.13% | 72.99% | 30.39% | 13.82% |
| 67歳 | 38.25% | 37.77% | 77.05% | 70.86% | 88.23% | 73.41% | 31.60% | 14.32% |
| 68歳 | 38.65% | 38.20% | 77.81% | 71.46% | 88.34% | 73.83% | 32.92% | 14.85% |
| 69歳 | 39.45% | 39.01% | 78.81% | 72.36% | 88.59% | 74.76% | 34.62% | 15.79% |
| 70歳 | 40.33% | 39.91% | 79.89% | 73.34% | 88.88% | 75.74% | 36.50% | 16.83% |
| 71歳 | 41.41% | 40.96% | 80.77% | 74.30% | 89.50% | 76.79% | 38.26% | 18.11% |
| 72歳 | 42.58% | 42.11% | 81.73% | 75.32% | 90.16% | 77.87% | 40.25% | 19.54% |
| 73歳 | 43.85% | 43.35% | 82.77% | 76.39% | 90.87% | 78.99% | 42.52% | 21.14% |
| 74歳 | 45.24% | 44.71% | 83.88% | 77.52% | 91.64% | 80.15% | 45.11% | 22.94% |
| 75歳 | 46.73% | 46.19% | 85.09% | 78.70% | 92.45% | 81.33% | 48.09% | 24.95% |
| 76歳 | 48.11% | 47.70% | 85.99% | 79.88% | 93.19% | 82.60% | 50.54% | 26.91% |
| 77歳 | 49.66% | 49.41% | 87.01% | 81.17% | 94.01% | 83.96% | 53.35% | 29.20% |
| 78歳 | 51.42% | 51.32% | 88.20% | 82.58% | 94.92% | 85.40% | 56.60% | 31.89% |
| 79歳 | 53.38% | 53.45% | 89.55% | 84.11% | 95.92% | 86.91% | 60.34% | 35.04% |
| 80歳 | 55.63% | 55.86% | 91.13% | 85.79% | 97.02% | 88.50% | 64.68% | 38.80% |
| 81歳 | 57.51% | 57.36% | 92.36% | 86.88% | 97.55% | 89.87% | 65.71% | 41.21% |
| 82歳 | 59.72% | 59.07% | 93.85% | 88.15% | 98.16% | 91.40% | 66.88% | 44.11% |
| 83歳 | 62.27% | 61.01% | 95.63% | 89.59% | 98.84% | 93.08% | 68.19% | 47.52% |
| 84歳 | 65.24% | 63.19% | 97.78% | 91.23% | 99.61% | 94.90% | 69.64% | 51.59% |
| 85歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 86歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 87歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 88歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 89歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 90歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 91歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 92歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 93歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 94歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 95歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 96歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 97歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 98歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 99歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 100歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 101歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 102歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 103歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 104歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
| 105歳 | 68.66% | 65.62% | 100% | 93.09% | 100% | 96.86% | 71.24% | 56.42% |
